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Diffusion models suffer from slow sample generation at inference time. Therefore, developing a principled framework for fast deterministic/stochastic sampling for a broader class of diffusion models is a promising direction. We propose two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-13 Kushagra Pandey , Maja Rudolph , Stephan Mandt

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a widely used methodology for state estimation in partial, noisily observed dynamical systems, and for parameter estimation in inverse problems. Despite its widespread use in the geophysical sciences,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Claudia Schillings , Andrew M. Stuart

This study explores the potential of small language model(SLM) ensembles to achieve accuracy comparable to proprietary large language models (LLMs). We propose Ensemble Bayesian Inference (EBI), a novel approach that applies Bayesian…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Haru-Tada Sato , Fuka Matsuzaki , Jun-ichiro Takahashi

The iterative ensemble Kalman filter (IEnKF) is widely used in inverse problems to estimate system parameters from limited observations. However, the IEnKF, when applied to nonlinear systems, can be plagued by poor convergence. Here we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-11 Jiacheng Wu , Jian-Xun Wang , Shawn C. Shadden

The complex Langevin approach is a promising method for the numerical treatment of systems with a sign problem, for which conventional lattice field theory techniques based on importance sampling cannot be applied. However, complex Langevin…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2026-04-15 Michael Mandl

We study the use of novel techniques arising in machine learning for inverse problems. Our approach replaces the complex forward model by a neural network, which is trained simultaneously in a one-shot sense when estimating the unknown…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-15 Philipp A. Guth , Claudia Schillings , Simon Weissmann

A square root approach is considered for the problem of accounting for model noise in the forecast step of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and related algorithms. The primary aim is to replace the method of simulated, pseudo-random,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-23 Patrick N. Raanes , Alberto Carrassi , Laurent Bertino

The exact estimation of latent variable models with big data is known to be challenging. The latents have to be integrated out numerically, and the dimension of the latent variables increases with the sample size. This paper develops a…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-27 Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Didier Nibbering , Dan Zhu

Variational inference (VI) combined with Bayesian nonlinear filtering produces state-of-the-art results for latent time-series modeling. A body of recent work has focused on sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) and its variants, e.g., forward…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-10 Tsuyoshi Ishizone , Tomoyuki Higuchi , Kazuyuki Nakamura

A fundamental problem in Bayesian inference and statistical machine learning is to efficiently sample from multimodal distributions. Due to metastability, multimodal distributions are difficult to sample using standard Markov chain Monte…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-27 Yulong Lu , Jianfeng Lu , James Nolen

An ensemble method that fuses the output decision vectors of multiple feedforward-designed convolutional neural networks (FF-CNNs) to solve the image classification problem is proposed in this work. To enhance the performance of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-09 Yueru Chen , Yijing Yang , Wei Wang , C. -C. Jay Kuo

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is widely used for data assimilation in high-dimensional systems, but its performance often deteriorates for strongly nonlinear dynamics due to the structural mismatch between the Kalman update and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Xin T. Tong , Yanyan Wang , Liang Yan

Nonlinear Bayesian update for a prior ensemble is proposed to extend traditional ensemble Kalman filtering to settings characterized by non-Gaussian priors and nonlinear measurement operators. In this framework, the observed component is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-20 Yoonsang Lee

The standard probabilistic perspective on machine learning gives rise to empirical risk-minimization tasks that are frequently solved by stochastic gradient descent (SGD) and variants thereof. We present a formulation of these tasks as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Nikola B. Kovachki , Andrew M. Stuart

Finite element model updating is challenging because 1) the problem is oftentimes underdetermined while the measurements are limited and/or incomplete; 2) many combinations of parameters may yield responses that are similar with respect to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-28 Kai Zhou , Jiong Tang

We generalize the popular ensemble Kalman filter to an ensemble transform filter where the prior distribution can take the form of a Gaussian mixture or a Gaussian kernel density estimator. The design of the filter is based on a continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-27 Sebastian Reich

This paper investigates ensemble Kalman inversion (EKI) for variational inverse problems with convex, potentially non-smooth regularization. While deterministic EKI and its Tikhonov-regularized variants have primarily been analyzed for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Simon Weissmann

Inverse problems occur in a variety of parameter identification tasks in engineering. Such problems are challenging in practice, as they require repeated evaluation of computationally expensive forward models. We introduce a unifying…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-02 Simon Weissmann , Ashia Wilson , Jakob Zech

In machine learning (ML), ensemble methods such as bagging, boosting, and stacking are widely-established approaches that regularly achieve top-notch predictive performance. Stacking (also called "stacked generalization") is an ensemble…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-19 Angelos Chatzimparmpas , Rafael M. Martins , Kostiantyn Kucher , Andreas Kerren

This paper provides a unified perspective of iterative ensemble Kalman methods, a family of derivative-free algorithms for parameter reconstruction and other related tasks. We identify, compare and develop three subfamilies of ensemble…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Neil K. Chada , Yuming Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso