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Ways to give medium- and short-term predictions of solar flares are proposed according to the statistical analysis of events during solar cycle 23. On one hand, the time distribution of both C and M class flares shows two main periods of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-17 Z. Q. Qu

Predictive Process Monitoring (PPM) has been integrated into process mining tools as a value-adding task. PPM provides useful predictions on the further execution of the running business processes. To this end, machine learning-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-18 Ghada Elkhawaga , Mervat Abuelkheir , Manfred Reichert

Artificial intelligence (AI) is expected to significantly enhance radio resource management (RRM) in sixth-generation (6G) networks. However, the lack of explainability in complex deep learning (DL) models poses a challenge for practical…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-24 Nasir Khan , Asmaa Abdallah , Abdulkadir Celik , Ahmed M. Eltawil , Sinem Coleri

Indications are presented for a significant connection between the relative motion of the planets and the appearance of energetic solar flares. Based on the records of the last four decades, the analysis highlights remarkable features and a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-08-25 Eleni Petrakou , Iasonas Topsis Giotis

Over the past 30 years, numerous large-scale photometric astronomical surveys have been conducted, including SDSS, Pan-STARRS, Gaia,2MASS, WISE, and others. These surveys provide extensive photometric measurements that can be used to infer…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-03 Mateusz Kapusta

Although large volumes of solar data are available for study, the vast majority of these data remain unlabeled and are therefore not amenable to supervised machine learning methods. Having a way to accurately and automatically classify…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-06-23 Sergey Ivanov , Maksym Tsizh , Denis Ullmann , Brandon Panos , Slava Voloshynovskiy

Industrial Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) are sensitive infrastructure from both safety and economics perspectives, making their reliability critically important. Machine Learning (ML), specifically deep learning, is increasingly integrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Annemarie Jutte , Uraz Odyurt

A good observation of preflare activities is important for us to understand the origin and triggering mechanism of solar flares, and to predict the occurrence of solar flares. This work presents the characteristics of microwave spectral…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-23 Yin Zhang , Baolin Tan , Marian Karlický , Hana Mészárosová , Jing Huang , Chengming Tan , Paulo Simões

Traditional solar flare forecasting approaches have mostly relied on physics-based or data-driven models using solar magnetograms, treating flare predictions as a point-in-time classification problem. This approach has limitations,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Anli Ji , Chetraj Pandey , Berkay Aydin

We study the prediction of solar flare size and time-to-flare using 38 features describing magnetic complexity of the photospheric magnetic field. This work uses support vector regression to formulate a mapping from the 38-dimensional…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-11-09 Laura E. Boucheron , Amani Al-Ghraibah , R. T. James McAteer

The uncertainty of the energy generated by photovoltaic systems incurs an additional cost for a guaranteed, reliable supply of energy (i.e., energy storage). This investigation aims to decrease the additional cost by introducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-19 Guillermo Terrén-Serrano , Manel Martínez-Ramón

Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) aims to provide insights into the decision-making process of AI models, allowing users to understand their results beyond their decisions. A significant goal of XAI is to improve the performance of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Andrea Apicella , Luca Di Lorenzo , Francesco Isgrò , Andrea Pollastro , Roberto Prevete

In this article, we present the application of the weighted horizontal gradient of magnetic field (WGM) flare prediction method to 3-dimensional (3D) extrapolated magnetic configurations of 13 flaring solar active regions (ARs). The main…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-24 M. B. Korsos , M. K. Georgoulis , N. Gyenge , S. K. Bisoi , S. Yu , S. Poedts , C. J. Nelson , J. Liu , Y. Yan , R. Erdelyi

We describe a new tool developed for solar flare forecasting on the base of some sunspot group properties. Assuming that the flare frequency follows the Poisson statistics, this tool uses a database containing the morphological…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-16 M. Falco , P. Costa , P. Romano

Disturbances in space weather can negatively affect several fields, including aviation and aerospace, satellites, oil and gas industries, and electrical systems, leading to economic and commercial losses. Solar flares are the most…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-05-07 T. Cinto , A. L. S. Gradvohl , G. P. Coelho , A. E. A. da Silva

AI methods have been proven to yield impressive performance on Android malware detection. However, most AI-based methods make predictions of suspicious samples in a black-box manner without transparency on models' inference. The expectation…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Zhi Lu , Vrizlynn L. L. Thing

Explainable AI (XAI) promises to provide insight into machine learning models' decision processes, where one goal is to identify failures such as shortcut learning. This promise relies on the field's assumption that input features marked as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Benedict Clark , Marta Oliveira , Rick Wilming , Stefan Haufe

The application of machine learning in solar physics has the potential to greatly enhance our understanding of the complex processes that take place in the atmosphere of the Sun. By using techniques such as deep learning, we are now in the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-28 A. Asensio Ramos , M. C. M. Cheung , I. Chifu , R. Gafeira

Flare productivity varies among solar active regions (ARs). This study analyzed 20 ARs of contrasting sunspot areas and flare productivities to understand the super flare productivity of certain ARs. We used the flare index (FI) as an…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-27 Suman K. Dhakal , Jie Zhang

The prediction of solar flares is still a significant challenge in space weather research, with no techniques currently capable of producing reliable forecasts performing significantly above climatology. In this paper, we present a flare…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-10-12 Christian Thibeault , Antoine Strugarek , Paul Charbonneau , Benoit Tremblay
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