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Many statistical estimands can expressed as continuous linear functionals of a conditional expectation function. This includes the average treatment effect under unconfoundedness and generalizations for continuous-valued and personalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-23 David A. Hirshberg , Stefan Wager

Integrating probability and non-probability samples is increasingly important, yet unknown sampling mechanisms in non-probability sources complicate identification and efficient estimation. We develop semiparametric theory for dual-frame…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Kosuke Morikawa , Jae Kwang Kim

Modern causal inference methods allow machine learning to be used to weaken parametric modeling assumptions. However, the use of machine learning may result in complications for inference. Doubly-robust cross-fit estimators have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-11 Paul N Zivich , Alexander Breskin

This paper presents a finite difference quasi-Newton method for the minimization of noisy functions. The method takes advantage of the scalability and power of BFGS updating, and employs an adaptive procedure for choosing the differencing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-09 Albert S. Berahas , Richard H. Byrd , Jorge Nocedal

Uncertainty quantification for neural operators remains an open problem in the infinite-dimensional setting due to the lack of finite-sample coverage guarantees over functional outputs. While conformal prediction offers finite-sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-08 David Millard , Lars Lindemann , Ali Baheri

We propose a new framework for designing estimators for off-policy evaluation in contextual bandits. Our approach is based on the asymptotically optimal doubly robust estimator, but we shrink the importance weights to minimize a bound on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Yi Su , Maria Dimakopoulou , Akshay Krishnamurthy , Miroslav Dudík

In survival contexts, substantial literature exists on estimating optimal treatment regimes, where treatments are assigned based on personal characteristics to maximize the survival probability. These methods assume that a set of covariates…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Junwen Xia , Zishu Zhan , Jingxiao Zhang

We propose two novel unbiased estimators of the integral $\int_{[0,1]^{s}}f(u) du$ for a function $f$, which depend on a smoothness parameter $r\in\mathbb{N}$. The first estimator integrates exactly the polynomials of degrees $p<r$ and…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-12 Nicolas Chopin , Mathieu Gerber

We study the problem of super-resolution, where we recover the locations and weights of non-negative point sources from a few samples of their convolution with a Gaussian kernel. It has been shown that exact recovery is possible by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Stéphane Chrétien , Andrew Thompson , Bogdan Toader

Given the unconfoundedness assumption, we propose new nonparametric estimators for the reduced dimensional conditional average treatment effect (CATE) function. In the first stage, the nuisance functions necessary for identifying CATE are…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-26 Qingliang Fan , Yu-Chin Hsu , Robert P. Lieli , Yichong Zhang

We propose an approach to better inform treatment decisions at an individual level by adapting recent advances in average treatment effect estimation to conditional average treatment effect estimation. Our work is based on doubly robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-13 Aaron Fisher , Virginia Fisher

We study estimation and testing in the Poisson regression model with noisy high dimensional covariates, which has wide applications in analyzing noisy big data. Correcting for the estimation bias due to the covariate noise leads to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-03 Fei Jiang , Yeqing Zhou , Jianxuan Liu , Yanyuan Ma

In this paper, we propose a novel approach to fit a functional linear regression in which both the response and the predictor are functions of a common variable such as time. We consider the case that the response and the predictor…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Behdad Mostafaiy , MohammadReza FaridRohani , Shojaeddin Chenouri

We consider nonparametric estimation of the mean and covariance functions for functional/longitudinal data. Strong uniform convergence rates are developed for estimators that are local-linear smoothers. Our results are obtained in a unified…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-12 Yehua Li , Tailen Hsing

In this paper, we discuss the problem of minimizing the sum of two convex functions: a smooth function plus a non-smooth function. Further, the smooth part can be expressed by the average of a large number of smooth component functions, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Luo Luo , Zihao Chen , Zhihua Zhang , Wu-Jun Li

We introduce and study a family of robust estimators for the functional logistic regression model whose robustness automatically adapts to the data thereby leading to estimators with high efficiency in clean data and a high degree of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-03 Ioannis Kalogridis

The estimation of the frequencies of multiple superimposed exponentials in noise is an important research problem due to its various applications from engineering to chemistry. In this paper, we propose an efficient and accurate algorithm…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-05-05 Shanglin Ye , Elias Aboutanios

We introduce a robust optimization model consisting in a family of perturbation functions giving rise to certain pairs of dual optimization problems in which the dual variable depends on the uncertainty parameter. The interest of our…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-14 Nguyen Dinh , Miguel A. Goberna , Marco A. López , Michel Volle

Integrating probability and nonprobability survey samples is an important problem in modern survey sampling. Nonprobability samples often contain rich outcome information but may lack population representativeness, whereas probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Yufang Dai , Shihua Luo , Wendy Lou , Zilin Wang , Xuewen Lu

Suppose that we wish to estimate a finite-dimensional summary of one or more function-valued features of an underlying data-generating mechanism under a nonparametric model. One approach to estimation is by plugging in flexible estimates of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-28 Hongxiang Qiu , Alex Luedtke , Marco Carone