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We study statistical parameter estimation in the setting of data markets. A buyer seeks to estimate a parameter based on samples that can be purchased from competing providers that differ in their data quality and provision costs. When…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Yuchen Hu , Martin J. Wainwright , Stephen Bates

Approximate Competitive Equilibrium from Equal Incomes (A-CEEI) is an equilibrium-based solution concept for fair division of discrete items to agents with combinatorial demands. In theory, it is known that in asymptotically large markets:…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Eric Budish , Ruiquan Gao , Abraham Othman , Aviad Rubinstein , Qianfan Zhang

In this paper, we examine the biases that arise when firms run A/B tests on continuous parameters to estimate global treatment effects on performance metrics of interest; we particularly focus on price experiments to measure the price…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Ramesh Johari , Orrie B. Page , Gabriel Y. Weintraub

We present Causal Posterior Estimation (CPE), a novel method for Bayesian inference in simulator models, i.e., models where the evaluation of the likelihood function is intractable or too computationally expensive, but where one can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Simon Dirmeier , Antonietta Mira

The main contribution of this paper is the development of a novel approach to multi-scale analysis that we believe can be used to analyse processes with non-equilibrium dynamics. Our approach will be referred to as \emph{multi-scale…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Thomas Finn , Alexandre Stauffer

Bidding in simultaneous auctions is challenging because an agent's value for a good in one auction may depend on the uncertain outcome of other auctions: the so-called exposure problem. Given the gap in understanding of general simultaneous…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Michael P. Wellman , Eric Sodomka , Amy Greenwald

We study the revenue comparison problem of auctions when the seller has a maxmin expected utility preference. The seller holds a set of priors around some reference belief, interpreted as an approximating model of the true probability law…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-11-24 Sosung Baik , Sung-Ha Hwang

We study a dynamic market setting where an intermediary interacts with an unknown large sequence of agents that can be either sellers or buyers: their identities, as well as the sequence length $n$, are decided in an adversarial, online…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-29 Yiannis Giannakopoulos , Elias Koutsoupias , Philip Lazos

Model monitoring is a critical component of the machine learning lifecycle, safeguarding against undetected drops in the model's performance after deployment. Traditionally, performance monitoring has required access to ground truth labels,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Juhani Kivimäki , Jakub Białek , Wojtek Kuberski , Jukka K. Nurminen

In recent years, data has played an increasingly important role in the economy as a good in its own right. In many settings, data aggregators cannot directly verify the quality of the data they purchase, nor the effort exerted by data…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Tyler Westenbroek , Roy Dong , Lillian J. Ratliff , S. Shankar Sastry

A/B testing is ubiquitous within the machine learning and data science operations of internet companies. Generically, the idea is to perform a statistical test of the hypothesis that a new feature is better than the existing platform---for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-11 David Goldberg , James E. Johndrow

Major Internet advertising platforms offer budget pacing tools as a standard service for advertisers to manage their ad campaigns. Given the inherent non-stationarity in an advertiser's value and also competing advertisers' values over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Santiago Balseiro , Rachitesh Kumar , Vahab Mirrokni , Balasubramanian Sivan , Di Wang

Estimating generation costs from observed electricity market data is essential for market simulation, strategic bidding, and system planning. To that end, we model the relationship between generation costs and production schedules with a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-10 Matthias Pirlet , Adrien Bolland , Alexandre Huynen , Quentin Louveaux , Gilles Louppe , Damien Ernst

In lowest unique bid auctions, $N$ players bid for an item. The winner is whoever places the \emph{lowest} bid, provided that it is also unique. We use a grand canonical approach to derive an analytical expression for the equilibrium…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-05-28 Simone Pigolotti , Sebastian Bernhardsson , Jeppe Juul , Gorm Galster , Pierpaolo Vivo

The problem of allocating scarce items to individuals is an important practical question in market design. An increasingly popular set of mechanisms for this task uses the concept of market equilibrium: individuals report their preferences,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-12-11 Riley Murray , Christian Kroer , Alex Peysakhovich , Parikshit Shah

We study a seller who sells a single good to multiple bidders with uncertainty over the joint distribution of bidders' valuations, as well as bidders' higher-order beliefs about their opponents. The seller only knows the (possibly…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-02-16 Ethan Che

We propose a "small-uniform" statistic for the inference of the functional PCA estimator in a functional linear regression model. The literature has shown two extreme behaviors: on the one hand, the FPCA estimator does not converge in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Raymond C. W. Leung , Yu-Man Tam

We model a system of n asymmetric firms selling a homogeneous good in a common market through a pay-as-bid auction. Every producer chooses as its strategy a supply function returning the quantity S(p) that it is willing to sell at a minimum…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-14 Martina Vanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

In this work we are concerned with the design of efficient mechanisms while eliciting limited information from the agents. First, we study the performance of sampling approximations in facility location games. Our key result is to show that…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Ioannis Anagnostides , Dimitris Fotakis , Panagiotis Patsilinakos

Fisher markets are one of the most fundamental models for resource allocation. However, the problem of computing equilibrium prices in Fisher markets typically relies on complete knowledge of users' budgets and utility functions and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Devansh Jalota , Yinyu Ye