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Bayesian forecasting is developed in multivariate time series analysis for causal inference. Causal evaluation of sequentially observed time series data from control and treated units focuses on the impacts of interventions using…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Graham Tierney , Christoph Hellmayr , Greg Barkimer , Kevin Li , Mike West

We develop a Bayesian approach to predict a continuous or binary outcome from data that are collected from multiple sources with a multi-way (i.e.. multidimensional tensor) structure. As a motivating example we consider molecular data from…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 Jonathan Kim , Brian J. Sandri , Raghavendra B. Rao , Eric F. Lock

Modern statistical applications involving large data sets have focused attention on statistical methodologies which are both efficient computationally and able to deal with the screening of large numbers of different candidate models. Here…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-26 David J. Nott , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chenlei Leng

Consider a multinomial regression model where the response, which indicates a unit's membership in one of several possible unordered classes, is associated with a set of predictor variables. Such models typically involve a matrix of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-01-28 Paul Gustafson , Geneviève Lefebvre

It is becoming increasingly important for machine learning methods to make predictions that are interpretable as well as accurate. In many practical applications, it is of interest which features and feature interactions are relevant to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-09 Viktoriya Krakovna , Jiong Du , Jun S. Liu

\noindent Hyper-parameter selection is a central practical problem in modern machine learning, governing regularization strength, model capacity, and robustness choices. Cross-validation is often computationally prohibitive at scale, while…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-24 Hedibert Lopes , Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Variable selection has received widespread attention over the last decade as we routinely encounter high-throughput datasets in complex biological and environment research. Most Bayesian variable selection methods are restricted to mixture…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-24 Hanning Li , Debdeep Pati

We present a novel approach for constrained Bayesian inference. Unlike current methods, our approach does not require convexity of the constraint set. We reduce the constrained variational inference to a parametric optimization over the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Oluwasanmi Koyejo , Joydeep Ghosh

Within the framework of complex system design, it is often necessary to solve mixed variable optimization problems, in which the objective and constraint functions can depend simultaneously on continuous and discrete variables.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Julien Pelamatti , Loic Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent , El-Ghazali Talbi , Yannick Guerin

Learning Bayesian networks from raw data can help provide insights into the relationships between variables. While real data often contains a mixture of discrete and continuous-valued variables, many Bayesian network structure learning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-19 Yi-Chun Chen , Tim Allan Wheeler , Mykel John Kochenderfer

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) hold great promise as a flexible and principled solution to deal with uncertainty when learning from finite data. Among approaches to realize probabilistic inference in deep neural networks, variational Bayes…

High-throughput genetic and epigenetic data are often screened for associations with an observed phenotype. For example, one may wish to test hundreds of thousands of genetic variants, or DNA methylation sites, for an association with…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-20 Eric F. Lock , David B. Dunson

Randomised field experiments, such as A/B testing, have long been the gold standard for evaluating the value that new software brings to customers. However, running randomised field experiments is not always desired, possible or even…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-07-04 Yuchu Liu , David Issa Mattos , Jan Bosch , Helena Holmström Olsson , Jonn Lantz

Variable selection for optimal treatment regime in a clinical trial or an observational study is getting more attention. Most existing variable selection techniques focused on selecting variables that are important for prediction, therefore…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-22 Ailin Fan , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

We consider black-box global optimization of time-consuming-to-evaluate functions on behalf of a decision-maker (DM) whose preferences must be learned. Each feasible design is associated with a time-consuming-to-evaluate vector of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-05 Raul Astudillo , Peter I. Frazier

We present a coherent Bayesian framework for selection of the most likely model from the five genetic models (genotypic, additive, dominant, co-dominant, and recessive) commonly used in genetic association studies. The approach uses a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-22 Harold Bae , Thomas Perls , Martin Steinberg , Paola Sebastiani

We study two-sample variable selection: identifying variables that discriminate between the distributions of two sets of data vectors. Such variables help scientists understand the mechanisms behind dataset discrepancies. Although…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-06 Kensuke Mitsuzawa , Motonobu Kanagawa , Stefano Bortoli , Margherita Grossi , Paolo Papotti

Multi-view datasets offer diverse forms of data that can enhance prediction models by providing complementary information. However, the use of multi-view data leads to an increase in high-dimensional data, which poses significant challenges…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Vandad Imani , Carlos Sevilla-Salcedo , Elaheh Moradi , Vittorio Fortino , Jussi Tohka

The central aim in this paper is to address variable selection questions in nonlinear and nonparametric regression. Motivated by statistical genetics, where nonlinear interactions are of particular interest, we introduce a novel and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-28 Lorin Crawford , Seth R. Flaxman , Daniel E. Runcie , Mike West

We present a method for learning treewidth-bounded Bayesian networks from data sets containing thousands of variables. Bounding the treewidth of a Bayesian greatly reduces the complexity of inferences. Yet, being a global property of the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-05-12 Mauro Scanagatta , Giorgio Corani , Cassio P. de Campos , Marco Zaffalon