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Mixture distributions with dynamic weights are an efficient way of modeling loss data characterized by heavy tails. However, maximum likelihood estimation of this family of models is difficult, mostly because of the need to evaluate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-11 Marco Bee

We study the pointwise maximum likelihood estimation rates for a class of Gaussian mixtures that are invariant under the action of some isometry group. This model is also known as multi-reference alignment, where random isometries of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-01 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

We study Bayesian estimation of finite mixture models in a general setup where the number of components is unknown and allowed to grow with the sample size. An assumption on growing number of components is a natural one as the degree of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-18 Ilsang Ohn , Lizhen Lin

A Bayesian filtering algorithm is developed for a class of state-space systems that can be modelled via Gaussian mixtures. In general, the exact solution to this filtering problem involves an exponential growth in the number of mixture…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-03 Adrian G. Wills , Johannes Hendriks , Christopher Renton , Brett Ninness

We develop an empirical Bayes (EB) G-modeling framework for short-panel linear models with nonparametric prior for the random intercepts, slopes, dynamics, and non-spherical error variances. We establish identification and consistency of…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-13 Myunghyun Song , Sokbae Lee , Serena Ng

This paper proposes a novel Hessian approximation for Maximum a Posteriori estimation problems in robotics involving Gaussian mixture likelihoods. Previous approaches manipulate the Gaussian mixture likelihood into a form that allows the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Vassili Korotkine , Mitchell Cohen , James Richard Forbes

In a mixture of linear regression model, the regression coefficients are treated as random vectors that may follow either a continuous or discrete distribution. We propose two Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithms to estimate this prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Andrew Welbaum , Wanli Qiao

Gradient flow in the 2-Wasserstein space is widely used to optimize functionals over probability distributions and is typically implemented using an interacting particle system with $n$ particles. Analyzing these algorithms requires showing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Chandan Tankala , Dheeraj M. Nagaraj , Anant Raj

This paper presents a new distance metric to compare two continuous probability density functions. The main advantage of this metric is that, unlike other statistical measurements, it can provide an analytic, closed-form expression for a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Ahmad Sajedi , Yuri A. Lawryshyn , Konstantinos N. Plataniotis

We present a new nonparametric mixture-of-experts model for multivariate regression problems, inspired by the probabilistic k-nearest neighbors algorithm. Using a conditionally specified model, predictions for out-of-sample inputs are based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-05 Tianfang Zhang , Rasmus Bokrantz , Jimmy Olsson

Mixtures of linear mixed models (MLMMs) are useful for clustering grouped data and can be estimated by likelihood maximization through the EM algorithm. The conventional approach to determining a suitable number of components is to compare…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-26 Siew Li Tan , David J. Nott

Wasserstein gradient flow has emerged as a promising approach to solve optimization problems over the space of probability distributions. A recent trend is to use the well-known JKO scheme in combination with input convex neural networks to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Jiaojiao Fan , Qinsheng Zhang , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Yongxin Chen

We construct a Wasserstein gradient flow of the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) and study its convergence properties. The MMD is an integral probability metric defined for a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS), and serves as a metric on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-04 Michael Arbel , Anna Korba , Adil Salim , Arthur Gretton

The purpose of this paper is to answer a few open questions in the interface of kernel methods and PDE gradient flows. Motivated by recent advances in machine learning, particularly in generative modeling and sampling, we present a rigorous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-29 Jia-Jie Zhu , Alexander Mielke

We study the problem of estimating a sequence of evolving probability distributions from historical data, where the underlying distribution changes over time in a nonstationary and nonparametric manner. To capture gradual changes, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Edward J. Anderson , Dominic S. T. Keehan

Gaussian mixture models are central to classical statistics, widely used in the information sciences, and have a rich mathematical structure. We examine their maximum likelihood estimates through the lens of algebraic statistics. The MLE is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-19 Carlos Améndola , Mathias Drton , Bernd Sturmfels

The ensemble Gaussian mixture filter combines the simplicity and power of Gaussian mixture models with the provable convergence and power of particle filters. The quality of the ensemble Gaussian mixture filter heavily depends on the choice…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Andrey A Popov , Renato Zanetti

Training the parameters of statistical models to describe a given data set is a central task in the field of data mining and machine learning. A very popular and powerful way of parameter estimation is the method of maximum likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Johannes Blömer , Sascha Brauer , Kathrin Bujna

Generative modeling typically concerns transporting a single source distribution to a target distribution via simple probability flows. However, in fields like computer graphics and single-cell genomics, samples themselves can be viewed as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Doron Haviv , Aram-Alexandre Pooladian , Dana Pe'er , Brandon Amos

We consider sampling from a Gibbs distribution by evolving a finite number of particles using a particular score estimator rather than Brownian motion. To accelerate the particles, we consider a second-order score-based ODE, similar to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-19 Hong Ye Tan , Stanley Osher , Wuchen Li
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