Related papers: Analytic RFR Option Pricing with Smile and Skew
Forecasting multivariate time series remains challenging due to complex cross-variable dependencies and the presence of heterogeneous external influences. This paper presents Spectrogram-Enhanced Multimodal Fusion (SEMF), which combines…
We present an empirical study examining several claims related to option prices in rough volatility literature using SPX options data. Our results show that rough volatility models with the parameter $H \in (0,1/2)$ are inconsistent with…
The paper focuses on pricing European-style options on several underlying assets under the Black-Scholes model represented by a nonstationary partial differential equation. The proposed method combines the Galerkin method with…
Overnight rates, such as the SOFR (Secured Overnight Financing Rate) in the US, are central to the current reform of interest rate benchmarks. A striking feature of overnight rates is the presence of jumps and spikes occurring at…
In the context of multi-curve modeling we consider a two-curve setup, with one curve for discounting (OIS swap curve) and one for generating future cash flows (LIBOR for a give tenor). Within this context we present an approach for the…
We examine in this article the pricing of target volatility options in the lognormal fractional SABR model. A decomposition formula by Ito's calculus yields a theoretical replicating strategy for the target volatility option, assuming the…
We present an efficient algorithm for determining the Hilbert series of an effective theory and provide a companion code called ECO (Efficient Counting of Operators) in FORM. For example, the Hilbert series for the dimension 15 operators in…
We price European-style options written on forward contracts in a commodity market, which we model with an infinite-dimensional Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) approach. For this purpose we introduce a new class of state-dependent volatility…
We consider the pricing and hedging of exotic options in a model-independent set-up using \emph{shortfall risk and quantiles}. We assume that the marginal distributions at certain times are given. This is tantamount to calibrating the model…
Every change of trend in the forex market presents a great opportunity as well as a risk for investors. Accurate forecasting of forex prices is a crucial element in any effective hedging or speculation strategy. However, the complex nature…
We provide explicit approximation formulas for VIX futures and options in forward variance models, with particular emphasis on the family of so-called Bergomi models: the one-factor Bergomi model [Bergomi, Smile dynamics II, Risk, 2005],…
We test whether simple, interpretable state variables-trend and momentum-can generate durable out-of-sample alpha in one of the world's most liquid assets, gold. Using a rolling 10-year training and 6-month testing walk-forward from 2015 to…
We formulate a forward inflation index model with multi-factor volatility structure featuring a parametric form that allows calibration to correlations between indices of different tenors observed in the market. Assuming the nominal…
This paper proposes a numerical method for pricing foreign exchange (FX) options in a model which deals with stochastic interest rates and stochastic volatility of the FX rate. The model considers four stochastic drivers, each represented…
This paper proposes a hybrid methodology to improve the approximation of SABR (Stochastic Alpha Beta Rho) implied volatility by combining analytical structure with machine learning. The approach augments the neural-network input…
We develop a method to study the implied volatility for exotic options and volatility derivatives with European payoffs such as VIX options. Our approach, based on Malliavin calculus techniques, allows us to describe the properties of the…
Random utility maximisation (RUM) models are one of the cornerstones of discrete choice modelling. However, specifying the utility function of RUM models is not straightforward and has a considerable impact on the resulting interpretable…
In this paper, we study the benefits of using polyharmonic splines and node layouts with smoothly varying density for developing robust and efficient radial basis function generated finite difference (RBF-FD) methods for pricing of…
In this paper we develop a novel neural network model for predicting implied volatility surface. Prior financial domain knowledge is taken into account. A new activation function that incorporates volatility smile is proposed, which is used…
We develop a new method called affine facial reduction (FR) for recovering Slater's condition for semidefinite programming (SDP) relaxations of combinatorial optimization (CO) problems. Affine FR is a user-friendly method, as it is fully…