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This paper develops a model of \textit{identification design} and applies it to robust causal inference in microeconometrics. The decision maker observes the population distribution of signals generated by an information structure and ranks…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-20 Maxwell Rosenthal

We propose a test for the identification of causal effects in mediation and dynamic treatment models that is based on two sets of observed variables, namely covariates to be controlled for and suspected instruments, building on the test by…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-21 Martin Huber , Kevin Kloiber , Lukas Laffers

We consider a static linear panel model with both correlated and uncorrelated random coefficients, where the former can depend arbitrarily on observable regressors while the latter are independent of them. We provide sufficient conditions…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-21 Irene Botosaru , James L. Powell

In this paper, we develop a system identification algorithm to identify a model for unknown linear quantum systems driven by time-varying coherent states, based on empirical single-shot continuous homodyne measurement data of the system's…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-12-14 H. I. Nurdin , N. H. Amini , J. Chen

This paper introduces the Mixed Aggregate Preference Logit (MAPL, pronounced "maple'') model, a novel class of discrete choice models that leverages machine learning to model unobserved heterogeneity in discrete choice analysis. The…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-05 Connor R. Forsythe , Cristian Arteaga , John P. Helveston

Longitudinal or panel data can be represented as a matrix with rows indexed by units and columns indexed by time. We consider inferential questions associated with the missing data version of panel data induced by staggered adoption. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-02 Yuling Yan , Martin J. Wainwright

The linear-in-means model is the standard empirical model of peer effects. Using choice data and exogenous group variation, we first develop a revealed preference style test for the linear-in-means model. This test is formulated as a linear…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-06-16 Christopher P. Chambers , Yusufcan Masatlioglu , Christopher Turansick

We derive asymptotically optimal statistical decision rules for discrete choice problems when payoffs depend on a partially-identified parameter $\theta$ and the decision maker can use a point-identified parameter $\mu$ to deduce…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-19 Timothy Christensen , Hyungsik Roger Moon , Frank Schorfheide

This paper considers identifying and estimating causal effect parameters in a staggered treatment adoption setting -- that is, where a researcher has access to panel data and treatment timing varies across units. We consider the case where…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-08 Brantly Callaway , Emmanuel Selorm Tsyawo

In this work we examine the problem of data-driven prediction. That is, given a LTI system with unknown dynamics, we wish to use data collected from the system to predict the system's output response to a given sequence of known inputs.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Joel Stevens , Jeremy Coulson

Gene panel selection aims to identify the most informative genomic biomarkers in label-free genomic datasets. Traditional approaches, which rely on domain expertise, embedded machine learning models, or heuristic-based iterative…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-12 Meng Xiao , Weiliang Zhang , Xiaohan Huang , Hengshu Zhu , Min Wu , Xiaoli Li , Yuanchun Zhou

This paper considers a challenging problem of identifying a causal graphical model under the presence of latent variables. While various identifiability conditions have been proposed in the literature, they often require multiple pure…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-03 Seunghyun Lee , Yuqi Gu

This paper proposes a model-free approach to analyze panel data with heterogeneous dynamic structures across observational units. We first compute the sample mean, autocovariances, and autocorrelations for each unit, and then estimate the…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-16 Ryo Okui , Takahide Yanagi

We present an exploratory restricted latent class model where response data is for a single time point, polytomous, and differing across items, and where latent classes reflect a multi-attribute state where each attribute is ordinal. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Eric Alan Wayman , Steven Andrew Culpepper , Jeff Douglas , Jesse Bowers

This paper provides nonparametric identification results for random coefficient distributions in perturbed utility models. We cover discrete and continuous choice models. We establish identification using variation in mean quantities, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-03-03 Roy Allen , John Rehbeck

In an empirical study of persuasion, researchers often use a binary instrument to encourage individuals to consume information and take some action. We show that, with a binary Imbens-Angrist instrumental variable model and the monotone…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-02 Zeyang Yu

This paper proposes a selective inference procedure for testing equal predictive ability in panel data settings with unknown heterogeneity. The framework allows predictive performance to vary across unobserved clusters and accounts for the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-29 Oguzhan Akgun , Alain Pirotte , Giovanni Urga , Zhenlin Yang

This paper presents a novel data-driven, direct filtering approach for unknown linear time-invariant systems affected by unknown-but-bounded measurement noise. The proposed technique combines independent multistep prediction models,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-28 Marco Lauricella , Lorenzo Fagiano

This paper proposes a novel testing procedure for selecting a sparse set of covariates that explains a large dimensional panel. Our selection method provides correct false detection control while having higher power than existing…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-09 Markus Pelger , Jiacheng Zou

A novel procedure for the online identification of a class of discrete-time switched linear systems, which simultaneously estimates the parameters and switching manifolds of the systems, is proposed in this paper. Firstly, to estimate the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-08 Zengjie Zhang , Yingwei Du , Tong Liu , Fangzhou Liu , Martin Buss