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Understanding the nuanced performance of machine learning models is essential for responsible deployment, especially in high-stakes domains like healthcare and finance. This paper introduces a novel framework, Conformalized Exceptional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Xin Du , Sikun Yang , Wouter Duivesteijn , Mykola Pechenizkiy

Traditional parametric econometric models often rely on rigid functional forms, while nonparametric techniques, despite their flexibility, frequently lack interpretability. This paper proposes a parsimonious alternative by modeling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-20 Ricardo Masini , Marcelo Medeiros

Uncertainty is ubiquitous in real-world data, and the assumptions underlying classical linear regression models are often violated in practice. Inspired by the theory of sublinear expectation, we consider a linear regression model where the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Xifeng Li , Shuzhen Yang

Ordinary least square (OLS), maximum likelihood (ML) and robust methods are the widely used methods to estimate the parameters of a linear regression model. It is well known that these methods perform well under some distributional…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-01-29 Şenay Özdemir , Olcay Arslan

In the field of equation learning, exhaustively considering all possible equations derived from a basis function dictionary is infeasible. Sparse regression and greedy algorithms have emerged as popular approaches to tackle this challenge.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-28 Daniel Nickelsen , Bubacarr Bah

Sensitivity analysis is important to assess the impact of unmeasured confounding in causal inference from observational studies. The marginal sensitivity model (MSM) provides a useful approach in quantifying the influence of unmeasured…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-14 Yi Zhang , Wenfu Xu , Zhiqiang Tan

We develop new methods to integrate experimental and observational data in causal inference. While randomized controlled trials offer strong internal validity, they are often costly and therefore limited in sample size. Observational data,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-04 Xuelin Yang , Licong Lin , Susan Athey , Michael I. Jordan , Guido W. Imbens

Additive smooth models, such as Generalized additive models (GAMs) of location, scale, and shape (GAMLSS), are a popular choice for modeling experimental data. However, software available to fit such models is usually not tailored…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-17 Joshua Krause , Jelmer P. Borst , Jacolien van Rij

Regression with a spherical response is challenging due to the absence of linear structure, making standard regression models inadequate. Existing methods, mainly parametric, lack the flexibility to capture the complex relationship induced…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Houren Hong , Janice L. Scealy , Andrew T. A. Wood , Yanrong Yang

We present a comprehensive framework for applying rigorous statistical techniques from econometrics to analyze and improve machine learning systems. We introduce key statistical methods such as Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Michaël Soumm

Machine Learning (ML) is gaining popularity for hypothesis-free discovery of risk and protective factors in healthcare studies. ML is strong at discovering nonlinearities and interactions, but this power is compromised by a lack of reliable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-01 Giorgio Spadaccini , Marjolein Fokkema , Mark A. van de Wiel

Regression calibration as developed by Rosner, Spiegelman and Willet is used to correct the bias in effect estimates due to measurement error in continuous exposures. The method involves two models: a measurement error model (MEM) relating…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Wenze Tang , Donna Spiegelman , Xiaomei Liao , Molin Wang

Making informed decisions about model adequacy has been an outstanding issue for regression models with discrete outcomes. Standard assessment tools for such outcomes (e.g. deviance residuals) often show a large discrepancy from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Lu Yang

Background: Multicollinearity inflates the variance of OLS coefficients, widening confidence intervals and reducing inferential reliability. Yet fixed variance inflation factor (VIF) cut-offs are often applied uniformly across studies with…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Stephanie CC van der Lubbe , Jose M Valderas , Evangelos Kontopantelis

A non linear regression approach which consists of a specific regression model incorporating a latent process, allowing various polynomial regression models to be activated preferentially and smoothly, is introduced in this paper. The model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Allou Samé , Gérard Govaert , Patrice Aknin

Multivariate probit models (MPM) have the appealing feature of capturing some of the dependence structure between the components of multidimensional binary responses. The key for the dependence modelling is the covariance matrix of an…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-15 Giusi Moffa , Jack Kuipers

Linear Mixed Model (LMM) is a common statistical approach to model the relation between exposure and outcome while capturing individual variability through random effects. However, this model assumes the homogeneity of the error term's…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Vincent Jeanselme , Marco Palma , Jessica K Barrett

The problem of model selection arises in a number of contexts, such as compressed sensing, subset selection in linear regression, estimation of structures in graphical models, and signal denoising. This paper generalizes the notion of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-03-06 Waheed U. Bajwa , Robert Calderbank , Sina Jafarpour

This paper introduces and analyzes a framework that accommodates general heterogeneity in regression modeling. It demonstrates that regression models with fixed or time-varying parameters can be estimated using the OLS and time-varying OLS…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-11 Liudas Giraitis , George Kapetanios , Yufei Li , Alexia Ventouri

Mixture modelling using elliptical distributions promises enhanced robustness, flexibility and stability over the widely employed Gaussian mixture model (GMM). However, existing studies based on the elliptical mixture model (EMM) are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-30 Shengxi Li , Zeyang Yu , Danilo Mandic
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