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We study statistical inference on unit roots and cointegration for time series in a Hilbert space. We develop statistical inference on the number of common stochastic trends embedded in the time series, i.e., the dimension of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-17 Morten Ørregaard Nielsen , Won-Ki Seo , Dakyung Seong

There exists a correlation between geospatial activity temporal patterns and type of land use. A novel self-supervised approach is proposed to stratify landscape based on mobility activity time series. First, the time series signal is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Yi Cao , Swetava Ganguli , Vipul Pandey

We propose a new reconstruction operator that aims to recover the missing parts of a function given the observed parts. This new operator belongs to a new, very large class of functional operators which includes the classical regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Alois Kneip , Dominik Liebl

The most common state space reconstruction method in the analysis of chaotic time series is the Method of Delays (MOD). Many techniques have been suggested to estimate the parameters of MOD, i.e. the time delay $\tau$ and the embedding…

comp-gas · Physics 2015-06-24 Dimitris Kugiumtzis

For functional data lying on an unknown nonlinear low-dimensional space, we study manifold learning and introduce the notions of manifold mean, manifold modes of functional variation and of functional manifold components. These constitute…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-29 Dong Chen , Hans-Georg Müller

In a Networked Dynamical System (NDS), each node is a system whose dynamics are coupled with the dynamics of neighboring nodes. The global dynamics naturally builds on this network of couplings and it is often excited by a noise input with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Augusto Santos , Diogo Rente , Rui Seabra , José M. F. Moura

Probing signal injection is a well-established technique to extract additional information from a weakly (or non) observable dynamical system. Using averaging theory, a framework to analyse such schemes for general nonlinear systems has…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-11-20 Bowen Yi , Romeo Ortega , Houria Siguerdidjane , Juan E. Machado , Weidong Zhang

The problem of reconstructing nonlinear and complex dynamical systems from measured data or time series is central to many scientific disciplines including physical, biological, computer, and social sciences, as well as engineering and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-05-01 Wenxu Wang , Ying-Cheng Lai , Celso Grebogi

I develop a theoretical framework for inferring nonequilibrium equations of motion from incomplete experimental data. I focus on genuinely irreversible, Markovian processes, for which the incomplete data are given in the form of snapshots…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-24 Jochen Rau

In many scientific fields, such as economics and neuroscience, we are often faced with nonstationary time series, and concerned with both finding causal relations and forecasting the values of variables of interest, both of which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-01 Biwei Huang , Kun Zhang , Mingming Gong , Clark Glymour

Features of the Jacobian matrix of the delay coordinates map are exploited for quantifying the robustness and reliability of state and parameter estimations for a given dynamical model using an observed time series. Relevant concepts of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-07-23 Ulrich Parlitz , Jan Schumann-Bischoff , Stefan Luther

Stochastic processes defined on integer valued state spaces are popular within the physical and biological sciences. These models are necessary for capturing the dynamics of small systems where the individual nature of the populations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-15 Luke O'Loughlin , John Maclean , Andrew Black

A dynamical network, a graph whose nodes are dynamical systems, is usually characterized by a large dimensional space which is not always accesible due to the impossibility of measuring all the variables spanning the state space. Therefore,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-07-25 Irene Sendiña-Nadal , Christophe Letellier

With an increasing amount of observations on the dynamics of many complex systems, it is required to reveal the underlying mechanisms behind these complex dynamics, which is fundamentally important in many scientific fields such as climate,…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-19 Zhendong Yu , Haiping Huang

In this work, we study the problem of learning a nonlinear dynamical system by parameterizing its dynamics using basis functions. We assume that disturbances occur at each time step with an arbitrary probability $p$, which models the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Haixiang Zhang , Baturalp Yalcin , Javad Lavaei , Eduardo D. Sontag

Dynamical system theory is a widely used technique in the analysis of cosmological models. Within this framework, the equations describing the dynamics of a model are recast in terms of dimensionless variables, which evolve according to a…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-08-16 Santiago García-Serna , J. Bayron Orjuela-Quintana , César A. Valenzuela-Toledo , Hernán Ocampo-Durán

Functional data analysis, which models data as realizations of random functions over a continuum, has emerged as a useful tool for time series data. Often, the goal is to infer the dynamic connections (or time-varying conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Chunshan Liu , Daniel R. Kowal , James Doss-Gollin , Marina Vannucci

This paper provides the extension of the observability rank condition and the extension of the controllability rank condition to time-varying nonlinear systems. Previous conditions to check the state observability and controllability, only…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-24 Agostino Martinelli

When building linear or nonlinear models one is faced with the problem of selecting the best set of variable with which to predict the future dynamics. In nonlinear time series analysis the problem is to select the correct time delays in…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael Small

Classical controllability and observability characterise reachability and reconstructibility of the full system state and admit equivalent geometric and eigenvalue-based Popov-Belevitch-Hautus (PBH) tests. Motivated by large-scale and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-17 Tyrone Fernando