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We analyze the prediction error of principal component regression (PCR) and prove high probability bounds for the corresponding squared risk conditional on the design. Our first main result shows that PCR performs comparably to the oracle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-03 Laura Hucker , Martin Wahl

We study principal components regression (PCR) in an asymptotic high-dimensional regression setting, where the number of data points is proportional to the dimension. We derive exact limiting formulas for the estimation and prediction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Alden Green , Elad Romanov

A high-dimensional $r$-factor model for an $n$-dimensional vector time series is characterised by the presence of a large eigengap (increasing with $n$) between the $r$-th and the $(r+1)$-th largest eigenvalues of the covariance matrix.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho

Principal component analysis is an important pattern recognition and dimensionality reduction tool in many applications. Principal components are computed as eigenvectors of a maximum likelihood covariance $\widehat{\Sigma}$ that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-30 Raphael Hauser , Raul Kangro , Jüri Lember , Heinrich Matzinger

In this paper, we investigate the impact of high-dimensional Principal Component (PC) adjustments on inferring the effects of variables on outcomes, with a focus on applications in genetic association studies where PC adjustment is commonly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-30 Sohom Bhattacharya , Rounak Dey , Rajarshi Mukherjee

In this paper, we develop new statistical theory for probabilistic principal component analysis models in high dimensions. The focus is the estimation of the noise variance, which is an important and unresolved issue when the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-23 Damien Passemier , Zhaoyuan Li , Jian-Feng Yao

Principal Components Regression (PCR) is a traditional tool for dimension reduction in linear regression that has been both criticized and defended. One concern about PCR is that obtaining the leading principal components tends to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-10 Martin Slawski

A system with many degrees of freedom can be characterized by a covariance matrix; principal components analysis (PCA) focuses on the eigenvalues of this matrix, hoping to find a lower dimensional description. But when the spectrum is…

Biological Physics · Physics 2017-04-26 Serena Bradde , William Bialek

Functional principal component regression (PCR) can fail to provide good prediction if the response is highly correlated with some excluded functional principal component(s). This situation is common since the construction of functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Zhiyang Zhou

We provide a remedy for two concerns that have dogged the use of principal components in regression: (i) principal components are computed from the predictors alone and do not make apparent use of the response, and (ii) principal components…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-23 R. Dennis Cook , Liliana Forzani

Principal component analysis (PCA) is arguably the most widely used approach for large-dimensional factor analysis. While it is effective when the factors are sufficiently strong, it can be inconsistent when the factors are weak and/or the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-22 Zhongyuan Lyu , Ming Yuan

We analyse the prediction error of principal component regression (PCR) and prove non-asymptotic upper bounds for the corresponding squared risk. Under mild assumptions, we show that PCR performs as well as the oracle method obtained by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-17 Martin Wahl

A number of settings arise in which it is of interest to predict Principal Component (PC) scores for new observations using data from an initial sample. In this paper, we demonstrate that naive approaches to PC score prediction can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-14 Seunggeun Lee , Fei Zou , Fred A. Wright

In many applications, particularly in the natural sciences, the available high-dimensional set of features may contain variables that are not correlated with the response under consideration. Such irrelevant features can, in certain cases,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-28 Gianluca Finocchio , Tatyana Krivobokova

In many scientific disciplines, the features of interest cannot be observed directly, so must instead be inferred from observed behaviour. Latent variable analyses are increasingly employed to systematise these inferences, and Principal…

We consider the problem of how many components to retain in the application of principal component analysis when the dimension is much higher than the number of observations. To estimate the number of components, we propose to sequentially…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-29 Sungkyu Jung , Myung Hee Lee , Jeongyoun Ahn

We propose a new method for statistical inference in generalized linear models. In the overparameterized regime, Principal Component Regression (PCR) reduces variance by projecting high-dimensional data to a low-dimensional principal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Yixuan Florence Wu , Yilun Zhu , Lei Cao , Naichen Shi

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a widely employed statistical tool used primarily for dimensionality reduction. However, it is known to be adversely affected by the presence of outlying observations in the sample, which is quite…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Subhrajyoty Roy , Ayanendranath Basu , Abhik Ghosh

We study semiparametric factor models in high-dimensional panels where the factor loadings consist of a nonparametric component explained by observed covariates and an idiosyncratic component capturing unobserved heterogeneity. A key…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-09 Sijie Zheng

It is known that the common factors in a large panel of data can be consistently estimated by the method of principal components, and principal components can be constructed by iterative least squares regressions. Replacing least squares…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-16 Jushan Bai , Serena Ng
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