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Ensemble filters implement sequential Bayesian estimation by representing the probability distribution by an ensemble mean and covariance. Unbiased square root ensemble filters use deterministic algorithms to produce an analysis (posterior)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-13 Evan Kwiatkowski , Jan Mandel

Contemporary data assimilation often involves more than a million prediction variables. Ensemble Kalman filters (EnKF) have been developed by geoscientists. They are successful indispensable tools in science and engineering, because they…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-26 Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

The Kalman filter is an established tool for the analysis of dynamic systems with normally distributed noise, and it has been successfully applied in numerous application areas. It provides sequentially calculated estimates of the system…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-10-26 S. Eichstädt , N. Makarava , C. Elster

The proof of convergence of the standard ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) from Legland etal. (2011) is extended to non-Gaussian state space models. A density-based deterministic approximation of the mean-field limit EnKF (DMFEnKF) is proposed,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Kody J. H. Law , Hamidou Tembine , Raul Tempone

In recent years, several ensemble-based filtering methods have been proposed and studied. The main challenge in such procedures is the updating of a prior ensemble to a posterior ensemble at every step of the filtering recursions. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-11 Margrethe Kvale Loe , Håkon Tjelmeland

Contemporary data assimilation often involves millions of prediction variables. The classical Kalman filter is no longer computationally feasible in such a high dimensional context. This problem can often be resolved by exploiting the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

An Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF, the predictor) is used make a large change in the state, followed by a Particle Filer (PF, the corrector) which assigns importance weights to describe non-Gaussian distribution. The weights are obtained by…

Computation · Statistics 2009-07-20 Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley

The Kalman filter is extensively used for state estimation for linear systems under Gaussian noise. When non-Gaussian L\'evy noise is present, the conventional Kalman filter may fail to be effective due to the fact that the non-Gaussian…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Xu Sun , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li , Xiangjun Wang

The Ensemble Kalman filter is a sophisticated and powerful data assimilation method for filtering high dimensional problems arising in fluid mechanics and geophysical sciences. This Monte Carlo method can be interpreted as a mean-field…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-04 Pierre Del Moral , Julian Tugaut

The Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) represent a versatile class of data-driven nonlinear dynamical system models. However, the presence of numerous latent variables in GPSSM incurs unresolved issues for existing variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Zhidi Lin , Yiyong Sun , Feng Yin , Alexandre Hoang Thiéry

The ensemble Kalman inversion is widely used in practice to estimate unknown parameters from noisy measurement data. Its low computational costs, straightforward implementation, and non-intrusive nature makes the method appealing in various…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Dirk Blömker , Claudia Schillings , Philipp Wacker , Simon Weissmann

Data assimilation combines dynamical models with observations to improve state estimates. Ensemble filters sequentially assimilate observations by updating a set of samples over time, alternating between a forecast and an analysis step.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-26 Mathieu Le Provost , Jan Glaubitz , Youssef Marzouk

We address the problem of observation noise misspecification in Bayesian filtering of dynamical systems via recent advances in generalised Bayesian inference. Mis-match in tail decay between the true data generating process and an assumed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Hans Reimann , Sebastian Reich

We study a distributed Kalman filtering problem in which a number of nodes cooperate without central coordination to estimate a common state based on local measurements and data received from neighbors. This is typically done by running a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-18 Damián Marelli , Tianju Sui , Minyue Fu

Recursive estimation of nonlinear dynamical systems is an important problem that arises in several engineering applications. Consistent and accurate propagation of uncertainties is important to ensuring good estimation performance. It is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-16 Dilshad Raihan Akkam Veettil , Suman Chakravorty

Nonlinear/non-Gaussian filtering has broad applications in many areas of life sciences where either the dynamic is nonlinear and/or the probability density function of uncertain state is non-Gaussian. In such problems, the accuracy of the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-08-02 Hatef Monajemi , Peter K. Kitanidis

Popular Bayes filters typically rely on linearization techniques such as Taylor series expansion and stochastic linear regression to use the structure of standard Kalman filter. These techniques may introduce large estimation errors in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-17 Wenhan Cao , Tianyi Zhang , Shengbo Eben Li

Studying the stability of the Kalman filter whose measurements are randomly lost has been an active research topic for over a decade. In this paper we extend the existing results to a far more general setting in which the measurement…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-19 Damián Marelli , Tianju Sui , Eduardo Rohr , Minyue Fu

A new ensemble filter that allows for the uncertainty in the prior distribution is proposed and tested. The filter relies on the conditional Gaussian distribution of the state given the model-error and predictability-error covariance…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-19 Michael Tsyrulnikov , Alexander Rakitko

Ensemble Kalman methods are widely used for state estimation in the geophysical sciences. Their success stems from the fact that they take an underlying (possibly noisy) dynamical system as a black box to provide a systematic,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Edoardo Calvello , Sebastian Reich , Andrew M. Stuart