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Handling highly dependent data is crucial in clinical trials, particularly in fields related to ophthalmology. Incorrectly specifying the dependency structure can lead to biased inferences. Traditionally, models rely on three fixed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Shuyi Liang , Takeshi Emura , Chang-Xing Ma , Yijing Xin , Xin-Wei Huang

In this pedagogical text aimed at those wanting to start thinking about or brush up on probabilistic inference, I review the rules by which probability distribution functions can (and cannot) be combined. I connect these rules to the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-05-22 David W. Hogg

Copulas allow a flexible and simultaneous modeling of complicated dependence structures together with various marginal distributions. Especially if the density function can be represented as the product of the marginal density functions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-31 Jae Youn Ahn , Sebastian Fuchs , Rosy Oh

We present a symbolic machinery that admits both probabilistic and causal information about a given domain and produces probabilistic statements about the effect of actions and the impact of observations. The calculus admits two types of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Judea Pearl

We propose vine copula-based classifiers for probabilistic risk prediction in perioperative settings. We obtain full joint probability models for mixed continuous-ordinal variables by fitting a separate vine copula to each outcome class,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Özge Şahin

Copulas have now become ubiquitous statistical tools for describing, analysing and modelling dependence between random variables. Sklar's theorem, "the fundamental theorem of copulas", makes a clear distinction between the continuous case…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-12 Gery Geenens

Copula modelling has in the past decade become a standard tool in many areas of applied statistics. However, a largely neglected aspect concerns the design of related experiments. Particularly the issue of whether the estimation of copula…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-12 Elisa Perrone , Werner G. Müller

A new class of bivariate distributions is introduced that extends the Generalized Marshall-Olkin distributions of Li and Pellerey (2011). Their dependence structure is studied through the analysis of the copula functions that they induce.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-13 Sabrina Mulinacci

We provide the strong approximation of empirical copula processes by a Gaussian process. In addition we establish a strong approximation of the smoothed empirical copula processes and a law of iterated logarithm.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-06 Salim Bouzebda , Tarek Zari

Classical probability theory is formulated using sets. In this paper, we extend classical probability theory with propositional computability logic. Unlike other formalisms, computability logic is built on the notion of events/games, which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Keehang Kwon

In probability and statistics, copulas play important roles theoretically as well as to address a wide range of problems in various application areas. In this paper, we introduce the concept of multivariate discrete copulas, discuss their…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-27 Roman Schefzik

We introduce a generalization of the notion of operad that we call a contractad, whose set of operations is indexed by connected graphs and whose composition rules are numbered by contractions of connected subgraphs. We show that many…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2024-07-24 Denis Lyskov

We develop improved rearrangement algorithms to find the dependence structure that minimizes a convex function of the sum of dependent variables with given margins. We propose a new multivariate dependence measure, which can assess the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-07-14 Carole Bernard , Don McLeish

Probability density estimation is a central task in statistics. Copula-based models provide a great deal of flexibility in modelling multivariate distributions, allowing for the specifications of models for the marginal distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-08 Nicolás Kuschinski , Richard Warr , Alejandro Jara

High-dimensional mixed data as a combination of both continuous and ordinal variables are widely seen in many research areas such as genomic studies and survey data analysis. Estimating the underlying correlation among mixed data is hence…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-18 Xiaoyun Quan , James G. Booth , Martin T. Wells

We present a joint copula-based model for insurance claims and sizes. It uses bivariate copulae to accommodate for the dependence between these quantities. We derive the general distribution of the policy loss without the restrictive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Nicole Kraemer , Eike C. Brechmann , Daniel Silvestrini , Claudia Czado

Several collective risk models have recently been proposed by relaxing the widely used but controversial assumption of independence between claim frequency and severity. Approaches include the bivariate copula model, random effect model,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-11 Rosy Oh , Jae Youn Ahn , Woojoo Lee

A procedure for the evaluation of correlators of any order in a reasonable computer time is presented. Connection between correlators and fluctuations of the event mean values of observables is discussed. Extension of the procedure to…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 N. Amelin , P. Filip , R. Lednicky , M. Pachr

The majority of model-based clustering techniques is based on multivariate Normal models and their variants. In this paper copulas are used for the construction of flexible families of models for clustering applications. The use of copulas…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis , Dimitris Karlis

Our goal in this paper is to propose an alternative risk measure which takes into account the fluctuations of losses and possible correlations between random variables. This new notion of risk measures, that we call Copula Conditional Tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-20 Brahim Brahimi
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