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The weather and climate domains are undergoing a significant transformation thanks to advances in AI-based foundation models such as FourCastNet, GraphCast, ClimaX and Pangu-Weather. While these models show considerable potential, they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Junqi Yin , Siming Liang , Siyan Liu , Feng Bao , Hristo G. Chipilski , Dan Lu , Guannan Zhang

We are interested in the online prediction of the electricity load, within the Bayesian framework of dynamic models. We offer a review of sequential Monte Carlo methods, and provide the calculations needed for the derivation of so-called…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-16 Tristan Launay , Anne Philippe , Sophie Lamarche

In this work, we develop tracking and estimation techniques relevant to underwater targets. Particularly, we explore particle filtering techniques for target tracking. It is a numerical approximation method for implementing a recursive…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-11 T M Feroz Ali

In this study, we explore data assimilation for the Stochastic Camassa-Holm equation through the application of the particle filtering framework. Specifically, our approach integrates adaptive tempering, jittering, and nudging techniques to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Colin John Cotter , Dan Crisan , Maneesh Kumar Singh

Differentiable particle filters are an emerging class of particle filtering methods that use neural networks to construct and learn parametric state-space models. In real-world applications, both the state dynamics and measurements can…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-04 Wenhan Li , Xiongjie Chen , Wenwu Wang , Víctor Elvira , Yunpeng Li

State filtering is a key problem in many signal processing applications. From a series of noisy measurement, one would like to estimate the state of some dynamic system. Existing techniques usually adopt a Gaussian noise assumption which…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-16 Bin Liu

Particle filters provide Monte Carlo approximations of intractable quantities such as point-wise evaluations of the likelihood in state space models. In many scenarios, the interest lies in the comparison of these quantities as some…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-19 Pierre E. Jacob , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Bayesian filtering is a well-known problem that aims to estimate plausible states of a dynamical system from observations. Among existing approaches to solve this problem, particle filters are theoretically exact for non-linear dynamics and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Thomas Savary , François Rozet , Gilles Louppe

State estimation in non-linear models is performed by tracking the posterior distribution recursively. A plethora of algorithms have been proposed for this task. Among them, the Gaussian particle filter uses a weighted set of particles to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-05 Karthik Comandur , Yunpeng Li , Santosh Nannuru

This paper introduces the {\it particle swarm filter} (not to be confused with particle swarm optimization): a recursive and embarrassingly parallel algorithm that targets an approximation to the sequence of posterior predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-16 Taylor R. Brown

The simulation of high-energy physics collision events is a key element for data analysis at present and future particle accelerators. The comparison of simulation predictions to data allows looking for rare deviations that can be due to…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2024-07-16 Francesco Vaselli , Filippo Cattafesta , Patrick Asenov , Andrea Rizzi

Particle flow filters solve Bayesian inference problems by smoothly transforming a set of particles into samples from the posterior distribution. Particles move in state space under the flow of an McKean-Vlasov-Ito process. This work…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-02 Amit N Subrahmanya , Andrey A Popov , Adrian Sandu

Particle filtering is a recursive Bayesian estimation technique that has gained popularity recently for tracking and localization applications. It uses Monte Carlo simulation and has proven to be a very reliable technique to model…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Adithya Krishna , André van Schaik , Chetan Singh Thakur

Data assimilation provides algorithms for widespread applications in various fields. It is of practical use to deal with a large amount of information in the complex system that is hard to estimate. Weather forecasting is one of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Yihua Yang

Particle filtering is a powerful approximation method that applies to state estimation in nonlinear and non-Gaussian dynamical state-space models. Unfortunately, the approximation error depends exponentially on the system dimension. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Francesco Bertoli , Adrian N. Bishop

We present a novel, real-time algorithm to track the trajectory of each pedestrian in moderately dense crowded scenes. Our formulation is based on an adaptive particle-filtering scheme that uses a combination of various multi-agent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-09-17 Aniket Bera , David Wolinski , Julien Pettré , Dinesh Manocha

Particle filters are applicable to a wide range of nonlinear, non-Gaussian state-space models and have already been applied to a variety of problems. However, there is a problem in the calculation of smoothed distributions, where particles…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-16 G. Kitagawa

We show, using idealized models, that numerical data assimilation can be successful only if an effective dimension of the problem is not excessive. This effective dimension depends on the noise in the model and the data, and in physically…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-15 Alexandre J. Chorin , Matthias Morzfeld

Complex systems are often described with competing models. Such divergence of interpretation on the system may stem from model fidelity, mathematical simplicity, and more generally, our limited knowledge of the underlying processes.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-07-21 Lun Yang , Akil Narayan , Peng Wang

Modern parallel computing devices, such as the graphics processing unit (GPU), have gained significant traction in scientific and statistical computing. They are particularly well-suited to data-parallel algorithms such as the particle…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-12 Lawrence M. Murray , Anthony Lee , Pierre E. Jacob