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Conventional frequentist learning is known to yield poorly calibrated models that fail to reliably quantify the uncertainty of their decisions. Bayesian learning can improve calibration, but formal guarantees apply only under restrictive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-07 Sangwoo Park , Kfir M. Cohen , Osvaldo Simeone

A novel estimation approach for a general class of semi-parametric multivariate time series models is introduced where the conditional mean is modeled through parametric functions. The focus of the estimation is the conditional mean…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Mirko Armillotta

This paper provides an alternative to penalized estimators for estimation and vari- able selection in high dimensional linear regression models with measurement error or missing covariates. We propose estimation via bias corrected least…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-11 Abhishek Kaul , Hira L. Koul , Akshita Chawla , Soumendra N. Lahiri

Subsampling techniques can reduce the computational costs of processing big data. Practical subsampling plans typically involve initial uniform sampling and refined sampling. With a subsample, big data inferences are generally built on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Yan Fan , Yang Liu , Yukun Liu , Jing Qin

In quantum state tomography, the estimated frequencies do not correspond directly to a physical quantum state, due to statistical fluctuations. Thus, one resorts to point estimators that return the state that matches observations the best,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-11-09 Sacha Schwarz , Bruno Eckmann , Denis Rosset , André Stefanov

Microsimulation models (MSMs) are used to predict population-level effects of health care policies by simulating individual-level outcomes. Simulated outcomes are governed by unknown parameters that are chosen so that the model accurately…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-14 Carolyn Rutter , Jonathan Ozik , Maria DeYoreo , Nicholson Collier

Missing covariates are not uncommon in capture-recapture studies. When covariate information is missing at random in capture-recapture data, an empirical full likelihood method has been demonstrated to outperform…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Yang Liu , Yukun Liu , Pengfei Li , Riquan Zhang

In this short note, we derive a new bias adjusted maximum likelihood estimate for the shape parameter of the Weibull distribution with complete data and type I censored data. The proposed estimate of the shape parameter is significantly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Enes Makalic , Daniel F. Schmidt

In this work, we consider the problem of estimating the probability distribution, the quantile or the conditional expectation above the quantile, the so called conditional-value-at-risk, of output quantities of complex random differential…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-23 Quentin Ayoul-Guilmard , Sundar Ganesh , Sebastian Krumscheid , Fabio Nobile

This note extends a recently proposed algorithm for model identification and robust MPC of asymptotically stable, linear time-invariant systems subject to process and measurement disturbances. Independent output predictors for different…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-02 Enrico Terzi , Lorenzo Fagiano , Marcello Farina , Riccardo Scattolini

Machine learning (ML) has revolutionized the digital transformation of technology valuation by predicting the value of patents with high accuracy. However, the lack of validation regarding the reliability of these models hinders experts…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Seunghyun Lee , Janghyeok Yoon , Jaewoong Choi

We consider large-scale studies in which thousands of significance tests are performed simultaneously. In some of these studies, the multiple testing procedure can be severely biased by latent confounding factors such as batch effects and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-21 Jingshu Wang , Qingyuan Zhao , Trevor Hastie , Art B. Owen

Multiple Choice Question (MCQ) answering is a widely used method for evaluating the performance of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, LLMs often exhibit selection bias in MCQ tasks, where their choices are influenced by factors like…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Blessed Guda , Lawrence Francis , Gabrial Zencha Ashungafac , Carlee Joe-Wong , Moise Busogi

Adaptive designs have been proposed for clinical trials in which the nuisance parameters or alternative of interest are unknown or likely to be misspecified before the trial. Whereas most previous works on adaptive designs and mid-course…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-18 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

Some classical uncertainty quantification problems require the estimation of multiple expectations. Estimating all of them accurately is crucial and can have a major impact on the analysis to perform, and standard existing Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio

In a standard classification framework a set of trustworthy learning data are employed to build a decision rule, with the final aim of classifying unlabelled units belonging to the test set. Therefore, unreliable labelled observations,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-20 Andrea Cappozzo , Francesca Greselin , Thomas Brendan Murphy

This work considers Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) of a Toeplitz structured covariance matrix. In this regard, an equivalent reformulation of the MLE problem is introduced and two iterative algorithms are proposed for the optimization…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-13 Augusto Aubry , Prabhu Babu , Antonio De Maio , Massimo Rosamilia

Skew normal model suffers from inferential drawbacks, namely singular Fisher information in the vicinity of symmetry and diverging of maximum likelihood estimation. To address the above drawbacks, Azzalini and Arellano-Valle (2013)…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-25 Jian Zhang , Tong Wang

This paper deals with robust inference for parametric copula models. Estimation using Canonical Maximum Likelihood might be unstable, especially in the presence of outliers. We propose to use a procedure based on the Maximum Mean…

Imbalanced datasets are commonly observed in various real-world applications, presenting significant challenges in training classifiers. When working with large datasets, the imbalanced issue can be further exacerbated, making it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-30 Kwei-Herng Lai , Daochen Zha , Huiyuan Chen , Mangesh Bendre , Yuzhong Chen , Mahashweta Das , Hao Yang , Xia Hu