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In this work, we propose an observation system based on the available data which solution is one-be-one mapping to the forward problem(with the unknown initial function) solution. It implies their solutions share the same linear structure…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Dakang Cen , Zhiyuan Li , Wenlong Zhang

We consider the task of forecasting an infinite sequence of future observations based on some number of past observations, where the probability measure generating the observations is "suspected" to satisfy one or more of a set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-17 Vanessa Kosoy

Recent work has attempted to directly approximate the `function-space' or predictive posterior distribution of Bayesian models, without approximating the posterior distribution over the parameters. This is appealing in e.g. Bayesian neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-19 David R. Burt , Sebastian W. Ober , Adrià Garriga-Alonso , Mark van der Wilk

Classic Bayesian methods with complex models are frequently infeasible due to an intractable likelihood. Simulation-based inference methods, such as Approximate Bayesian Computing (ABC), calculate posteriors without accessing a likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-09 Elliot Maceda , Emily C. Hector , Amanda Lenzi , Brian J. Reich

This paper addresses the issue of inversion in cases where (1) the observation system is modeled by a linear transformation and additive noise, (2) the problem is ill-posed and regularization is introduced in a Bayesian framework by an a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-12 Jean-François Giovannelli

Bayesian linear inverse problems aim to recover an unknown signal from noisy observations, incorporating prior knowledge. This paper analyses a data-dependent method to choose the scale parameter of a Gaussian prior. The method we study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Maia Tienstra , Sebastian Reich

Observational astrophysics consists of making inferences about the Universe by comparing data and models. The credible intervals placed on model parameters are often as important as the maximum a posteriori probability values, as the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-15 Will J. Percival , Oliver Friedrich , Elena Sellentin , Alan Heavens

Inverse problems challenge existing neural operator architectures because ill-posed inverse maps violate continuity, uniqueness, and stability assumptions. We introduce B2B${}^{-1}$, an inverse basis-to-basis neural operator framework that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Adam J. Thorpe , Stepan Tretiakov , Dibakar Roy Sarkar , Krishna Kumar , Ufuk Topcu

In this chapter, we are concerned with inverse optimal control problems, i.e., optimization models which are used to identify parameters in optimal control problems from given measurements. Here, we focus on linear-quadratic optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-27 Stephan Dempe , Markus Friedemann , Felix Harder , Patrick Mehlitz , Gerd Wachsmuth

Inverse problems involve making inference about unknown parameters of a physical process using observational data. This paper investigates an important class of inverse problems -- the estimation of the initial condition of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-09 Xiao Liu , Kyongmin Yeo

Ordinary differential equation (ODE) models are widely used to describe systems in many areas of science. To ensure these models provide accurate and interpretable representations of real-world dynamics, it is often necessary to infer…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Selva Salimi , David J. Warne , Christopher Drovandi

We consider the inference problem for parameters in stochastic differential equation models from discrete time observations (e.g. experimental or simulation data). Specifically, we study the case where one does not have access to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Sebastian Krumscheid

Laplace approximation is a very useful tool in Bayesian inference and it claims a nearly Gaussian behavior of the posterior. \cite{SpLaplace2022} established some rather accurate finite sample results about the quality of Laplace…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Vladimir Spokoiny

Model misspecification constitutes a major obstacle to reliable inference in many inverse problems. Inverse problems in seismology, for example, are particularly affected by misspecification of wave propagation velocities. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Andrea Scarinci , Michael Fehler , Youssef Marzouk

Inverse problems are often ill-posed, with solutions that depend sensitively on data. In any numerical approach to the solution of such problems, regularization of some form is needed to counteract the resulting instability. This paper is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-09-14 S. L. Cotter , M. Dashti , A. M. Stuart

Inverse problems have many applications in science and engineering. In Computer vision, several image restoration tasks such as inpainting, deblurring, and super-resolution can be formally modeled as inverse problems. Recently, methods have…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Sai Bharath Chandra Gutha , Ricardo Vinuesa , Hossein Azizpour

Our understanding of physical systems generally depends on our ability to match complex computational modelling with measured experimental outcomes. However, simulations with large parameter spaces suffer from inverse problem instabilities,…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2020-01-22 M. F. Kasim , T. P. Galligan , J. Topp-Mugglestone , G. Gregori , S. M. Vinko

Selection bias arises when the probability that an observation enters a dataset depends on variables related to the quantities of interest, leading to systematic distortions in estimation and uncertainty quantification. For example, in…

Designing Luenberger observers for nonlinear systems involves the challenging task of transforming the state to an alternate coordinate system, possibly of higher dimensions, where the system is asymptotically stable and linear up to output…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-06 Muhammad Umar B. Niazi , John Cao , Xudong Sun , Amritam Das , Karl Henrik Johansson

With a Bayesian approach, the linear optics correction algorithm for storage rings is revisited. Starting from the Bayes' theorem, a complete linear optics model is simplified as "likelihood functions" and "prior probability distributions".…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2019-04-18 Yongjun Li , Robert Rainer , Weixing Cheng
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