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Bootstrapping can produce confidence levels for hypotheses about quadratic regression models - such as whether the U-shape is inverted, and the location of optima. The method has several advantages over conventional methods: it provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-09 Michael Wood

We consider an equivariant approach imposing data-driven bounds for the variances to avoid singular and spurious solutions in maximum likelihood (ML) estimation of clusterwise linear regression models. We investigate its use in the choice…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-17 R. Di Mari , R. Rocci , S. A. Gattone

In modern experimental science, there is a common problem of estimating the coefficients of a linear regression in a context where the variables of interest cannot be observed simultaneously. When there is a categorical variable that is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-10 Polina Arsenteva , Mohamed Amine Benadjaoud , Hervé Cardot

Cross-Validation (CV), and out-of-sample performance-estimation protocols in general, are often employed both for (a) selecting the optimal combination of algorithms and values of hyper-parameters (called a configuration) for producing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-28 Ioannis Tsamardinos , Elissavet Greasidou , Michalis Tsagris , Giorgos Borboudakis

Ensuring that predicted probabilities align with observed frequencies is critical in high-stakes domains such as clinical decision support, autonomous driving and financial risk assessment. Existing calibration methods typically apply a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Tomer Lavi , Bracha Shapira , Nadav Rappoport

Several new methods have been proposed for performing valid inference after model selection. An older method is sampling splitting: use part of the data for model selection and part for inference. In this paper we revisit sample splitting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman , Max G'Sell , Jing Lei

Frequentist robust variable selection has been extensively investigated in high-dimensional regression. Despite success, developing the corresponding statistical inference procedures remains a challenging task. Recently, tackling this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Kun Fan , Srijana Subedi , Vishmi Ridmika Dissanayake Pathiranage , Cen Wu

Background: Stepped wedge cluster randomized trials (SW-CRTs) involve sequential measurements within clusters over time. Initially, all clusters start in the control condition before crossing over to the intervention on a staggered…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Jale Basten , Katja Ickstadt , Nina Timmesfeld

In non-linear estimations, it is common to assess sampling uncertainty by bootstrap inference. For complex models, this can be computationally intensive. This paper combines optimization with resampling: turning stochastic optimization into…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-09 Jean-Jacques Forneron

This paper describes an approach to simultaneously identify clusters and estimate cluster-specific regression parameters from the given data. Such an approach can be useful in learning the relationship between input and output when the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-02 Udai Nagpal , Krishan Nagpal

In this paper, we develop uniform inference methods for the conditional mode based on quantile regression. Specifically, we propose to estimate the conditional mode by minimizing the derivative of the estimated conditional quantile function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Tao Zhang , Kengo Kato , David Ruppert

The big data trend has inspired feature-driven learning tasks, which cannot be handled by conventional machine learning models. Unstructured data produces very large binary matrices with millions of columns when converted to vector form.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-19 Anton Akusok , Emil Eirola

This article proposes a novel variance estimator for within-cluster resampling (WCR) and modified within-cluster resampling (MWCR) - two existing methods for analyzing longitudinal data. WCR is a simple but computationally intensive method,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-02 Daniel Xu , Pamela Shaw , Ian Barnett

Multivariate linear regression is a fundamental statistical task, but classical estimators such as ordinary least squares are highly sensitive to outliers. These may occur as casewise outliers that affect entire observations, or as outlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Fabio Centofanti , Mia Hubert , Peter J. Rousseeuw

As in other estimation scenarios, likelihood based estimation in the normal mixture set-up is highly non-robust against model misspecification and presence of outliers (apart from being an ill-posed optimization problem). A robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-20 Soumya Chakraborty , Ayanendranath Basu , Abhik Ghosh

We study inference for linear quantile regression with two-way clustered data. Using a separately exchangeable array framework and a projection decomposition of the quantile score, we characterize regime-dependent convergence rates and…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-26 Ulrich Hounyo , Jiahao Lin

Despite the popularity of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), the problem of uncertainty quantification (UQ) of CNN has been largely overlooked. Lack of efficient UQ tools severely limits the application of CNN in certain areas, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Hongfei Du , Emre Barut , Fang Jin

Continuous-time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) constitute a general and powerful framework for modeling continuous-time stochastic processes on networks. This makes them particularly attractive for learning the directed structures among…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-15 Dominik Linzner , Heinz Koeppl

Meta-regression models are commonly used to synthesize and compare effect sizes. Unfortunately, traditional meta-regression methods are ill-equipped to handle the complex and often unknown correlations among non-independent effect sizes.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-10 Zachary Fisher , Elizabeth Tipton

Posterior predictive p-values (ppps) have become popular tools for Bayesian model assessment, being general-purpose and easy to use. However, interpretation can be difficult because their distribution is not uniform under the hypothesis…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 Sally Paganin , Perry de Valpine