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An introduction to the use of linchpin variables in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is provided. Before the widespread adoption of MCMC methods, conditional sampling using linchpin variables was essentially the only practical approach for…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-26 Dootika Vats , Felipe Acosta , Mark L. Huber , Galin L. Jones

Let $X,X_1,...,X_n$ be independent identically distributed random variables. In this paper we study the behavior of the concentration functions of the weighted sums $\sum\limits_{k=1}^{n}a_k X_k$ with respect to the arithmetic structure of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-12 Yulia S. Eliseeva , Friedrich Götze , Andrei Yu. Zaitsev

We propose a novel approach to concentration for non-independent random variables. The main idea is to ``pretend'' that the random variables are independent and pay a multiplicative price measuring how far they are from actually being…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Amedeo Roberto Esposito , Marco Mondelli

Following the concentration of the measure theory formalism, we consider the transformation $\Phi(Z)$ of a random variable $Z$ having a general concentration function $\alpha$. If the transformation $\Phi$ is $\lambda$-Lipschitz with…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Cosme Louart

Let $\alpha$ be a Steinhaus or a Rademacher random multiplicative function. For a wide class of multiplicative functions $f$ we show that the sum $\sum_{n \le x}\alpha(n) f(n)$, normalised to have mean square $1$, has a non-Gaussian…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-07 Ofir Gorodetsky , Mo Dick Wong

This paper develops a general concentration inequality for the suprema of empirical processes with dependent data. The concentration inequality is obtained by combining generic chaining with a coupling-based strategy. Our framework…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-23 Chiara Amorino , Christian Brownlees , Ankita Ghosh

Structured distributions, i.e. distributions over combinatorial spaces, are commonly used to learn latent probabilistic representations from observed data. However, scaling these models is bottlenecked by the high computational and memory…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Justin T. Chiu , Yuntian Deng , Alexander M. Rush

The paper deals with the asymptotic laws of functional of standard random variables. These classes of statistics are closely related to estimators of the extreme value index when the underlying distribution function is in the Weibull domain…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-22 Gane Samb Lo , Adja Mbarka Fall , Cheikhna Hamallah Ndiaye , Akym Adekpejou

We prove concentration inequalities for $f\left( X\right) $ about its median, where $X$ is a random vector in $\mathbb{R}^n$ with independent heavy tailed coordinates of Weibull or power type, and $f:\mathbb{R}^n\rightarrow\mathbb{R}$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-12 Daniel J. Fresen

We give Hoeffding and Bernstein-type concentration inequalities for the largest eigenvalue of sums of random matrices arising from a Markov chain. We consider time-dependent matrix-valued functions on a general state space, generalizing…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Joe Neeman , Bobby Shi , Rachel Ward

We introduce a novel framework to account for sensitivity to rewards uncertainty in sequential decision-making problems. While risk-sensitive formulations for Markov decision processes studied so far focus on the distribution of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-16 Nelson Vadori , Sumitra Ganesh , Prashant Reddy , Manuela Veloso

A rescaled Markov chain converges uniformly in probability to the solution of an ordinary differential equation, under carefully specified assumptions. The presentation is much simpler than those in the outside literature. The result may be…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. W. R. Darling

In this paper, we present a brief survey of Reinforcement Learning (RL), with particular emphasis on Stochastic Approximation (SA) as a unifying theme. The scope of the paper includes Markov Reward Processes, Markov Decision Processes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Mathukumalli Vidyasagar

This note provides a basic description of subgaussianity, by defining $(\sigma, \rho)$-subgaussian random variables $X$ ($\sigma>0, \rho>0$) as those satisfying $\mathbb{E}(\exp(\lambda X))\leq \rho\exp(\frac{1}{2}\sigma^2\lambda^2)$ for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-11 Yang Li

Penalized and robust regression, especially when approached from a Bayesian perspective, can involve the problem of simulating a random variable $\boldsymbol z$ from a posterior distribution that includes a term proportional to a sum of…

Computation · Statistics 2024-08-06 Maryclare Griffin

We consider a Markov chain X_1, X_2, ..., X_n belonging to a class of iterated random functions, which is "one-step contracting" with respect to some distance d. If f is any separately Lipschitz function with respect to d, we use a well…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-18 Jérôme Dedecker , Xiequan Fan

We demonstrate the use of a variational method to determine a quantitative lower bound on the rate of convergence of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms as a function of the target density and proposal density. The bound relies on…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-05-29 Fergal P. Casey , Joshua J. Waterfall , Ryan N. Gutenkunst , Christopher R. Myers , James P. Sethna

We consider the problem of inferring a latent function in a probabilistic model of data. When dependencies of the latent function are specified by a Gaussian process and the data likelihood is complex, efficient computation often involve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-23 Martin Tegner , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Stephen Roberts

We consider two examples for a well-known method for obtaining concentration of measure (COM) bounds for a given observable in a given measure. The method is to consider an auxiliary Markov chain for which the invariant distribution is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-25 Michael Froehlich , Shannon Starr

We introduce a class of Markov chains, that contains the model of stochastic approximation by averaging and non-averaging. Using martingale approximation method, we establish various deviation inequalities for separately Lipschitz functions…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-16 Xiequan Fan , Pierre Alquier , Paul Doukhan