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In the econometrics of financial time series, it is customary to take some parametric model for the data, and then estimate the parameters from historical data. This approach suffers from several problems. Firstly, how is estimation error…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-23 M. Duembgen , L. C. G. Rogers

Maximum likelihood style estimators possesses a number of ideal characteristics, but require prior identification of the distribution of errors to ensure exact unbiasedness. Independent of the focus of the primary statistical analysis, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Landon Hurley

A new empirical Bayes approach to variable selection in the context of generalized linear models is developed. The proposed algorithm scales to situations in which the number of putative explanatory variables is very large, possibly much…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-29 Haim Bar , James Booth , Martin T. Wells

In an influential critique of empirical practice, Freedman (2008) showed that the linear regression estimator was biased for the analysis of randomized controlled trials under the randomization model. Under Freedman's assumptions, we derive…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Haoge Chang , Joel Middleton , P. M. Aronow

Various estimators for modelling the transition probabilities in multi-state models have been proposed, e.g., the Aalen-Johansen estimator, the landmark Aalen-Johansen estimator, and a hybrid Aalen-Johansen estimator. While the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Carolin Drenda , Dennis Dobler , Merle Munko , Andrew Titman

We study the problem of signal estimation from non-linear observations when the signal belongs to a low-dimensional set buried in a high-dimensional space. A rough heuristic often used in practice postulates that non-linear observations may…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-11-17 Yaniv Plan , Roman Vershynin

We consider the linear regression problem of estimating an unknown, deterministic parameter vector based on measurements corrupted by colored Gaussian noise. We present and analyze blind minimax estimators (BMEs), which consist of a bounded…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-09-26 Zvika Ben-Haim , Yonina C. Eldar

This paper is concerned with general nonlinear regression models where the predictor variables are subject to Berkson-type measurement errors. The measurement errors are assumed to have a general parametric distribution, which is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-21 Liqun Wang

It is customary to estimate error-in-variables models using higher-order moments of observables. This moments-based estimator is consistent only when the coefficient of the latent regressor is assumed to be non-zero. We develop a new…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-12 Tom Boot , Artūras Juodis

This paper addresses the asymptotic performance of popular spatial regression estimators of the linear effect of an exposure on an outcome under ``spatial confounding" -- the presence of an unmeasured spatially-structured variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-19 Brian Gilbert , Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Abhirup Datta

The objective of this paper is to propose an unbiased ratio-type estimator for finite population mean when the variables are negatively correlated. Hartley and Ross[2] and Singh and Singh [6] estimators are identified as particular cases of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-11 Jayant Singh , Housila P. Singh , Rajesh Singh

Gaussian process regression is used throughout statistics and machine learning for prediction and uncertainty quantification. A Gaussian process is specified by its mean and covariance functions. Many covariance functions, including…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Toni Karvonen , François Bachoc

We propose a general framework for the estimation of observables with generative neural samplers focusing on modern deep generative neural networks that provide an exact sampling probability. In this framework, we present asymptotically…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-05 Kim A. Nicoli , Shinichi Nakajima , Nils Strodthoff , Wojciech Samek , Klaus-Robert Müller , Pan Kessel

Statistical inferences for high-dimensional regression models have been extensively studied for their wide applications ranging from genomics, neuroscience, to economics. However, in practice, there are often potential unmeasured…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-12 Jing Ouyang , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

Many treatments or policy interventions are continuous in nature. Examples include prices, taxes or temperatures. Empirical researchers have usually relied on two-way fixed effect regressions to estimate treatment effects in such cases.…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-09 Clément de Chaisemartin , Xavier D'Haultfœuille , Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare

Recently, there has been considerable progress on designing algorithms with provable guarantees -- typically using linear algebraic methods -- for parameter learning in latent variable models. But designing provable algorithms for inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-30 Sanjeev Arora , Rong Ge , Frederic Koehler , Tengyu Ma , Ankur Moitra

In applications of Gaussian processes where quantification of uncertainty is of primary interest, it is necessary to accurately characterize the posterior distribution over covariance parameters. This paper proposes an adaptation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-04 Maurizio Filippone , Raphael Engler

We consider linear models with scalar responses and covariates from a separable Hilbert space. The aim is to detect change points in the error distribution, based on sequential residual empirical distribution functions. Expansions for those…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

In this paper we consider a regression model that allows for time series covariates as well as heteroscedasticity with a regression function that is modelled nonparametrically. We assume that the regression function changes at some unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Maria Mohr , Leonie Selk

We discuss unbiased estimation equations in a class of objective function using a monotonically increasing function $f$ and Bregman divergence. The choice of the function $f$ gives desirable properties such as robustness against outliers.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-26 Masahiro Kobayashi , Kazuho Watanabe