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In this paper we present a deep learning method to predict the temporal evolution of dissipative dynamic systems. We propose using both geometric and thermodynamic inductive biases to improve accuracy and generalization of the resulting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Quercus Hernández , Alberto Badías , Francisco Chinesta , Elías Cueto

We consider the problem of online fine tuning the parameters of a language model at test time, also known as dynamic evaluation. While it is generally known that this approach improves the overall predictive performance, especially when…

Industrial prognostics focuses on utilizing degradation signals to forecast and continually update the residual useful life of complex engineering systems. However, existing prognostic models for systems with multiple failure modes face…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Yuqi Su , Xiaolei Fang

Deep tabular models have demonstrated remarkable success on i.i.d. data, excelling in a variety of structured data tasks. However, their performance often deteriorates under temporal distribution shifts, where trends and periodic patterns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Hao-Run Cai , Han-Jia Ye

New hardware can substantially increase the speed and efficiency of deep neural network training. To guide the development of future hardware architectures, it is pertinent to explore the hardware and machine learning properties of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Atli Kosson , Vitaliy Chiley , Abhinav Venigalla , Joel Hestness , Urs Köster

Graph neural networks (GNNs) are powerful models that have been successful in various graph representation learning tasks. Whereas gradient boosted decision trees (GBDT) often outperform other machine learning methods when faced with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Sergei Ivanov , Liudmila Prokhorenkova

Molecular Dynamics (MD) simulations are vital for exploring complex systems in computational physics and chemistry. While machine learning methods dramatically reduce computational costs relative to ab initio methods, their accuracy in…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-07-18 Ivan Žugec , Tin Hadži Veljković , Maite Alducin , J. Iñaki Juaristi

Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDTs) are widely used for building ranking and relevance models in search and recommendation. Considerations such as latency and interpretability dictate the use of as few features as possible to train…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-07 Cuize Han , Nikhil Rao , Daria Sorokina , Karthik Subbian

Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) has been used successfully in settings where the learning task is assumed to be static. In many real-world scenarios, however, the data distribution will evolve over time, and it is yet to be shown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Bilge Celik , Prabhant Singh , Joaquin Vanschoren

In this paper we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning and high-dimensional models for time series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear alternatives. Among the linear methods we pay special attention…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-04-12 Ricardo P. Masini , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Eduardo F. Mendes

Gradient boosted decision trees (GBDTs) are widely used in machine learning, and the output of current GBDT implementations is a single variable. When there are multiple outputs, GBDT constructs multiple trees corresponding to the output…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Zhendong Zhang , Cheolkon Jung

We investigate nonlinear prediction in an online setting and introduce a hybrid model that effectively mitigates, via an end-to-end architecture, the need for hand-designed features and manual model selection issues of conventional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-11 Mustafa E. Aydın , Suleyman S. Kozat

Volatility is a key variable in option pricing, trading and hedging strategies. The purpose of this paper is to improve the accuracy of forecasting implied volatility using an extension of genetic programming (GP) by means of dynamic…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-15 Sana Ben Hamida , Wafa Abdelmalek , Fathi Abid

Many vision-related tasks benefit from reasoning over multiple modalities to leverage complementary views of data in an attempt to learn robust embedding spaces. Most deep learning-based methods rely on a late fusion technique whereby…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-04 Austin Reiter , Menglin Jia , Pu Yang , Ser-Nam Lim

In this paper we describe the implementation of semi-structured deep distributional regression, a flexible framework to learn conditional distributions based on the combination of additive regression models and deep networks. Our…

Advances in machine learning research drive progress in real-world applications. To ensure this progress, it is important to understand the potential pitfalls on the way from a novel method's success on academic benchmarks to its practical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Ivan Rubachev , Nikolay Kartashev , Yury Gorishniy , Artem Babenko

The prediction of periodical time-series remains challenging due to various types of data distortions and misalignments. Here, we propose a novel model called Temporal embedding-enhanced convolutional neural Network (TeNet) to learn…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Jiajun Liu , Kun Zhao , Brano Kusy , Ji-rong Wen , Raja Jurdak

Offline reinforcement learning enables agents to leverage large pre-collected datasets of environment transitions to learn control policies, circumventing the need for potentially expensive or unsafe online data collection. Significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Cong Lu , Philip J. Ball , Jack Parker-Holder , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts

We propose an online learning framework for forecasting nonlinear spatio-temporal signals (fields). The method integrates (i) dimensionality reduction, here, a simple proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) projection; (ii) a generalized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Andrea Nóvoa , Luca Magri

Recent works have shown that tackling offline reinforcement learning (RL) with a conditional policy produces promising results. The Decision Transformer (DT) combines the conditional policy approach and a transformer architecture, showing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Taku Yamagata , Ahmed Khalil , Raul Santos-Rodriguez