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Epidemic decision-making can effectively help the government to comprehensively consider public security and economic development to respond to public health and safety emergencies. Epidemic decision-making can effectively help the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-06 Yangxi Zhou , Junping Du , Zhe Xue , Zhenhui Pan , Weikang Chen

The spontaneous behavioral changes of the agents during an epidemic can have significant effects on the delay and the prevalence of its spread. In this work, we study a social distancing game among the agents of a population, who determine…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-13 A. -R. Lagos , I. Kordonis , G. P. Papavassilopoulos

An epidemic spreading in a network calls for a decision on the part of the network members: They should decide whether to protect themselves or not. Their decision depends on the trade-off between their perceived risk of being infected and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-17 George Theodorakopoulos , Jean-Yves Le Boudec , John S. Baras

The outbreak of an infectious disease in a human population can lead to individuals responding with preventive measures in an attempt to avoid getting infected. This leads to changes in contact patterns. However, as we show in this paper,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-15 Ka Yin Leung , Frank Ball , David Sirl , Tom Britton

The recent pandemic emphasized the need to consider the role of human behavior in shaping epidemic dynamics. In particular, it is necessary to extend beyond the classical epidemiological structures to fully capture the interplay between the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Leah LeJeune , Navid Ghaffarzadegan , Lauren Childs , Omar Saucedo

This study offers a new paradigm of individual-level modeling to address the grand challenge of incorporating human behavior in epidemic models. Using generative artificial intelligence in an agent-based epidemic model, each agent is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-07-12 Ross Williams , Niyousha Hosseinichimeh , Aritra Majumdar , Navid Ghaffarzadegan

In some systems, the behavior of the constituent units can create a `context' that modifies the direct interactions among them. This mechanism of indirect modification inspired us to develop a minimal model of context-dependent spreading.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-13 Giulio Burgio , Sergio Gómez , Alex Arenas

The spreading dynamics of infectious diseases is influenced by individual behaviours, which are in turn affected by the level of awareness about the epidemic. Modelling the co-evolution of disease transmission and behavioural changes within…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-27 Daniele Proverbio , Riccardo Tessarin , Giulia Giordano

The study proposes a modeling framework for investigating the disease dynamics with adaptive human behavior during a disease outbreak, considering the impacts of both local observations and global information. One important application…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-26 Xinwu Qian , Jiawei Xue , Satish V. Ukkusuri

can evolve simultaneously. For the information-driven adaptive process, susceptible (infected) individuals who have abilities to recognize the disease would break the links of their infected (susceptible) neighbors to prevent the epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-20 Xiu-Xiu Zhan , Chuang Liu , Gui-Quan Sun , Zi-Ke Zhang

This paper combines a canonical epidemiology model of disease dynamics with government policy of lockdown and testing, and agents' decision to social distance in order to avoid getting infected. The model is calibrated with data on deaths…

General Economics · Economics 2022-02-10 Shomak Chakrabarti , Ilia Krasikov , Rohit Lamba

Augmenting classical epidemiological models with information from the social sciences helps unveil the interplay between contagion dynamics and social responses. However, multidisciplinary integration of social analysis and epidemiological…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-29 Daniele Proverbio , Riccardo Tessarin , Giulia Giordano

Human interactions and mobility shape epidemic dynamics by facilitating disease outbreaks and their spatial spread across regions. Traditional models often isolate commuting and random mobility as separate behaviors, focusing either on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-11 Pablo Valgañón , Antonio Brotons , David Soriano-Paños , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

The exploration of epidemic dynamics on dynamically evolving ("adaptive") networks poses nontrivial challenges to the modeler, such as the determination of a small number of informative statistics of the detailed network state (that is, a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-07 Assimakis A. Kattis , Alexander Holiday , Ana-Andreea Stoica , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Epidemics exhibit interconnected processes that operate at multiple time and organizational scales, a hallmark of complex adaptive systems. Modern epidemiological modeling frameworks incorporate feedback between individual-level behavioral…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Baltazar Espinoza , Roger Sanchez , Jimmy Calvo-Monge , Fabio Sanchez

We considered a model for an infectious disease outbreak, when the depletion of susceptible individuals is negligible, and assumed that individuals adapt their behavior according to the information they receive about new cases. In line with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-27 Alessia andò , Simone De Reggi , Francesca Scarabel , Rossana Vermiglio , Jianhong Wu

During the outbreak of an epidemic, individuals may modify their behaviors in response to external (including local and global) infection-related information. However, the difference between local and global information in influencing the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-07-18 Zegang Huang , Xincheng Shu , Qi Xuan , Zhongyuan Ruan

We present a thorough inspection of the dynamical behavior of epidemic phenomena in populations with complex and heterogeneous connectivity patterns. We show that the growth of the epidemic prevalence is virtually instantaneous in all…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Marc Barthelemy , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

Pandemic control measures like lock-down, restrictions on restaurants and gatherings, social-distancing have shown to be effective in curtailing the spread of COVID-19. However, their sustained enforcement has negative economic effects. To…

Epidemics are emergent phenomena depending on the epidemiological characteristics of pathogens and the interaction and movement of people. Public transit systems have provided much important information about the movement of people, but…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-09-24 Zhanwei Du , Chao Gao , Yuan Bai , Yongjian Yang , Petter Holme