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A novel methodology for short-term energy forecasting using an Extreme Learning Machine ($\mathtt{ELM}$) is proposed. Using six years of hourly data collected in Corsica (France) from multiple energy sources (solar, wind, hydro, thermal,…

The aim of this work was to predict the probability of the spread of rock formations with hydrocarbon-collecting properties in the studied coastal area using a stack of machine learning algorithms and data augmentation and modification…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-01-10 Dmitry Ivlev

Operational weather forecasting models have advanced for decades on both the explicit numerical solvers and the empirical physical parameterization schemes. However, the involved high computational costs and uncertainties in these existing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-13 Mengxuan Chen , Ziqi Yuan , Jinxiao Zhang , Runmin Dong , Haohuan Fu

Forecasting meteorological variables is challenging due to the complexity of their processes, requiring advanced models for accuracy. Accurate precipitation forecasts are vital for society. Reliable predictions help communities mitigate…

Weather forecasting is a crucial task for meteorologic research, with direct social and economic impacts. Recently, data-driven weather forecasting models based on deep learning have shown great potential, achieving superior performance…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-26 Lihao Gan , Xin Man , Chenghong Zhang , Jie Shao

We advance the modeling capability of electron particle precipitation from the magnetosphere to the ionosphere through a new database and use of machine learning (ML) tools to gain utility from those data. We have compiled, curated,…

Post-processing typically takes the outputs of a Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model and applies linear statistical techniques to produce improve localized forecasts, by including additional observations, or determining systematic…

Since model bias and associated initialization shock are serious shortcomings that reduce prediction skills in state-of-the-art decadal climate prediction efforts, we pursue a complementary machine-learning-based approach to climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-09 Xihaier Luo , Balasubramanya T. Nadiga , Yihui Ren , Ji Hwan Park , Wei Xu , Shinjae Yoo

Heavy precipitation from tropical cyclones (TCs) may result in disasters, such as floods and landslides, leading to substantial economic damage and loss of life. Prediction of TC precipitation based on ensemble post-processing procedures…

Forecasting a time series from multivariate predictors constitutes a challenging problem, especially using model-free approaches. Most techniques, such as nearest-neighbor prediction, quickly suffer from the curse of dimensionality and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-22 Jakob Runge , Reik V. Donner , Jürgen Kurths

Effective modeling of human interactions is of utmost importance when forecasting behaviors such as future trajectories. Each individual, with its motion, influences surrounding agents since everyone obeys to social non-written rules such…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Francesco Marchetti , Federico Becattini , Lorenzo Seidenari , Alberto Del Bimbo

Modern weather and climate models share a common heritage, and often even components, however they are used in different ways to answer fundamentally different questions. As such, attempts to emulate them using machine learning should…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-21 Duncan Watson-Parris

Despite the importance of quantifying how the spatial patterns of extreme precipitation will change with warming, we lack tools to objectively analyze the storm-scale outputs of modern climate models. To address this gap, we develop an…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-04 Griffin Mooers , Tom Beucler , Mike Pritchard , Stephan Mandt

Images from outdoor scenes may be taken under various weather conditions. It is well studied that weather impacts the performance of computer vision algorithms and needs to be handled properly. However, existing algorithms model weather…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-01 Qi Bi , Shaodi You , Theo Gevers

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are the most geoeffective space weather phenomena, being associated with large geomagnetic storms, having the potential to cause disturbances to telecommunication, satellite network disruptions, power grid…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-17 Andreea-Clara Pricopi , Alin Razvan Paraschiv , Diana Besliu-Ionescu , Anca-Nicoleta Marginean

Radiation is typically the most time-consuming physical process in numerical models. One solution is to use machine learning methods to simulate the radiation process to improve computational efficiency. From an operational standpoint, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Hao Jing , Sa Xiao , Haoyu Li , Huadong Xiao , Wei Xue

The increasing penetration level of energy generation from renewable sources is demanding for more accurate and reliable forecasting tools to support classic power grid operations (e.g., unit commitment, electricity market clearing or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-17 Michela Moschella , Mauro Tucci , Emanuele Crisostomi , Alessandro Betti

Climate change refers to substantial long-term variations in weather patterns. In this work, we employ a Machine Learning (ML) technique, the Random Forest (RF) algorithm, to forecast the monthly average temperature for Brazilian's states…

Meteorological factors (MF) are crucial in day-ahead load forecasting as they significantly influence the electricity consumption behaviors of consumers. Numerous studies have incorporated MF into the load forecasting model to achieve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Yangze Zhou , Guoxin Lin , Gonghao Zhang , Yi Wang

Dynamic prediction of time-to-event outcomes using longitudinal data is highly useful in clinical research and practice. A common strategy is the joint modeling of longitudinal and time-to-event data. The shared random effect model has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Wenhao Li , Zhe Yin , Liang Li