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We study the evolution of a pathogen with two allelic types infecting a population of hosts, where within-host type frequencies evolve in discrete time. Our framework is built on a two-parameter family of transition kernels on [0,1], which…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-19 Fernando Cordero , Christian Jorquera , Héctor Olivero , Leonardo Videla

Assume that $(X_t)_{t\in\Z}$ is a real valued time series admitting a common marginal density $f$ with respect to Lebesgue's measure. Donoho {\it et al.} (1996) propose a near-minimax method based on thresholding wavelets to estimate $f$ on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-17 Irène Gannaz , Olivier Wintenberger

The extremal Fourier intensities are studied for stationary Edwards-Wilkinson-type, Gaussian, interfaces with power-law dispersion. We calculate the probability distribution of the maximal intensity and find that, generically, it does not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 G. Gyorgyi , P. C. W. Holdsworth , B. Portelli , Z. Racz

We propose a Likelihood Matching approach for training diffusion models by first establishing an equivalence between the likelihood of the target data distribution and a likelihood along the sample path of the reverse diffusion. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-23 Lei Qian , Wu Su , Yanqi Huang , Song Xi Chen

We develop an iterative global solution scheme for the backward Kolmogorov equation of the diffusion approximation of the Wright-Fisher model of population genetics. That model describes the random genetic drift of several alleles at the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-06-20 Julian Hofrichter , Tat Dat Tran , Jürgen Jost

Variational autoencoders (VAE) often use Gaussian or category distribution to model the inference process. This puts a limit on variational learning because this simplified assumption does not match the true posterior distribution, which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-28 Ke Sun , Xiangliang Zhang

Diffusion or score-based models recently showed high performance in image generation. They rely on a forward and a backward stochastic differential equations (SDE). The sampling of a data distribution is achieved by numerically solving the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Emile Pierret , Bruno Galerne

We propose a simple modification, the Gaussian truncation, of the probability density function which was obtained by Beck (2001) to fit the experimental distribution of fluid particle acceleration component from fully developed fluid…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. K. Aringazin , M. I. Mazhitov

In this paper we discuss a closed-form approximation of the likelihood functions of an arbitrary diffusion process. The approximation is based on an exponential ansatz of the transition probability for a finite time step $\Delta t$, and a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-10 Luca Capriotti

In populations competing for resources, it is natural to ask whether consuming fewer resources provides any selective advantage. To answer this question, we propose a Wright- Fisher model with two types of individuals: the inefficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-11 Adrian Gonzalez Casanova , Veronica Miro Pina , Juan Carlos Pardo

Diffusion generative models unlock new possibilities for inverse problems as they allow for the incorporation of strong empirical priors in scientific inference. Recently, diffusion models are repurposed for solving inverse problems using…

We propose point estimators for the three-parameter (location, scale, and the fractional parameter) variant distributions generated by a Wright function. We also provide uncertainty quantification procedures for the proposed point…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-13 Dexter Cahoy , Sharifa Minkabo

In this paper, we derive closed-form exact expressions for the main statistics of the ratio of squared alpha-mu random variables, which are of interest in many scenarios for future wireless networks where generalized distributions are more…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-02-22 J. D. Vega Sánchez , D. P. Moya Osorio , E. E. Benitez Olivo , H. Alves , M. C. P. Paredes , L. Urquiza-Aguiar

We present a mechanistic formalism for the study of evolutionary dynamics models based on the diffusion approximation described by the Kimura Equation. In this formalism, the central component is the fitness potential, from which we obtain…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-23 Fabio A. C. C. Chalub , Max O. Souza

We present a novel approximate inference method for diffusion processes, based on the Wasserstein gradient flow formulation of the diffusion. In this formulation, the time-dependent density of the diffusion is derived as the limit of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-13 Charlie Frogner , Tomaso Poggio

We study a generalization of the Wright--Fisher model in which some individuals adopt a behavior that is harmful to others without any direct advantage for themselves. This model is motivated by studies of spiteful behavior in nature,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Ludovic Goudenège , Pierre-André Zitt

This paper deals with a nonparametric Nadaraya-Watson (NW) estimator of the transition density function computed from independent continuous observations of a diffusion process. A risk bound is established on this estimator. The paper also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Nicolas Marie , Ousmane Sacko

This paper proposes a widely applicable method of approximate maximum-likelihood estimation for multivariate diffusion process from discretely sampled data. A closed-form asymptotic expansion for transition density is proposed and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-14 Chenxu Li

The stationary distribution of the diffusion limit of the 2-island, 2-allele Wright-Fisher with small but otherwise arbitrary mutation and migration rates is investigated. Following a method developed by Burden and Tang (2016, 2017) for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-27 Conrad J. Burden , Robert C. Griffiths

We investigate spatial evolutionary games with death-birth updating in large finite populations. Within growing spatial structures subject to appropriate conditions, the density processes of a fixed type are proven to converge to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-23 Yu-Ting Chen
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