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Cross-sectional age-skill profiles suggest that workers' cognitive skills start declining by their thirties if not earlier. If accurate, such age-driven skill losses pose a major threat to the human capital of societies with rapidly aging…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-08 Eric A. Hanushek , Lavinia Kinne , Frauke Witthoeft , Ludger Woessmann

We consider an information update system where an information receiver requests updates from an information provider in order to minimize its age of information. The updates are generated at the transmitter as a result of completing a set…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Melih Bastopcu , Sennur Ulukus

We consider a model where an agent has a repeated decision to make and wishes to maximize their total payoff. Payoffs are influenced by an action taken by the agent, but also an unknown state of the world that evolves over time. Before…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-20 Nicole Immorlica , Ian Kash , Brendan Lucier

In this paper we study a class of insurance products where the policy holder has the option to insure $k$ of its annual Operational Risk losses in a horizon of $T$ years. This involves a choice of $k$ out of $T$ years in which to apply the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-03 Rodrigo S. Targino , Gareth W. Peters , Georgy Sofronov , Pavel V. Shevchenko

We consider a large, homogeneous portfolio of life or disability annuity policies. The policies are assumed to be independent conditional on an external stochastic process representing the economic-demographic environment. Using a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-27 Boualem Djehiche , Björn Löfdahl

Conceptual view of fitness and fitness measurement of strategic decisions on information systems, technological systems and innovation are becoming more important in recent years. This paper determines some dynamics of fitness landscape…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2011-07-04 H. Kemal Ilter

An important but understudied question in economics is how people choose when facing uncertainty in the timing of events. Here we study preferences over time lotteries, in which the payment amount is certain but the payment time is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-08-20 Yonatan Berman , Mark Kirstein

Age-specific mortality rates are often disaggregated by different attributes, such as sex, state, ethnic group and socioeconomic status. In making social policies and pricing annuity at national and subnational levels, it is important not…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-24 Han Lin Shang , Steven Haberman

I analyze long-term contracting in insurance markets with asymmetric information. The buyer privately observes her risk type, which evolves stochastically over time. A long-term contract specifies a menu of insurance policies, contingent on…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-09-01 Vitor Farinha Luz

Is transparency always beneficial in complex systems such as traffic networks and stock markets? How is transparency defined in multi-agent systems, and what is its optimal degree at which social welfare is highest? We take an agent-based…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Kshama Dwarakanath , Svitlana Vyetrenko , Toks Oyebode , Tucker Balch

We extend the lifecycle model (LCM) of consumption over a random horizon (a.k.a. the Yaari model) to a world in which (i.) the force of mortality obeys a diffusion process as opposed to being deterministic, and (ii.) a consumer can adapt…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-23 Huaxiong Huang , Moshe A. Milevsky , Thomas S. Salisbury

We introduce new mathematical methods to study the optimal portfolio size of investment portfolios over time, considering investors with varying skill levels. First, we explore the benefit of portfolio diversification on an annual basis for…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-26 Nick James , Max Menzies

We present a general approach to the pricing of products in finance and insurance in the multi-period setting. It is a combination of the utility indifference pricing and optimal intertemporal risk allocation. We give a characterization of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Kei Fukuda , Akihiko Inoue , Yumiharu Nakano

In business, politics and life, folk wisdom encourages people to aim for above-average results, but to not let the perfect be the enemy of the good. Here, we mathematically formalize and extend this folk wisdom. We model a time-limited…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-11 Ekaterina Landgren , Ryan E. Langendorf , Matthew G. Burgess

A recent study in the 2017 Living to 100 Monograph published by the Society of Actuaries suggests, in contrast to previous research, that the risk of death after 110 increases with age. By fitting a Gompertz model to estimated central death…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-06 Francisco Villavicencio , José Manuel Aburto

Lacking lifetime income data, most intergenerational mobility estimates are subject to lifecycle bias. Using long income series from Sweden and the US, we illustrate that standard correction methods struggle to account for one important…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-18 Ursula Mello , Martin Nybom , Jan Stuhler

In this article, I present a new approach and a novel model to the study of the life cycle of wages. The key idea is that wage can be thought as remuneration paid for the competency. It is assumed with the approach that there are three…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 S. I. Maximov

Many countries around the world have had to carry out radical reforms periodically in their pension systems. Global experience shows that it is important to optimize the costs of pension and social security systems in order to ensure a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-28 Marika Khozrevanidze

We study an asset allocation stochastic problem with restriction for a defined-contribution pension plan during the accumulation phase. We consider a financial market with stochastic interest rate, composed of a risk-free asset, a real zero…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-23 Calisto Guambe , Rodwell Kufakunesu , Gusti Van Zyl , Conrad Beyers

Economists have mainly focused on human capital accumulation rather than on the causes and consequences of human capital depreciation in late adulthood. To investigate how human capital depreciates over the life cycle, we examine how a…

General Economics · Economics 2022-12-09 Plamen Nikolov , Md Shahadath Hossain
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