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The Ensemble Kalman filter assumes the observations to be Gaussian random variables with a pre-specified mean and variance. In practice, observations may also have detection limits, for instance when a gauge has a minimum or maximum value.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-14 Abhishek Shah , Mohamad El Gharamti , Laurent Bertino

There has been a recent surge in development of accurate machine learning (ML) weather prediction models, but evaluation of these models has mainly been focused on medium-range forecasts, not their performance in cycling data assimilation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-25 Laura C. Slivinski , Jeffrey S. Whitaker , Sergey Frolov , Timothy A. Smith , Niraj Agarwal

The Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) was introduced by Evensen in 1994 [10] as a novel method for data assimilation: state estimation for noisily observed time-dependent problems. Since that time it has had enormous impact in many application…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-04-08 Marco A. Iglesias , Kody J. H. Law , Andrew M. Stuart

Approaches based on Koopman operators have shown great promise in forecasting time series data generated by complex nonlinear dynamical systems (NLDS). Although such approaches are able to capture the latent state representation of a NLDS,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Ashutosh Singh , Ashish Singh , Tales Imbiriba , Deniz Erdogmus , Ricardo Borsoi

We review the field of data assimilation (DA) from a Bayesian perspective and show that, in addition to its by now common application to state estimation, DA may be used for model selection. An important special case of the latter is the…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-05 Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Alexis Hannart , Michael Ghil

We introduce a score-filter-enhanced data assimilation framework designed to reduce predictive uncertainty in machine learning (ML) models for data-driven dynamical system forecasting. Machine learning serves as an efficient numerical model…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Jingqiao Tang , Ryan Bausback , Feng Bao , Guannan Zhang , Phuoc-Toan Huynh

Ensemble transform Kalman filtering (ETKF) data assimilation is often used to combine available observations with numerical simulations to obtain statistically accurate and reliable state representations in dynamical systems. However, it is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-07 Tongtong Li , Anne Gelb , Yoonsang Lee

The combined use of data from different sources can be critical in emergencies, where accurate models are needed to make real-time decisions, but high-fidelity representations and detailed information are simply unavailable. This study…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-07 Daniele Giovanni Gioia , Jacopo Bonari , Daniel Lichte , Alexander Popp

Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) and its variants, such as extended DMD (EDMD), are broadly used to fit simple linear models to dynamical systems known from observable data. As DMD methods work well in several situations but perform poorly…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-06 George Haller , Bálint Kaszás

The Kalman filter (KF) is one of the most widely used tools for data assimilation and sequential estimation. In this work, we show that the state estimates from the KF in a standard linear dynamical system setting are equivalent to those…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-04 Maria Jahja , David C. Farrow , Roni Rosenfeld , Ryan J. Tibshirani

In the process of reproducing the state dynamics of parameter dependent distributed systems, data from physical measurements can be incorporated into the mathematical model to reduce the parameter uncertainty and, consequently, improve the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-06 Francesco A. B. Silva , Cecilia Pagliantini , Martin Grepl , Karen Veroy

The Kalman filter is a fundamental tool for state estimation in dynamical systems. While originally developed for linear Gaussian settings, it has been extended to nonlinear problems through approaches such as the extended and unscented…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Yuan Wu , Sicheng He

Data assimilation (DA) aims at forecasting the state of a dynamical system by combining a mathematical representation of the system with noisy observations taking into account their uncertainties. State of the art methods are based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Pierre Boudier , Anthony Fillion , Serge Gratton , Selime Gürol , Sixin Zhang

Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) is a data-driven technique to identify a low dimensional linear time invariant dynamics underlying high-dimensional data. For systems in which such underlying low-dimensional dynamics is time-varying, a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-09 Mustaffa Alfatlawi , Vaibhav Srivastava

For oceanographic applications, probabilistic forecasts typically have to deal with i) high-dimensional complex models, and ii) very sparse spatial observations. In search-and-rescue operations at sea, for instance, the short-term…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-15 Florian Beiser , Håvard Heitlo Holm , Jo Eidsvik

In this dissertation, we investigate the issue of robust localization in swarms of heterogeneous mobile agents with multiple and time-varying sensing modalities. Our focus is the development of filter-based and decoupled estimators under…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Roland Jung

Reduced-order models based on level-set methods are widely used tools to qualitatively capture and track the nonlinear dynamics of an interface. The aim of this paper is to develop a physics-informed, data-driven, statistically rigorous…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-20 Hans Yu , Matthew P. Juniper , Luca Magri

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) (Evensen, 2009) has proven effective in quantifying uncertainty in a number of challenging dynamic, state estimation, or data assimilation, problems such as weather forecasting and ocean modeling. In these…

Filtering is concerned with online estimation of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. In applications where the state of the system is high dimensional, ensemble Kalman filters are often the method of choice.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-30 Omar Al Ghattas , Jiajun Bao , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

A thermal convection loop is a annular chamber filled with water, heated on the bottom half and cooled on the top half. With sufficiently large forcing of heat, the direction of fluid flow in the loop oscillates chaotically, dynamics…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Andrew J. Reagan , Yves Dubief , Peter Sheridan Dodds , Christopher M. Danforth
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