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The characterization of record events is considered for a discrete-time random walk model with long-term memory arising from correlations between successive steps. An important feature is that the correlations are strong enough to give rise…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-02 Michael J. Kearney

We present an algorithm for marginalising changepoints in time-series models that assume a fixed number of unknown changepoints. Our algorithm is differentiable with respect to its inputs, which are the values of latent random variables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-25 Hyoungjin Lim , Gwonsoo Che , Wonyeol Lee , Hongseok Yang

Learning accurate predictive models of real-world dynamic phenomena (e.g., climate, biological) remains a challenging task. One key issue is that the data generated by both natural and artificial processes often comprise time series that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Abdul Fatir Ansari , Alvin Heng , Andre Lim , Harold Soh

We present a method that allows to distinguish between nearly periodic and strictly periodic time series. To this purpose, we employ a conservative criterion for periodicity, namely that the time series can be interpolated by a periodic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-11-11 Gerrit Ansmann

This paper is part of a program to combine a staggered time and staggered spatial discretization of continuum wave equations so that important properties of the continuum that are proved using vector calculus can be proven in an analogous…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-13 Stanly Steinberg

In the domain of time series analysis, particularly in event detection tasks, current methodologies predominantly rely on segmentation-based approaches, which predict the class label for each individual timesteps and use the changepoints of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-26 Clark Peng , Tolga Dinçer

Discrete event systems are present both in observations of nature, socio economical sciences, and industrial systems. Standard analysis approaches do not usually exploit their dual event / state nature: signals are either modeled as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Sylvain Marié , Pablo Knecht

Causal phenomena associated with rare events occur across a wide range of engineering problems, such as risk-sensitive safety analysis, accident analysis and prevention, and extreme value theory. However, current methods for causal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-19 Chih-Yuan Chiu , Kshitij Kulkarni , Shankar Sastry

Score-based diffusion models learn to reverse a stochastic differential equation that maps data to noise. However, for complex tasks, numerical error can compound and result in highly unnatural samples. Previous work mitigates this drift…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-12 Aaron Lou , Stefano Ermon

Deep sequence models are receiving significant interest in current machine learning research. By representing probability distributions that are fit to data using maximum likelihood estimation, such models can model data on general…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-09 Kristian Løvland , Bjarne Grimstad , Lars Struen Imsland

We study the safety verification problem for discrete-time stochastic systems. We propose an approach for safety verification termed set-erosion strategy that verifies the safety of a stochastic system on a safe set through the safety of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-04 Zishun Liu , Saber Jafarpour , Yongxin Chen

Diffusion models have revolutionized various application domains, including computer vision and audio generation. Despite the state-of-the-art performance, diffusion models are known for their slow sample generation due to the extensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Zehao Dou , Minshuo Chen , Mengdi Wang , Zhuoran Yang

Unsupervised representation learning, particularly sequential disentanglement, aims to separate static and dynamic factors of variation in data without relying on labels. This remains a challenging problem, as existing approaches based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Hedi Zisling , Ilan Naiman , Nimrod Berman , Supasorn Suwajanakorn , Omri Azencot

This paper is about the state estimation of timed probabilistic discrete event systems. The main contribution is to propose general procedures for developing state estimation approaches based on artificial neural networks. It is assumed…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-22 Omar Amri , Carla Seatzu , Alessandro Giua , Dimitri Lefebvre

Given real-time sensor data streams obtained from machines, how can we continuously predict when a machine failure will occur? This work aims to continuously forecast the timing of future events by analyzing multi-sensor data streams. A key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Kota Nakamura , Koki Kawabata , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

Discrete-value time series are sequences of measurements where each measurement is a discrete (categorical or integer) value. These time series are widely used in various fields, and their classification and clustering are essential for…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Artyom Gevorgyan , Albert Gevorgyan

Scientists often use observational time series data to study complex natural processes, but regression analyses often assume simplistic dynamics. Recent advances in deep learning have yielded startling improvements to the performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Cory Shain , William Schuler

Researchers develop models to explain the unknowns. These models typically involve parameters that capture tangible quantities, the estimation of which is desired. Parameter identifiability investigates the recoverability of the unknown…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Anuththara Sarathchandra , Azadeh Aghaeeyan , Pouria Ramazi

Persistence is an important characteristic of many complex systems in nature, related to how long the system remains at a certain state before changing to a different one. The study of complex systems' persistence involves different…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-05-05 S. Salcedo-Sanz , D. Casillas-Pérez , J. Del Ser , C. Casanova-Mateo , L. Cuadra , M. Piles , G. Camps-Valls

This paper deals with the problem of finite-time learning for unknown discrete-time nonlinear systems' dynamics, without the requirement of the persistence of excitation. Two finite-time concurrent learning methods are presented to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-17 Farzaneh Tatari , Christos Panayiotou , Marios Polycarpou