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A pipeline to evaluate the evolution of viral dynamics based on a new model-driven approach has been developed in the present study. The proposed methods exploit real data and the multiscale structure of the infection dynamics to provide…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-25 Andrea Bondesan , Antonio Piralla , Elena Ballante , Antonino Maria Guglielmo Pitrolo , Silvia Figini , Fausto Baldanti , Mattia Zanella

The viral load of patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 varies on logarithmic scales and possibly with age. Controversial claims have been made in the literature regarding whether the viral load distribution actually depends on the age of the…

RNA virus (e.g., SARS-CoV-2) evolves in a complex manner. Studying RNA virus evolution is vital for understanding molecular evolution and medicine development. Scientists lack, however, general frameworks to characterize the dynamics of RNA…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-20 Xiaofei Ge , Kaichao You , Zeren Tan , Hedong Hou , Yang Tian , Pei Sun

Monitoring wastewater concentrations of SARS-CoV-2 yields a low-cost, noninvasive method for tracking disease prevalence and provides early warning signs of upcoming outbreaks in the serviced communities. There is tremendous clinical and…

Despite the progress in medical data collection the actual burden of SARS-CoV-2 remains unknown due to under-ascertainment of cases. This was apparent in the acute phase of the pandemic and the use of reported deaths has been pointed out as…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-13 Anastasia Chatzilena , Nikolaos Demiris , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

During an infectious disease outbreak, providing accurate answers to policy questions about transmission requires a detailed model of the natural history of infectiousness. Unfortunately, direct measures of infectiousness are generally…

In December 2019, a newly discovered SARS-CoV-2 virus was emerged from China and propagated worldwide as a pandemic. In the absence of preventive medicine or a ready to use vaccine, mathematical models can provide useful scientific insights…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-30 Indrajit Ghosh

The acute phase of the Covid-19 pandemic has made apparent the need for decision support based upon accurate epidemic modeling. This process is substantially hampered by under-reporting of cases and related data incompleteness issues. In…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-10 Anastasios Apsemidis , Nikolaos Demiris

Increasing number in global COVID-19 cases demands for mathematical model to analyze the interaction between the virus dynamics and the response of innate and adaptive immunity. Here, based on the assumption of a weak and delayed response…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-13 Zhengqing Zhou , Zhiheng Zhao , Shuyu Shi , Jianghua Wu , Dianjie Li , Jianwei Li , Jingpeng Zhang , Ke Gui , Yu Zhang , Heng Mei , Yu Hu , Qi Ouyang , Fangting Li

SARS-CoV-2 is an upper respiratory system RNA virus that has caused over 3 million deaths and infecting over 150 million worldwide as of May 2021. With thousands of strains sequenced to date, SARS-CoV-2 mutations pose significant challenges…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-15 Yanyi Ding , Zhiyi Kuang , Yuxin Pei , Jeff Tan , Ziyu Zhang , Joseph Konan

More than any other infectious disease epidemic, the COVID-19 pandemic has been characterized by the generation of large volumes of viral genomic data at an incredible pace due to recent advances in high-throughput sequencing technologies,…

Covid-19 infection, which spread to the whole world in December 2019 and is still active, caused more than 250 thousand deaths in the world today. Researches on this subject have been focused on analyzing the genetic structure of the virus,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-25 Selcuk Yazar

In the past several months, COVID-19 has spread over the globe and caused severe damage to the people and the society. In the context of this severe situation, an effective drug discovery method to generate potential drugs is extremely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-26 Tianyue Cheng , Tianchi Fan , Landi Wang

With the huge spike in the COVID-19 cases across the globe and reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test remains a key component for rapid and accurate detection of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Satvik Tripathi

COVID-19 is an infection caused by SARS-CoV-2 (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus 2), which has caused a global outbreak. Current research efforts are focused on the understanding of the molecular mechanisms involved in…

The emerging global infectious COVID-19 coronavirus disease by novel Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) presents critical threats to global public health and the economy since it was identified in late December…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-25 Changchuan Yin

The novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) has led to a pandemic. The current testing regime based on Reverse Transcription-Polymerase Chain Reaction for SARS-CoV-2 has been unable to keep up with testing demands, and also suffers from a relatively…

The availability of SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2) virus data post-COVID has reached exponentially to an enormous magnitude, opening research doors to analyze its behavior. Various studies are conducted by…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Taslim Murad , Prakash Chourasia , Sarwan Ali , Imdad Ullah Khan , Murray Patterson

In this work, we aim to study that the dynamics behavior for cumulative number of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic can provide information on the overall behavior of the spread over daily time.The cumulative data can be synthesized in an empirical form…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-16 Hamieh Mohamad , Doumit Mary , Toufaily Joumana , Hamieh Tayssir

There are many sources of data giving information about the number of SARS-CoV-2 infections in the population, but all have major drawbacks, including biases and delayed reporting. For example, the number of confirmed cases largely…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-08 Nicholas J. Irons , Adrian E. Raftery
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