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We introduce a new class of nonparametric prior distributions on the space of continuously varying densities, induced by Dirichlet process mixtures which diffuse in time. These select time-indexed random functions without jumps, whose…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-10 Ramsés H. Mena , Matteo Ruggiero

In both population genetics and forensic genetics it is important to know how haplotypes are distributed in a population. Simulation of population dynamics helps facilitating research on the distribution of haplotypes. In forensic genetics,…

Computation · Statistics 2012-10-08 Mikkel Meyer Andersen , Poul Svante Eriksen

We consider a Wright-Fisher diffusion (x(t)) whose current state cannot be observed directly. Instead, at times t1 < t2 < . . ., the observations y(ti) are such that, given the process (x(t)), the random variables (y(ti)) are independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-05 Mireille Chaleyat-Maurel , Valentine Genon-Catalot

We construct extensions of the pure-jump $\Lambda$-Wright-Fisher processes with frequency-dependent selection ($\Lambda$-WF processes with selection) beyond their first passage time at the boundary $1$. We show that they satisfy some…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-17 Clément Foucart , Xiaowen Zhou

We consider the problem of simulating diffusion bridges, which are diffusion processes that are conditioned to initialize and terminate at two given states. The simulation of diffusion bridges has applications in diverse scientific fields…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-19 Jeremy Heng , Valentin De Bortoli , Arnaud Doucet , James Thornton

Recombination is a fundamental evolutionary force, but it is difficult to quantify because the effect of a recombination event on patterns of variation in a sample of genetic data can be hard to discern. Estimators for the recombination…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-05 Robert C. Griffiths , Paul A. Jenkins

We construct a reliable estimation of evolutionary parameters within the Wright-Fisher model, which describes changes in allele frequencies due to selection and genetic drift, from time-series data. Such data exists for biological…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-26 Juan Guerrero Montero , Richard A. Blythe

With novel developments in sequencing technologies, time-sampled data are becoming more available and accessible. Naturally, there have been efforts in parallel to infer population genetic parameters from these datasets. Here, we compare…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-01 Matthieu Foll , Hyunjin Shim , Jeffrey D. Jensen

We apply a Lindeberg principle under the Markov process setting to approximate the Wright-Fisher model with neutral $r$-alleles using a diffusion process, deriving an error rate based on a function class distance involving fourth-order…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-15 Peng Chen , Jie Xiong , Lihu Xu , Jiayu Zheng

We investigate spatial evolutionary games with death-birth updating in large finite populations. Within growing spatial structures subject to appropriate conditions, the density processes of a fixed type are proven to converge to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-23 Yu-Ting Chen

This paper generalizes the strong seed-bank model introduced in arXiv:1411.4747 to allow for more general dormancy time distributions, such as a type of Pareto distribution. Inspired by the method of approximation using models with…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Likai Jiao

We develop a general solution for the Fokker-Planck (Kolomogorov) equation representing the diffusion limit of the Wright-Fisher model of random genetic drift for an arbitrary number of alleles at a single locus. From this solution, we can…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-03-11 Tat-Dat Tran , Julian Hofrichter , Juergen Jost

Near the beginning of the century, Wright and Fisher devised an elegant, mathematically tractable model of gene reproduction and replacement that laid the foundation for contemporary population genetics. The Wright-Fisher model and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Todd L. Parsons

Fleming-Viot diffusions are widely used stochastic models for population dynamics which extend the celebrated Wright-Fisher diffusions. They describe the temporal evolution of the relative frequencies of the allelic types in an ideally…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-07 Filippo Ascolani , Stefano Damato , Matteo Ruggiero

Bayesian full waveform inversion (FWI) offers uncertainty-aware subsurface models; however, posterior sampling directly on observed seismic shot records is rarely practical at the field scale because each sample requires numerous…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-12-16 Mohammad H. Taufik , Tariq Alkhalifah

We develop an iterative global solution scheme for the backward Kolmogorov equation of the diffusion approximation of the Wright-Fisher model of population genetics. That model describes the random genetic drift of several alleles at the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-06-20 Julian Hofrichter , Tat Dat Tran , Jürgen Jost

We study the evolution of a pathogen with two allelic types infecting a population of hosts, where within-host type frequencies evolve in discrete time. Our framework is built on a two-parameter family of transition kernels on [0,1], which…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-19 Fernando Cordero , Christian Jorquera , Héctor Olivero , Leonardo Videla

Consider a two-type Moran population of size $N$ with selection and mutation, where the selective advantage of the fit individuals is amplified at extreme environmental conditions. Assume selection and mutation are weak with respect to $N$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Fernando Cordero , Grégoire Véchambre

Generative Flow Networks (GFlowNets) are a family of probabilistic generative models that learn to sample compositional objects proportional to their rewards. One big challenge of GFlowNets is training them effectively when dealing with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Zarif Ikram , Ling Pan , Dianbo Liu

It is known that the time until a birth and death process reaches a certain level is distributed as a sum of independent exponential random variables. Diaconis, Miclo and Swart gave a probabilistic proof of this fact by coupling the birth…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-20 Tobiáš Hudec