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In an era where scientific experiments can be very costly, multi-fidelity emulators provide a useful tool for cost-efficient predictive scientific computing. For scientific applications, the experimenter is often limited by a tight…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-30 Chih-Li Sung , Yi Ji , Simon Mak , Wenjia Wang , Tao Tang

Tristructural isotropic (TRISO)-coated particle fuel is a robust nuclear fuel and determining its reliability is critical for the success of advanced nuclear technologies. However, TRISO failure probabilities are small and the associated…

We investigate two new strategies for the numerical solution of optimal stopping problems within the Regression Monte Carlo (RMC) framework of Longstaff and Schwartz. First, we propose the use of stochastic kriging (Gaussian process)…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-27 Michael Ludkovski

Large-scale optimization problems are ubiquitous in the physical sciences; yet, high-fidelity models can often be complex and computationally prohibitive for optimization. A practical alternative is to use a low-fidelity model to facilitate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Madhusudan Madhavan , Joseph Hart , Bart van Bloemen Waanders

In this work, we develop a multi-fidelity Bayesian experimental design framework to efficiently quantify the extreme-event statistics of an input-to-response (ItR) system with given input probability and expensive function evaluations. The…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-01-04 Xianliang Gong , Yulin Pan

For practical model-based demands, such as design space exploration and uncertainty quantification (UQ), a high-fidelity model that produces accurate outputs often has high computational cost, while a low-fidelity model with less accurate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-13 Jerrad Hampton , Hillary Fairbanks , Akil Narayan , Alireza Doostan

How can we efficiently gather information to optimize an unknown function, when presented with multiple, mutually dependent information sources with different costs? For example, when optimizing a robotic system, intelligently trading off…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-05 Jialin Song , Yuxin Chen , Yisong Yue

Modern computational methods, involving highly sophisticated mathematical formulations, enable several tasks like modeling complex physical phenomenon, predicting key properties and design optimization. The higher fidelity in these computer…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Lele Luan , Nesar Ramachandra , Sandipp Krishnan Ravi , Anindya Bhaduri , Piyush Pandita , Prasanna Balaprakash , Mihai Anitescu , Changjie Sun , Liping Wang

Aircraft design optimization traditionally relies on computationally expensive simulation techniques such as Finite Element Method (FEM) and Finite Volume Method (FVM), which, while accurate, can significantly slow down the design iteration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Apurba Sarker

The Gaussian Process (GP)-based surrogate model has the inherent capability of capturing the anomaly arising from limited data, lack of data, missing data, and data inconsistencies (noisy/erroneous data) present in the modeling and…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-07 Kazuma Kobayashi , James Daniell , Shoaib Usman , Dinesh Kumar , Syed Alam

A multi-fidelity regression model is proposed for combining multiple datasets with different fidelities, particularly abundant low-fidelity data and scarce high-fidelity observations. The model builds upon recent multi-fidelity frameworks…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-11-21 Mohammad Hossein Saadat

Likelihood-free Bayesian inference algorithms are popular methods for calibrating the parameters of complex, stochastic models, required when the likelihood of the observed data is intractable. These algorithms characteristically rely…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , David J Warne , Ruth E Baker

In the field of reliability engineering, the Active learning reliability method combining Kriging and Monte Carlo Simulation (AK-MCS) has been developed and demonstrated to be effective in reliability analysis. However, the performance of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Wenxiong Li , Rong Geng , Suiyin Chen

The optimal and robust design of structures has gained much attention in the past ten years due to the ever increasing need for manufacturers to build robust systems at the lowest cost. Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) allows…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-12 Vincent Dubourg , Jean-Marc Bourinet , Bruno Sudret

Science and engineering fields use computer simulation extensively. These simulations are often run at multiple levels of sophistication to balance accuracy and efficiency. Multi-fidelity surrogate modeling reduces the computational cost by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-13 Dongxia Wu , Matteo Chinazzi , Alessandro Vespignani , Yi-An Ma , Rose Yu

This work introduces a novel blackbox optimization algorithm for computationally expensive constrained multi-fidelity problems. When applying a direct search method to such problems, the scarcity of feasible points may lead to numerous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Stéphane Alarie , Charles Audet , Miguel Diago , Sébastien Le Digabel , Xavier Lebeuf

Kriging is an efficient machine-learning tool, which allows to obtain an approximate response of an investigated phenomenon on the whole parametric space. Adaptive schemes provide a the ability to guide the experiment yielding new sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Jan N. Fuhg , Amelie Fau

System reliability analysis aims at computing the probability of failure of an engineering system given a set of uncertain inputs and limit state functions. Active-learning solution schemes have been shown to be a viable tool but as of yet…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-10 Maliki Moustapha , Pietro Parisi , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

Multi-fidelity optimization employs surrogate models that integrate information from varying levels of fidelity to guide efficient exploration of complex design spaces while minimizing the reliance on (expensive) high-fidelity objective…

Simulation optimization is often hindered by the high cost of running simulations. Multi-fidelity methods offer a promising solution by incorporating cheaper, lower-fidelity simulations to reduce computational time. However, the bias in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-07 Yunsoo Ha , Juliane Mueller
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