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This paper introduces a Bayesian hierarchical modeling framework within a fully probabilistic setting for crop yield estimation, model selection, and uncertainty forecasting under multiple future greenhouse gas emission scenarios. By…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-30 Dan Li , Vassili Kitsios , David Newth , Terence John O'Kane

We consider the prediction of weak effects in a multiple-output regression setup, when covariates are expected to explain a small amount, less than $\approx 1%$, of the variance of the target variables. To facilitate the prediction of the…

The recent availability of huge, many-dimensional data sets, like those arising from genome-wide association studies (GWAS), provides many opportunities for strengthening causal inference. One popular approach is to utilize these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-21 Ioan Gabriel Bucur , Tom Claassen , Tom Heskes

We propose a flexible nonparametric Bayesian modelling framework for multivariate time series of count data based on tensor factorisations. Our models can be viewed as infinite state space Markov chains of known maximal order with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-13 Zhongzhen Wang , Petros Dellaportas , Ioannis Kosmidis

We propose a novel spike and slab prior specification with scaled beta prime marginals for the importance parameters of regression coefficients to allow for general effect selection within the class of structured additive distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-30 Nadja Klein , Manuel Carlan , Thomas Kneib , Stefan Lang , Helga Wagner

Dynamic prediction of causal effects under different treatment regimes conditional on an individual's characteristics and longitudinal history is an essential problem in precision medicine. This is challenging in practice because outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Yizhen Xu , Jisoo Kim , Laura K. Hummers , Ami A. Shah , Scott Zeger

Bayesian networks are powerful statistical models to study the probabilistic relationships among set random variables with major applications in disease modeling and prediction. Here, we propose a continuous time Bayesian network with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Syed Hasib Akhter Faruqui , Adel Alaeddini , Jing Wang , Carlos A. Jaramillo

Real-world signals typically span across multiple dimensions, that is, they naturally reside on multi-way data structures referred to as tensors. In contrast to standard ``flat-view'' multivariate matrix models which are agnostic to data…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-04 Bruno Scalzo Dees , Anh-Huy Phan , Danilo P. Mandic

In high-dimensional Bayesian statistics, various methods have been developed, including prior distributions that induce parameter sparsity to handle many parameters. Yet, these approaches often overlook the rich spectral structure of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Tomoya Wakayama , Masaaki Imaizumi

We introduce a novel class of Bayesian mixtures for normal linear regression models which incorporates a further Gaussian random component for the distribution of the predictor variables. The proposed cluster-weighted model aims to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Konstantinos Perrakis

Methods utilizing instrumental variables have been a fundamental statistical approach to estimation in the presence of unmeasured confounding, usually occurring in non-randomized observational data common to fields such as economics and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-06 Charles Spanbauer , Wei Pan

Linear mixed-effects models are a central analytical tool for modeling hierarchical and longitudinal data, as they allow simultaneous representation of fixed and random sources of variation. In practice, inference for such models is most…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-12 Hilde Vinje , Lars Erik Gangsei

We present a Bayesian non-negative tensor factorization model for count-valued tensor data, and develop scalable inference algorithms (both batch and online) for dealing with massive tensors. Our generative model can handle overdispersed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-19 Changwei Hu , Piyush Rai , Changyou Chen , Matthew Harding , Lawrence Carin

Mixed modeling of extreme values and random effects is relatively unexplored topic. Computational difficulties in using the maximum likelihood method for mixed models and the fact that maximum likelihood method uses available data and does…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-05 Ali Reza Fotouhi

Invariant prediction [Peters et al., 2016] analyzes feature/outcome data from multiple environments to identify invariant features - those with a stable predictive relationship to the outcome. Such features support generalization to new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-10 Luhuan Wu , Mingzhang Yin , Yixin Wang , John P. Cunningham , David M. Blei

We propose a Bayesian tensor-on-tensor regression approach to predict a multidimensional array (tensor) of arbitrary dimensions from another tensor of arbitrary dimensions, building upon the Tucker decomposition of the regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-21 Kunbo Wang , Yanxun Xu

Genetic association studies for brain connectivity phenotypes have gained prominence due to advances in non-invasive imaging techniques and quantitative genetics. Brain connectivity traits, characterized by network configurations and unique…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-17 Xinyuan Tian , Yiting Wang , Selena Wang , Yi Zhao , Yize Zhao

We develop a Bayesian approach to predict a continuous or binary outcome from data that are collected from multiple sources with a multi-way (i.e.. multidimensional tensor) structure. As a motivating example we consider molecular data from…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 Jonathan Kim , Brian J. Sandri , Raghavendra B. Rao , Eric F. Lock

In recent years, image recognition method has been a research hotspot in various fields such as video surveillance, biometric identification, unmanned vehicles, human-computer interaction, and medical image recognition. Existing recognition…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Yunzhi Jin , Yanqing Zhang , Niansheng Tang

Distribution regression has recently attracted much interest as a generic solution to the problem of supervised learning where labels are available at the group level, rather than at the individual level. Current approaches, however, do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-18 Ho Chung Leon Law , Danica J. Sutherland , Dino Sejdinovic , Seth Flaxman