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Precisely estimating out-of-sample upper quantiles is very important in risk assessment and in engineering practice for structural design to prevent a greater disaster. For this purpose, the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution has…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-24 Yonggwan Shin , Yire Shin , Jihong Park , Jeong-Soo Park

In this paper, we mainly focus on the penalized maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the high-dimensional approximate factor model. Since the current estimation procedure can not guarantee the positive definiteness of the error covariance…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-18 Shaoxin Wang , Hu Yang , Chaoli Yao

We consider the problem of parametric statistical inference when likelihood computations are prohibitively expensive but sampling from the model is possible. Several so-called likelihood-free methods have been developed to perform inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-14 Owen Thomas , Ritabrata Dutta , Jukka Corander , Samuel Kaski , Michael U. Gutmann

We study model evaluation and model selection from the perspective of generalization ability (GA): the ability of a model to predict outcomes in new samples from the same population. We believe that GA is one way formally to address…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-19 Ning Xu , Jian Hong , Timothy C. G. Fisher

This paper considers robust modeling of the survival time for cancer patients. Accurate prediction can be helpful for developing therapeutic and care strategies. We propose a unified Expectation-Maximization approach combined with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-23 Yi Li , Muxuan Liang , Lu Mao , Sijian Wang

We consider the problem of sparse estimation via a lasso-type penalized likelihood procedure in a factor analysis model. Typically, the model estimation is done under the assumption that the common factors are orthogonal (uncorrelated).…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-25 Kei Hirose , Michio Yamamoto

The skew-normal and the skew-$t$ distributions are parametric families which are currently under intense investigation since they provide a more flexible formulation compared to the classical normal and $t$ distributions by introducing a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-13 Adelchi Azzalini , Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle

Penalized regression methods, most notably the lasso, are a popular approach to analyzing high-dimensional data. An attractive property of the lasso is that it naturally performs variable selection. An important area of concern, however, is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Ryan Miller , Patrick Breheny

Change-point processes are one flexible approach to model long time series. We propose a method to uncover which model parameter truly vary when a change-point is detected. Given a set of breakpoints, we use a penalized likelihood approach…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-09 Arnaud Dufays , Aristide Houndetoungan , Alain Coën

Penalized methods are applied to quasi likelihood analysis for stochastic differential equation models. In this paper, we treat the quasi likelihood function and the associated statistical random field for which a polynomial type large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Yoshiki Kinoshita , Nakahiro Yoshida

A new statistical procedure, based on a modified spline basis, is proposed to identify the linear components in the panel data model with fixed effects. Under some mild assumptions, the proposed procedure is shown to consistently estimate…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-11-21 Ruiqi Liu , Ben Boukai , Zuofeng Shang

The B-spline copula function is defined by a linear combination of elements of the normalized B-spline basis. We develop a modified EM algorithm, to maximize the penalized pseudo-likelihood function, wherein we use the smoothly clipped…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Xiaoling Dou , Satoshi Kuriki , Gwo Dong Lin , Donald Richards

Standard random-effects meta-analysis relies heavily on the assumption that the underlying true effects are normally distributed. In the social sciences, where evidence synthesis increasingly involves large, highly heterogeneous datasets,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-01 Daihe Sui , Elizabeth Tipton

Industrial control applications require detecting system anomalies as accurately and quickly as possible to enable prompt maintenance. In this context, it is common to consider several possible plant models, each linked to a different…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-14 Alejandro Penacho Riveiros , Matthieu Barreau , Nicola Bastianello

Skew normal model suffers from inferential drawbacks, namely singular Fisher information in the vicinity of symmetry and diverging of maximum likelihood estimation. To address the above drawbacks, Azzalini and Arellano-Valle (2013)…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-25 Jian Zhang , Tong Wang

Shared frailty models have been proposed to accommodate unmeasured cluster-specific risk factors through the inclusion of a common latent frailty term. Among possible frailty distributions, the Gamma distribution is appealing due to its…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Piotr Lewczuk , Oswaldo Gressani , Steven Abrams , Christel Faes

The identification of predictive biomarkers from a large scale of covariates for subgroup analysis has attracted fundamental attention in medical research. In this article, we propose a generalized penalized regression method with a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-29 Chong Ma , Wenxuan Deng , Shuangge Ma , Ray Liu , Kevin Galinsky

Inference for models with recursively defined likelihoods is computationally demanding, limiting scalability to large datasets. We propose a stabilised weighted subsampling methodology for accelerated inference based on an unbiased…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Matias Quiroz , Aishwarya Bhaskaran , Zixuan Wang , Thomas Goodwin

Multivariate meta-analysis of test accuracy studies when tests are evaluated in terms of sensitivity and specificity at more than one threshold represents an effective way to synthesize results by fully exploiting the data, if compared to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-29 Annamaria Guolo , Duc Khanh To

Multi-state models provide an extension of the usual survival/event-history analysis setting. In the medical domain, multi-state models give the possibility of further investigating intermediate events such as relapse and remission. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-24 D. Manevski , H. Putter , M. Pohar Perme , E. F. Bonneville , J. Schetelig , L. C. de Wreede