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The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

Closed-loop performance of sequential decision making algorithms, such as model predictive control, depends strongly on the choice of controller parameters. Bayesian optimization allows learning of parameters from closed-loop experiments,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-18 Sebastian Hirt , Lukas Theiner , Rolf Findeisen

In many applications, ranging from logistics to engineering, a designer is faced with a sequence of optimization tasks for which the objectives are in the form of black-box functions that are costly to evaluate. Furthermore, higher-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Yunchuan Zhang , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone

The increase in complexity of autonomous systems is accompanied by a need of data-driven development and validation strategies. Advances in computer graphics and cloud clusters have opened the way to massive parallel high fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-05 Osama Maqbool , Jürgen Roßmann

Before autonomous systems can be deployed in safety-critical applications, we must be able to understand and verify the safety of these systems. For cases where the risk or cost of real-world testing is prohibitive, we propose a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Charles Dawson , Anjali Parashar , Chuchu Fan

Safe Bayesian optimization (BO) with Gaussian processes is an effective tool for tuning control policies in safety-critical real-world systems, specifically due to its sample efficiency and safety guarantees. However, most safe BO…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-15 Abdullah Tokmak , Thomas B. Schön , Dominik Baumann

Estimating the probability of failure is an important step in the certification of safety-critical systems. Efficient estimation methods are often needed due to the challenges posed by high-dimensional input spaces, risky test scenarios,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Robert J. Moss , Mykel J. Kochenderfer , Maxime Gariel , Arthur Dubois

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for evaluating the effects of changes to real-world systems. Data in these tests may be difficult to collect and outcomes may have high variance, resulting in potentially large measurement error.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-27 Benjamin Letham , Brian Karrer , Guilherme Ottoni , Eytan Bakshy

Online field experiments are the gold-standard way of evaluating changes to real-world interactive machine learning systems. Yet our ability to explore complex, multi-dimensional policy spaces - such as those found in recommendation and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-30 Benjamin Letham , Eytan Bakshy

Studies on simulation input uncertainty often built on the availability of input data. In this paper, we investigate an inverse problem where, given only the availability of output data, we nonparametrically calibrate the input models and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Aleksandrina Goeva , Henry Lam , Huajie Qian , Bo Zhang

Neural networks are now extensively used in perception, prediction and control of autonomous systems. Their deployment in safety-critical systems brings forth the need for verification techniques for such networks. As an alternative to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Moumita Das , Rajarshi Ray , Swarup Kumar Mohalik , Ansuman Banerjee

Models of stochastic processes are widely used in almost all fields of science. Theory validation, parameter estimation, and prediction all require model calibration and statistical inference using data. However, data are almost always…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-07 David J. Warne , Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

The performance of many machine learning models depends on their hyper-parameter settings. Bayesian Optimization has become a successful tool for hyper-parameter optimization of machine learning algorithms, which aims to identify optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Lidan Wang , Franck Dernoncourt , Trung Bui

We consider Bayesian optimization of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box objective function, where we also have access to cheaper approximations of the objective. In general, such approximations arise in applications such as reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-16 Matthias Poloczek , Jialei Wang , Peter I. Frazier

Falsification of hybrid dynamical systems remains challenging due to mode-dependent dynamics and discrete transitions. In this work, we propose a surrogate-based falsification approach that enables hybrid systems by learning a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Lasse Kötz , Knut Åkesson

Application domains of Bayesian optimization include optimizing black-box functions or very complex functions. The functions we are interested in describe complex real-world systems applied in industrial settings. Even though they do have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-14 Franz Brauße , Zurab Khasidashvili , Konstantin Korovin

Simulation is a foundational tool for the analysis and testing of cyber-physical systems (CPS), underpinning activities such as algorithm development, runtime monitoring, and system verification. As CPS grow in complexity and scale,…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Quinn Thibeault , Giulia Pedrielli

Performing optimal Bayesian design for discriminating between competing models is computationally intensive as it involves estimating posterior model probabilities for thousands of simulated datasets. This issue is compounded further when…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Markus Hainy , David J. Price , Olivier Restif , Christopher Drovandi

Optimization of complex functions, such as the output of computer simulators, is a difficult task that has received much attention in the literature. A less studied problem is that of optimization under unknown constraints, i.e., when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-07-06 Robert B. Gramacy , Herbert K. H. Lee

Bayesian optimization is a coherent, ubiquitous approach to decision-making under uncertainty, with applications including multi-arm bandits, active learning, and black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization selects decisions (i.e.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Samuel Stanton , Wesley Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson
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