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Within the context of capital adequacy, we study comonotonicity of risk measures in terms of the primitives of the theory: acceptance sets and eligible, or reference, assets. We show that comonotonicity cannot be characterized by the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-21 Pablo Koch-Medina , Cosimo Munari , Gregor Svindland

In this article, we present some specific aspects of symmetric Gamma process mixtures for use in regression models. We propose a new Gibbs sampler for simulating the posterior and we establish adaptive posterior rates of convergence related…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-29 Zacharie Naulet , Eric Barat

We propose a new sampling algorithm combining two quite powerful ideas in the Markov chain Monte Carlo literature -- adaptive Metropolis sampler and two-stage Metropolis-Hastings sampler. The proposed sampling method will be particularly…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-05 Anirban Mondal , Kai Yin , Abhijit Mandal

We provide an analytical argument for understanding the likely nature of parameter shifts between those coming from an analysis of a dataset and from a subset of that dataset, assuming differences are down to noise and any intrinsic…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-28 Steven Gratton , Anthony Challinor

There has been substantial interest in estimating the value of a graph parameter, i.e., of a real-valued function defined on the set of finite graphs, by querying a randomly sampled substructure whose size is independent of the size of the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-08-12 Carlos Hoppen , Yoshiharu Kohayakawa , Richard Lang , Hanno Lefmann , Henrique Stagni

Consider an M/M/$s$ queue with the additional feature that the arrival rate is a random variable of which only the mean, variance, and range are known. Using semi-infinite linear programming and duality theory for moment problems, we…

We propose a projected gradient dynamical system as a model for a bargaining scheme for an asset for which the two interested agents have personal valuations which do not initially coincide. The personal valuations are formed using…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-15 D. Pinheiro , A. A. Pinto , S. Z. Xanthopoulos , A. N. Yannacopoulos

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are widely used to sample from complicated distributions, especially to sample from the posterior distribution in Bayesian inference. However, MCMC is not directly applicable when facing the doubly…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-29 Guanyang Wang

In this contribution we consider the overall risk given as the sum of random subrisks $\mathbf{X}_j$ in the context of value-at-risk (VaR) based risk calculations. If we assume that the undertaking knows the parametric distribution family…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-07 Andreas Fröhlich , Annegret Weng

We consider two market designs for a network of prosumers, trading energy: (i) a centralized design which acts as a benchmark, and (ii) a peer-to-peer market design. High renewable energy penetration requires that the energy market design…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Ilia Shilov , Hélène Le Cadre , Ana Busic

In this paper, we begin our discussion with some of the well-known methods available in the literature for the estimation of the parameters of a univariate/multivariate stable distribution. Based on the available methods, a new hybrid…

Computation · Statistics 2019-02-27 Aastha M. Sathe , Neelesh. S. Upadhye

In the context of understanding the nature of the risk transformation process of the financial system we propose an iterative risk-trading game between several agents who build their trading strategies based on a general utility setting.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Stefan Thurner , Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Pichler

In this paper we study mean-variance hedging under the G-expectation framework. Our analysis is carried out by exploiting the G-martingale representation theorem and the related probabilistic tools, in a contin- uous financial market with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-26 Francesca Biagini , Jacopo Mancin , Thilo Meyer Brandis

Models with intractable likelihood functions arise in areas including network analysis and spatial statistics, especially those involving Gibbs random fields. Posterior parameter es timation in these settings is termed a doubly-intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-16 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

We address the problem that classical risk measures may not detect the tail risk adequately. This can occur for instance due to averaging when calculating the Expected Shortfall. The current literature proposes the so-called adjusted…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-24 Jascha Alexander , Christian Laudagé , Jörn Sass

Estimation of the degree of stability and the bounds of solutions to non-autonomous nonlinear systems present major concerns in numerous applied problems. Yet, current techniques are frequently yield overconservative conditions which are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Mark A. Pinsky

We tackle the problem of estimating risk measures of the infinite-horizon discounted cost within a Markov cost process. The risk measures we study include variance, Value-at-Risk (VaR), and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). First, we show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Gugan Thoppe , L. A. Prashanth , Sanjay Bhat

Financial undertakings often have to deal with liabilities of the form 'non-hedgeable claim size times value of a tradeable asset', e.g. foreign property insurance claims times fx rates. Which strategy to invest in the tradeable asset is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-30 Andreas Kunz , Markus Popp

Bayesian inference and the use of posterior or posterior predictive probabilities for decision making have become increasingly popular in clinical trials. The current practice in Bayesian clinical trials relies on a hybrid…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Shirin Golchi , James Willard

We propose a novel kinetic exchange model differing from previous ones in two main aspects. First, the basic dynamics is modified in order to represent economies where immediate wealth exchanges are carried out, instead of reshufflings or…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-07 Els Heinsalu , Marco Patriarca