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Cryptocurrency markets present unique prediction challenges due to their extreme volatility, 24/7 operation, and hypersensitivity to news events, with existing approaches suffering from key information extraction and poor sideways market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-10 Kairan Hong , Jinling Gan , Qiushi Tian , Yanglinxuan Guo , Rui Guo , Runnan Li

This paper contextualises the common queries of "why is crypto crashing?" and "why is crypto down?", the research transcends beyond the frequent market fluctuations to unravel how cryptocurrencies fundamentally work and the step-by-step…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Petar Radanliev

First, a big data analysis of the transactions and smart contracts made on the Ethereum blockchain is performed, revealing interesting trends in motion. Next, these trends are compared with the public's interest in Ether and Bitcoin,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-06 Dorsa Mohammadi Arezooji

The energy consumption and related carbon emissions of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin are subject to extensive discussion in public, academia, and industry. As cryptocurrencies continue their journey into mainstream finance, incentives to…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Ulrich Gallersdörfer , Lena Klaaßen , Christian Stoll

The continuing expansion of the blockchain ecosystems has attracted much attention from the research community. However, although a large number of research studies have been proposed to understand the diverse characteristics of individual…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-10-15 Ningyu He , Weihang Su , Zhou Yu , Xinyu Liu , Fengyi Zhao , Haoyu Wang , Xiapu Luo , Gareth Tyson , Lei Wu , Yao Guo

We study the problem of predicting the future performance of cryptocurrencies using social media data. We propose a new model to measure the engagement of users with topics discussed on social media based on interactions with social media…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Khizar Qureshi , Tauhid Zaman

Cryptocurrency blockchains, beyond their primary role as distributed payment systems, are increasingly used to store and share arbitrary content, such as text messages and files. Although often non-financial, this hidden content can impact…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Charalampos Kleitsikas , Nikolaos Korfiatis , Stefanos Leonardos , Carmine Ventre

The efficient market hypothesis has far-reaching implications for financial trading and market stability. Whether or not cryptocurrencies are informationally efficient has therefore been the subject of intense recent investigation. Here, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-06 Higor Y. D. Sigaki , Matjaz Perc , Haroldo V. Ribeiro

As the first decentralized digital currency introduced in 2009 together with the blockchain, Bitcoin offers new opportunities both for developed and developing countries. Bitcoin peer-to-peer transactions are independent of the banking…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-25 Francesco Parino , Mariano G. Beiro , Laetitia Gauvin

Cryptocurrency exchanges are frequently targeted and compromised by cyber-attacks, which may lead to significant losses for the depositors and closure of the affected exchanges. These risks threaten the viability of the entire public…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-04-23 Benjamin Johnson , Aron Laszka , Jens Grossklags , Tyler Moore

Online marketplaces are the main engines of legal and illegal e-commerce, yet their empirical properties are poorly understood due to the absence of large-scale data. We analyze two comprehensive datasets containing 245M transactions (16B…

Based on the high-frequency recordings from Kraken, a cryptocurrency exchange and professional trading platform that aims to bring Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies into the mainstream, the multiscale cross-correlations involving the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-22 Stanisław Drożdż , Ludovico Minati , Paweł Oświęcimka , Marek Stanuszek , Marcin Wątorek

Machine learning and AI-assisted trading have attracted growing interest for the past few years. Here, we use this approach to test the hypothesis that the inefficiency of the cryptocurrency market can be exploited to generate abnormal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-09 Laura Alessandretti , Abeer ElBahrawy , Luca Maria Aiello , Andrea Baronchelli

This research paper provides a comprehensive analysis of Bitcoin, delving into its evolution, adoption, and potential future implications. As the pioneering cryptocurrency, Bitcoin has sparked significant interest and debate in recent…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-04-07 Neelesh Mungoli

In this paper, we investigate whether mixing cryptocurrencies to a German investor portfolio improves portfolio diversification. We analyse this research question by applying a (mean variance) portfolio analysis using a toolbox consisting…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-07 Tim Schmitz , Ingo Hoffmann

This paper shows that Bitcoin is not correlated to a general uncertainty index as measured by the Google Trends data of Castelnuovo and Tran (2017). Instead, Bitcoin is linked to a Google Trends attention measure specific for the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-15 Nektarios Aslanidis , Aurelio F. Bariviera , Óscar G. López

We present a systematic literature review of cryptocurrency and blockchain research in Human-Computer Interaction (HCI) published between 2014 and 2021. We aim to provide an overview of the field, consolidate existing knowledge, and chart…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Michael Fröhlich , Franz Waltenberger , Ludwig Trotter , Florian Alt , Albrecht Schmidt

The paper analyzes the cryptocurrency ecosystem at both the aggregate and individual levels to understand the factors that impact future volatility. The study uses high-frequency panel data from 2020 to 2022 to examine the relationship…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-09 Alessio Brini , Jimmie Lenz

In the evolving domain of cryptocurrency markets, accurate token valuation remains a critical aspect influencing investment decisions and policy development. Whilst the prevailing equation of exchange pricing model offers a quantitative…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Stylianos Kampakis , Melody Yuan , Oritsebawo Paul Ikpobe , Linas Stankevicius

This paper investigates the temporal patterns of activity in the cryptocurrency market with a focus on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin, and WINkLink from January 2020 to December 2022. Market activity measures - logarithmic returns, volume, and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-22 Marcin Wątorek , Maria Skupień , Jarosław Kwapień , Stanisław Drożdż
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