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State-space models (SSM) are central to describe time-varying complex systems in countless signal processing applications such as remote sensing, networks, biomedicine, and finance to name a few. Inference and prediction in SSMs are…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-26 Víctor Elvira , Émilie Chouzenoux

State-space models (SSMs) are a powerful statistical tool for modelling time-varying systems via a latent state. In these models, the latent state is never directly observed. Instead, a sequence of observations related to the state is…

Computation · Statistics 2025-03-25 Benjamin Cox , Emilie Chouzenoux , Victor Elvira

Gaussian state space models have been used for decades as generative models of sequential data. They admit an intuitive probabilistic interpretation, have a simple functional form, and enjoy widespread adoption. We introduce a unified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-06 Rahul G. Krishnan , Uri Shalit , David Sontag

Capturing the inter-dependencies among multiple types of clinically-critical events is critical not only to accurate future event prediction, but also to better treatment planning. In this work, we propose a deep latent state-space…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Yuan Xue , Denny Zhou , Nan Du , Andrew M. Dai , Zhen Xu , Kun Zhang , Claire Cui

We consider the setting where a collection of time series, modeled as random processes, evolve in a causal manner, and one is interested in learning the graph governing the relationships of these processes. A special case of wide interest…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-30 Hossein Hosseini , Sreeram Kannan , Baosen Zhang , Radha Poovendran

Recent advances in the estimation of deep directed graphical models and recurrent networks let us contribute to the removal of a blind spot in the area of probabilistc modelling of time series. The proposed methods i) can infer distributed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-01 Justin Bayer , Christian Osendorfer

Graph neural networks use relational information as an inductive bias to enhance prediction performance. Not rarely, task-relevant relations are unknown and graph structure learning approaches have been proposed to learn them from data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Alessandro Manenti , Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

This work aims to improve generalization and interpretability of dynamical systems by recovering the underlying lower-dimensional latent states and their time evolutions. Previous work on disentangled representation learning within the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Çağlar Hızlı , Çağatay Yıldız , Matthias Bethge , ST John , Pekka Marttinen

The increasing prevalence of relational data describing interactions among a target population has motivated a wide literature on statistical network analysis. In many applications, interactions may involve more than two members of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-03 Kathryn Turnbull , Simón Lunagómez , Christopher Nemeth , Edoardo Airoldi

Graph neural networks are often used to model interacting dynamical systems since they gracefully scale to systems with a varying and high number of agents. While there has been much progress made for deterministic interacting systems,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch , Jan Peters

Sequential modelling of high-dimensional data is an important problem that appears in many domains including model-based reinforcement learning and dynamics identification for control. Latent variable models applied to sequential data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-23 Oliver Limoyo , Trevor Ablett , Jonathan Kelly

We address tracking and prediction of multiple moving objects in visual data streams as inference and sampling in a disentangled latent state-space model. By encoding objects separately and including explicit position information in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-15 Adnan Akhundov , Maximilian Soelch , Justin Bayer , Patrick van der Smagt

State-space models are successfully used in many areas of science, engineering and economics to model time series and dynamical systems. We present a fully Bayesian approach to inference \emph{and learning} (i.e. state estimation and system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-18 Roger Frigola , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön , Carl E. Rasmussen

A semi-parametric, non-linear regression model in the presence of latent variables is applied towards learning network graph structure. These latent variables can correspond to unmodeled phenomena or unmeasured agents in a complex system of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

Large knowledge graphs increasingly add value to various applications that require machines to recognize and understand queries and their semantics, as in search or question answering systems. Latent variable models have increasingly gained…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-08-31 Denis Krompaß , Stephan Baier , Volker Tresp

Although static networks have been extensively studied in machine learning, data mining, and AI communities for many decades, the study of dynamic networks has recently taken center stage due to the prominence of social media and its…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-21 Tony Gracious , Shubham Gupta , Arun Kanthali , Rui M. Castro , Ambedkar Dukkipati

Many modern time series arise on networks, where each component is attached to a node and interactions follow observed edges. Classical time-varying parameter VARs (TVP-VARs) treat all series symmetrically and ignore this structure, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Marios Papamichalis , Regina Ruane , Theofanis Papamichalis

Outstanding achievements of graph neural networks for spatiotemporal time series analysis show that relational constraints introduce an effective inductive bias into neural forecasting architectures. Often, however, the relational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-03 Andrea Cini , Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

We examine the problem of learning mappings from state to state, suitable for use in a model-based reinforcement-learning setting, that simultaneously generalize to novel states and can capture stochastic transitions. We show that currently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-27 Yuhang Song , Christopher Grimm , Xianming Wang , Michael L. Littman

The ubiquity of multiscale interactions in complex systems is well-recognized, with development and heredity serving as a prime example of how processes at different temporal scales influence one another. This work introduces a novel…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-04 Nayely Vélez-Cruz , Manfred D. Laubichler