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In many applications it is important to know whether the amount of fluctuation in a series of observations changes over time. In this article, we investigate different tests for detecting change in the scale of mean-stationary time series.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Carina Gerstenberger , Daniel Vogel , Martin Wendler

The purpose of this paper is to show that the use of heavy-tailed distributions in Financial problems is theoretically baseless and can lead to significant misunderstandings. The reason for this the authors see in an incorrect…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Lev B Klebanov , Irina V Volchenkova

Generalized Category Discovery (GCD) utilizes labeled samples of known classes to discover novel classes in unlabeled samples. Existing methods show effective performance on artificial datasets with balanced distributions. However,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Cuong Manh Hoang

In this paper we consider a stochastic model of perpetuity-type. In contrast to the classical affine perpetuity model of Kesten [12] and Goldie [8] all discount factors in the model are mutually independent. We prove that the tails of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-22 Thomas Mikosch , Mohsen Rezapour , Olivier Wintenberger

We propose a new Bayesian strategy for adaptation to smoothness in nonparametric models based on heavy tailed series priors. We illustrate it in a variety of settings, showing in particular that the corresponding Bayesian posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-30 Sergios Agapiou , Ismaël Castillo

We consider a discrete-time two-dimensional quasi-birth-and-death process (2d-QBD process for short) $\{(\boldsymbol{X}_n,J_n)\}$ on $\mathbb{Z}_+^2\times S_0$, where $\boldsymbol{X}_n=(X_{1,n},X_{2,n})$ is the level state, $J_n$ the phase…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-23 Toshihisa Ozawa

Beck et al. (2013) introduced a new distribution class J which contains many heavy-tailed and light-tailed distributions obeying the principle of a single big jump. Using a simple transformation which maps heavy-tailed distributions to…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-07 Hui Xu , Michael Scheutzow , Yuebao Wang

To achieve a greater general flexibility for modeling heavy-tailed bounded responses, a beta scale mixture model is proposed. Each member of the family is obtained by multiplying the scale parameter of the conditional beta distribution by a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Arno Otto , Andriëtte Bekker , Johan Ferreira , Lebogang Rathebe

Real-world networks may exhibit detachment phenomenon determined by the cancelling of previously existing connections. We discuss a tractable extension of Yule model to account for this feature. Analytical results are derived and discussed…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-01 Petr Lansky , Federico Polito , Laura Sacerdote

This paper investigates pooling strategies for tail index and extreme quantile estimation from heavy-tailed data. To fully exploit the information contained in several samples, we present general weighted pooled Hill estimators of the tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-08 Abdelaati Daouia , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

A variety of methods have been proposed for inference about extreme dependence for multivariate or spatially-indexed stochastic processes and time series. Most of these proceed by first transforming data to some specific extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-22 James E. Johndrow , Robert L. Wolpert

A new unimodal distribution family indexed by the mode and three other parameters is derived from a mixture of a Gumbel distribution for the maximum and a Gumbel distribution for the minimum. Properties of the proposed distribution are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang , Haiming Zhou

Based on the methods provided in Caeiro and Gomes (2002) and Fraga Alves (2001), a new class of location invariant Hill-type estimators is derived in this paper. Its asymptotic distributional representation and asymptotic normality are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-09-24 Jiaona Li , Zuoxiang Peng , Saralees Nadarajah

The study addresses the patterns of ground sealing for two different types of German cities during 2006 to 2018. By using urban scaling law and corresponding panel regressions, it can be shown that sealing of ground in the distribution of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-06 Rolf Bergs

Likelihood-free methods are useful for parameter estimation of complex models with intractable likelihood functions for which it is easy to simulate data. Such models are prevalent in many disciplines including genetics, biology, ecology…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Christopher Drovandi , David T Frazier

This study examines the varying coefficient model in tail index regression. The varying coefficient model is an efficient semiparametric model that avoids the curse of dimensionality when including large covariates in the model. In fact,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Koki Momoki , Takuma Yoshida

Detecting the emergence of an abrupt change-point is a classic problem in statistics and machine learning. Kernel-based nonparametric statistics have been used for this task which enjoy fewer assumptions on the distributions than the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Shuang Li , Yao Xie , Hanjun Dai , Le Song

The size of the giant component in the configuration model, measured by the asymptotic fraction of vertices in the component, is given by a well-known expression involving the generating function of the degree distribution. In this note, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Maria Deijfen , Sebastian Rosengren , Pieter Trapman

We investigate the asymptotic behavior of the steady-state queue length distribution under generalized max-weight scheduling in the presence of heavy-tailed traffic. We consider a system consisting of two parallel queues, served by a single…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2010-07-27 Krishna Jagannathan , Mihalis Markakis , Eytan Modiano , John N. Tsitsiklis

We investigate front propagation in systems with diffusive and sub-diffusive behavior. The scaling behavior of moments of the diffusive problem, both in the standard and in the anomalous cases, is not enough to determine the features of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-06 Maurizio Serva , Davide Vergni , Angelo Vulpiani
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