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This article develops general conditions for weak convergence of adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo processes and is shown to imply a weak law of large numbers for bounded Lipschitz continuous functions. This allows an estimation theory for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Austin Brown , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Variance plays a crucial role in risk-sensitive reinforcement learning, and most risk measures can be analyzed via variance. In this paper, we consider two law-invariant risks as examples: mean-variance risk and exponential utility risk.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-12 Shuai Ma , Jia Yuan Yu

This paper considers the martingale problem for a class of weakly coupled L\'{e}vy type operators. It is shown that under some mild conditions, the martingale problem is well-posed and uniquely determines a strong Markov process…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-25 Fubao Xi , Chao Zhu

For obtaining optimal first-order convergence guarantee for stochastic optimization, it is necessary to use a recurrent data sampling algorithm that samples every data point with sufficient frequency. Most commonly used data sampling…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-23 William G. Powell , Hanbaek Lyu

Matrix concentration inequalities provide information about the probability that a random matrix is close to its expectation with respect to the $l_2$ operator norm. This paper uses semigroup methods to derive sharp nonlinear matrix…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-08 De Huang , Joel A. Tropp

In many sequential decision-making problems one is interested in minimizing an expected cumulative cost while taking into account \emph{risk}, i.e., increased awareness of events of small probability and high consequences. Accordingly, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-04-07 Yinlam Chow , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Lucas Janson , Marco Pavone

Let $X,X_1,...,X_n$ be independent identically distributed random variables. The paper deals with the question about the behavior of the concentration function of the random variable $\sum_{k=1}^{n}a_k X_k$ according to the arithmetic…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-07 Yu. S. Eliseeva , A. Yu. Zaitsev

We prove new lower bounds for the upper tail probabilities of suprema of Gaussian processes. Unlike many existing bounds, our results are not asymptotic, but supply strong information when one is only a little into the upper tail. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-25 Adam J. Harper

The sub-Gaussian stable distribution is a heavy-tailed elliptically contoured law which has interesting applications in signal processing and financial mathematics. This work addresses the problem of feasible estimation of distributions. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Taras Bodnar , Dmitry Otryakhin , Erik Thorsen

We consider deep multivariate models for heterogeneous collections of random variables. In the context of computer vision, such collections may e.g. consist of images, segmentations, image attributes, and latent variables. When developing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Dmitrij Schlesinger , Boris Flach , Alexander Shekhovtsov

Sampling algorithms drive probabilistic machine learning, and recent years have seen an explosion in the diversity of tools for this task. However, the increasing sophistication of sampling algorithms is correlated with an increase in the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-02 Congye Wang , Matthew A. Fisher , Heishiro Kanagawa , Wilson Chen , Chris. J. Oates

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

Factorization machines (FMs) are a powerful tool for regression and classification in the context of sparse observations, that has been successfully applied to collaborative filtering, especially when side information over users or items is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Jill-Jênn Vie , Tomas Rigaux , Hisashi Kashima

Factors models are routinely used to analyze high-dimensional data in both single-study and multi-study settings. Bayesian inference for such models relies on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods which scale poorly as the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Blake Hansen , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , Massimiliano Russo , Roberta De Vito

For a Gaussian process $X$ and smooth function $f$, we consider a Stratonovich integral of $f(X)$, defined as the weak limit, if it exists, of a sequence of Riemann sums. We give covariance conditions on $X$ such that the sequence converges…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-10 Daniel Harnett , David Nualart

Characteristic functions of weighted sums of independent random variables exhibit low-rank structure in the quantized tensor train (QTT) representation, also known as matrix product states (MPS), enabling up to exponential compression of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-25 Juan José Rodríguez-Aldavero , Juan José García-Ripoll

Given a connected finite graph $G$, an integer-valued function $f$ on $V(G)$ is called $M$-Lipschitz if the value of $f$ changes by at most $M$ along the edges of $G$. In 2013, Peled, Samotij, and Yehudayoff showed that random $M$-Lipschitz…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Robert A. Krueger , Lina Li , Jinyoung Park

We establish maximal concentration bounds for the iterates generated by stochastic approximation algorithms with general step sizes, where the noise has a finite-state Markovian component plus a Martingale-difference component. When the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Shubhada Agrawal , Siva Theja Maguluri , Martin Zubeldia

Let M be a noncompact metric space in which every closed ball is compact, and let G be a semigroup of Lipschitz mappings of M. Denote by (Y_n)_{n\geq1} a sequence of independent G-valued, identically distributed random variables (r.v.'s),…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Hubert Hennion , Loic Herve

We prove the existence of limiting distributions for a large class of Markov chains on a general state space in a random environment. We assume suitable versions of the standard drift and minorization conditions. In particular, the system…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-04 Attila Lovas , Miklós Rásonyi