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In many environmental applications involving spatially-referenced data, limitations on the number and locations of observations motivate the need for practical and efficient models for spatial interpolation, or kriging. A key component of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-11 Mark D. Risser

Describing the complex dependence structure of extreme phenomena is particularly challenging. To tackle this issue we develop a novel statistical algorithm that describes extremal dependence taking advantage of the inherent hierarchical…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-24 Sabrina Vettori , Raphaël Huser , Johan Segers , Marc G. Genton

Machine learning classification methods usually assume that all possible classes are sufficiently present within the training set. Due to their inherent rarities, extreme events are always under-represented and classifiers tailored for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-12 Juliette Legrand , Philippe Naveau , Marco Oesting

We study a nonlinear coupled system of partial differential equations arising from thermo--reaction--phase models. The system combines a heat diffusion equation, temperature-dependent chemical reactions of Arrhenius type, and a phase…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-04-24 Gossrin Jean-Marc Bomisso , Ali Ouattara Kouma , Marie Esther Anassé

The maxima and the minima of a randomly stopped sample of a random variable, $X$, together with two newly defined random variables that make $X$ into the maxima or minima of a randomly stopped sample of them, can be used to define…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Jordi Valero , Josep Ginebra

Projections of storm surge return levels are a basic requirement for effective management of coastal risks. A common approach to estimate hazards posed by extreme sea levels is to use a statistical model, which may use a time series of a…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-28 Tony E. Wong

We propose a new adequacy test and a graphical evaluation tool for nonlinear dynamic models. The proposed techniques can be applied in any setup where parametric conditional distribution of the data is specified, in particular to models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-02 Igor L. Kheifets

Multivariate max-stable processes are important for both theoretical investigations and various statistical applications motivated by the fact that these are limiting processes, for instance of stationary multivariate regularly varying time…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Enkelejd Hashorva , Alfred Kume

Stationary time series models built from parametric distributions are, in general, limited in scope due to the assumptions imposed on the residual distribution and autoregression relationship. We present a modeling approach for univariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-04 Maria DeYoreo , Athanasios Kottas

Hyperexponential stability is investigated for dynamical systems with the use of both, explicit and implicit, Lyapunov function methods. A nonlinear hyperexponential control is designed for stabilizing linear systems. The tuning procedure…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-19 Konstantin Zimenko , Denis Efimov , Andrey Polyakov

We study non-stationary stochastic processes arising from sequential dynamical systems built on maps with a neutral fixed points and prove the existence of Extreme Value Laws for such processes. We use an approach developed in \cite{FFV16},…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-17 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Sandro Vaienti

A successful model for high-dimensional spatial extremes should, in principle, be able to describe both weakening extremal dependence at increasing levels and changes in the type of extremal dependence class as a function of the distance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-14 Silius M. Vandeskog , Sara Martino , Raphaël Huser

We study the long-time behavior of stochastic models with an absorbing state, conditioned on survival. For a large class of processes, in which saturation prevents unlimited growth, statistical properties of the surviving sample attain…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Ronald Dickman , Ronaldo Vidigal

In this paper, we consider isotropic and stationary max-stable, inverse max-stable and max-mixture processes $X=(X(s))\_{s\in\bR^2}$ and the damage function $\cD\_X^{\nu}= |X|^\nu$ with $0<\nu<1/2$. We study the quantitative behavior of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Ahmed Manaf , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Pierre Ribereau , Céline Vial

Motivated by networked systems, stochastic control, optimization, and a wide variety of applications, this work is devoted to systems of switching jump diffusions. Treating such nonlinear systems, we focus on stability issues. First…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-21 Zhixin Yang , G. Yin

This study investigates how conditional normalizing flows can be applied to remote sensing data products in climate science for spatio-temporal prediction. The method is chosen due to its desired properties such as exact likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Christina Winkler , David Rolnick

Time-dependent data often exhibit characteristics, such as non-stationarity and heavy-tailed errors, that would be inappropriate to model with the typical assumptions used in popular models. Thus, more flexible approaches are required to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-02 Taole Sha , Michael Minyi Zhang

Aiming to estimate extreme precipitation forecast quantiles, we propose a nonparametric regression model that features a constant extreme value index. Using local linear quantile regression and an extrapolation technique from extreme value…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-06 Jasper Velthoen , Juan-Juan Cai , Geurt Jongbloed , Maurice Schmeits

This paper presents some asymptotic results for statistics of Brownian semi-stationary (BSS) processes. More precisely, we consider power variations of BSS processes, which are based on high frequency (possibly higher order) differences of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-04 José Manuel Corcuera , Emil Hedevang , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Mark Podolskij

In this paper, we consider a stochastic system described by a differential equation admitting a spatially varying random coefficient. The differential equation has been employed to model various static physics systems such as elastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-18 Jingchen Liu , Xiang Zhou
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