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Obtaining valid treatment effect inference remains a challenging problem when dealing with numerous instruments and non-sparse control variables. In this paper, we propose a novel ridge regularization-based instrumental variables method for…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-17 Xiduo Chen , Xingdong Feng , Antonio F. Galvao , Yeheng Ge

Despite decades of research and recent progress in adaptive control and reinforcement learning, there remains a fundamental lack of understanding in designing controllers that provide robustness to inherent non-asymptotic uncertainties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Benjamin Gravell , Tyler Summers

We consider the challenging problem of estimating causal effects from purely observational data in the bi-directional Mendelian randomization (MR), where some invalid instruments, as well as unmeasured confounding, usually exist. To address…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-15 Feng Xie , Zhen Yao , Lin Xie , Yan Zeng , Zhi Geng

Knowing the features of a complex system that are highly relevant to a particular target variable is of fundamental interest in many areas of science. Existing approaches are often limited to linear settings, sometimes lack guarantees, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Francesco Quinzan , Ashkan Soleymani , Patrick Jaillet , Cristian R. Rojas , Stefan Bauer

Agent-Based Model (ABM) validation is crucial as it helps ensuring the reliability of simulations, and causal discovery has become a powerful tool in this context. However, current causal discovery methods often face accuracy and robustness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Gene Yu , Ce Guo , Wayne Luk

Variable selection plays a fundamental role in high-dimensional data analysis. Various methods have been developed for variable selection in recent years. Well-known examples are forward stepwise regression (FSR) and least angle regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-01 Siliang Gong , Kai Zhang , Yufeng Liu

Instrumental variable (IV) and control function (CF) methods are powerful tools for causal effect estimation in the presence of unmeasured confounding, yet most existing approaches target only mean effects and/or demand substantial fitting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Geping Chen , Chunlin Li , Tianzhong Yang , Zhengyuan Zhu , Jing Zhou

The linear instrumental variable (IV) model is widely used in observational studies, yet its validity hinges on strong assumptions. Classical specification tests such as the Sargan-Hansen J test are limited to overidentified settings and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Cyrill Scheidegger , Malte Londschien , Peter Bühlmann

This paper investigates causal effect identification in latent variable Linear Non-Gaussian Acyclic Models (lvLiNGAM) using higher-order cumulants, addressing two prominent setups that are challenging in the presence of latent confounding:…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-09 Daniele Tramontano , Yaroslav Kivva , Saber Salehkaleybar , Mathias Drton , Negar Kiyavash

Causal inference is known to be very challenging when only observational data are available. Randomized experiments are often costly and impractical and in instrumental variable regression the number of instruments has to exceed the number…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Dominik Rothenhäusler , Peter Bühlmann , Nicolai Meinshausen

Deep learning vulnerability detection has shown promising results in recent years. However, an important challenge that still blocks it from being very useful in practice is that the model is not robust under perturbation and it cannot…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Md Mahbubur Rahman , Ira Ceka , Chengzhi Mao , Saikat Chakraborty , Baishakhi Ray , Wei Le

Querying causal effects from time-series data is important across various fields, including healthcare, economics, climate science, and epidemiology. However, this task becomes complex in the existence of time-varying latent confounders,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Debo Cheng , Ziqi Xu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Thuc duy Le , Xudong Guo , Shichao Zhang

Causal inference is a statistical paradigm for quantifying causal effects using observational data. It is a complex process, requiring multiple steps, iterations, and collaborations with domain experts. Analysts often rely on visualizations…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Grace Guo , Ehud Karavani , Alex Endert , Bum Chul Kwon

Missing outcome data is one of the principal threats to the validity of treatment effect estimates from randomized trials. The outcome distributions of participants with missing and observed data are often different, which increases the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-06 Iván Díaz , Mark J. van der Laan

This paper presents a simple method for carrying out inference in a wide variety of possibly nonlinear IV models under weak assumptions. The method is non-asymptotic in the sense that it provides a finite sample bound on the difference…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-09-12 Joel L. Horowitz

The problem of identifying the most discriminating features when performing supervised learning has been extensively investigated. In particular, several methods for variable selection in model-based classification have been proposed.…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-16 Andrea Cappozzo , Francesca Greselin , Thomas Brendan Murphy

Bridging the gap between internal and external validity is crucial for heterogeneous treatment effect estimation. Randomised controlled trials (RCTs), favoured for their internal validity due to randomisation, often encounter challenges in…

Functional logistic regression is a popular model to capture a linear relationship between binary response and functional predictor variables. However, many methods used for parameter estimation in functional logistic regression are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-15 Berkay Akturk , Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

In some causal inference scenarios, the treatment variable is measured inaccurately, for instance in epidemiology or econometrics. Failure to correct for the effect of this measurement error can lead to biased causal effect estimates.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Antti Pöllänen , Pekka Marttinen

This paper considers inference in a linear instrumental variable regression model with many potentially weak instruments, in the presence of heterogeneous treatment effects. I first show that existing test procedures, including those that…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-24 Luther Yap