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Scoring goals in a soccer match can be interpreted as a stochastic process. In the most simple description of a soccer match one assumes that scoring goals can be described by a constant goal rate for each team, implying simple Poissonian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-07-19 Andreas Heuer , Oliver Rubner

Professional team sports provide an excellent domain for studying the dynamics of social competitions. These games are constructed with simple, well-defined rules and payoffs that admit a high-dimensional set of possible actions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-06-17 Leto Peel , Aaron Clauset

Modelling football outcomes has gained increasing attention, in large part due to the potential for making substantial profits. Despite the strong connection existing between football models and the bookmakers' betting odds, no authors have…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-27 Leonardo Egidi , Francesco Pauli , Nicola Torelli

In the four major North American professional sports (baseball, basketball, football, and hockey), the primary purpose of the regular season is to determine which teams most deserve to advance to the playoffs. Interestingly, while the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-29 Julian Wolfson , Joseph S. Koopmeiners

We use multivariate change point analysis methods, to identify not only mean shifts but also changes in variance across a wide array of statistical time series. Our primary objective is to empirically discern distinct eras in the evolution…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-04 Mena CR Whalen , Gregory J Matthews , Brian M Mills

This study evaluates the effectiveness of the two-for-one strategy in basketball by applying a causal inference framework to play-by-play data from the 2018-19 and 2021-22 National Basketball Association regular seasons. Incorporating…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-08 Prateek Sasan , Daryl Swartzentruber

The use of statistical methods in sport analytics has gained a rapidly growing interest over the last decade, and nowadays is common practice. In particular, the interest in understanding and predicting an athlete's performance throughout…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-21 Patric Dolmeta , Raffaele Argiento , Silvia Montagna

Volleyball has become a competitive sport with high physical and technical performance. Matches results are based on the players and teams'skills as technical and tactical strategies to succeed in a championship. At this point, some studies…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-19 Taciana K. O. Shimizu , Francisco Louzada , Adriano K. Suzuki

Advanced analytics have transformed how sports teams operate, particularly in episodic sports like baseball. Their impact on continuous invasion sports, such as soccer and ice hockey, has been limited due to increased game complexity and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-26 David Radke , Kyle Tilbury

The aim of this paper is to study the historical evolution of mathematical thinking and its spatial spreading. To do so, we have collected and integrated data from different online academic datasets. In its final stage, the database…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2016-03-22 Floriana Gargiulo , Auguste Caen , Renaud Lambiotte , Timoteo Carletti

Technology has had an unquestionable impact on the way people watch sports. Along with this technological evolution has come a higher standard to ensure a good viewing experience for the casual sports fan. It can be argued that the…

Applications · Statistics 2011-10-12 Gagan Sidhu

Performance prediction or forecasting sporting outcomes involves a great deal of insight into the particular area one is dealing with, and a considerable amount of intuition about the factors that bear on such outcomes and performances. The…

Basketball shot location data provide valuable summary information regarding players to coaches, sports analysts, fans, statisticians, as well as players themselves. Represented by spatial points, such data are naturally analyzed with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-24 Fan Yin , Jieying Jiao , Guanyu Hu , Jun Yan

A same-score streak in sports is a sequence of games where the scores are equivalent in all games. The motivating problem arose from college basketball, however due to the difficulty in collecting data, streaks in Major League Baseball…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-08 Peter Staab , Rick Cleary

Handball has received growing interest during the last years, including academic research for many different aspects of the sport. On the other hand modelling the outcome of the game has attracted less interest mainly because of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-08 Dimitris Karlis , Rouven Michels , Marius Otting

In the sports of soccer, hockey and basketball the most commonly used statistics for player performance assessment are divided into two categories: offensive statistics and defensive statistics. However, qualitative assessments of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-04 Shael Brown

In team-based invasion sports such as soccer and basketball, analytics is important for teams to understand their performance and for audiences to understand matches better. The present work focuses on performing visual analytics to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Kun Zhao , Takayuki Osogami , Tetsuro Morimura

According to recent empirical studies, the group draw of major sports tournaments can imply a high level of uncertainty, and some lucky teams enjoy an unfair advantage over the other teams. We propose a novel technique to quantify this draw…

It is common to be interested in rankings or order relationships among entities. In complex settings where one does not directly measure a univariate statistic upon which to base ranks, such inferences typically rely on statistical models…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Andres F. Barrientos , Deborshee Sen , Garritt L Page , David B Dunson

The paper investigates the qualification for the UEFA Champions League, the most prestigious club competition in European football with respect to the theoretical property of strategy-proofness. We find that in three seasons (2015-16,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-09-04 László Csató