English
Related papers

Related papers: Forecasting West Nile Virus with Graph Neural Netw…

200 papers

We study a recent class of models which uses graph neural networks (GNNs) to improve forecasting in multivariate time series. The core assumption behind these models is that there is a latent graph between the time series (nodes) that…

Given a set of synchronous time series, each associated with a sensor-point in space and characterized by inter-series relationships, the problem of spatiotemporal forecasting consists of predicting future observations for each point.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Ivan Marisca , Cesare Alippi , Filippo Maria Bianchi

Modeling multivariate time series has long been a subject that has attracted researchers from a diverse range of fields including economics, finance, and traffic. A basic assumption behind multivariate time series forecasting is that its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Xiaojun Chang , Chengqi Zhang

Wide area networking infrastructures (WANs), particularly science and research WANs, are the backbone for moving large volumes of scientific data between experimental facilities and data centers. With demands growing at exponential rates,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-31 Tanwi Mallick , Mariam Kiran , Bashir Mohammed , Prasanna Balaprakash

Estimating the geographical range of a species from sparse observations is a challenging and important geospatial prediction problem. Given a set of locations where a species has been observed, the goal is to build a model to predict…

Coccidioidomycosis, commonly known as Valley Fever, remains a significant public health concern in endemic regions of the southwestern United States. This study develops the first graph neural network (GNN) model for forecasting Valley…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Ali Sarabi , Arash Sarabi , Hao Yan , Beckett Sterner , Petar Jevtić

Spatial-temporal network traffic forecasting is a challenging task due to the complex spatial relationships and dynamic temporal patterns present in each node. Traditional regression methods are not directly applicable to such graph data.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Jinming Xing , Guoheng Sun , Hui Sun , Linchao Pan , Shakir Mahmood , Xuanhao Luo , Muhammad Shahzad

West Nile virus (WNV) is a vector-borne pathogen of global relevance and is currently the most widely distributed flavivirus of encephalitis worldwide. This virus infects birds, humans, horses, and other mammals, and its transmission cycle…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-05 Camila Lorenz , Thiago Salomao de Azevedo , Francisco Chiaravalloti-Neto

The lack of epidemiological data in wireless sensor networks (WSNs) is a fundamental difficulty in constructing robust models to forecast and mitigate threats such as viruses and worms. Many studies have examined different epidemic models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Chukwunonso Henry Nwokoye , Blessing Oluchi , Sharna Waldron , Peace Ezzeh

Data derived from remote sensing or numerical simulations often have a regular gridded structure and are large in volume, making it challenging to find accurate spatial models that can fill in missing grid cells or simulate the process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Sweta Rai , Douglas W. Nychka , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

Many traffic prediction applications rely on uncertainty estimates instead of the mean prediction. Statistical traffic prediction literature has a complete subfield devoted to uncertainty modelling, but recent deep learning traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-10 Tijs Maas , Peter Bloem

Multivariate time series is prevalent in many scientific and industrial domains. Modeling multivariate signals is challenging due to their long-range temporal dependencies and intricate interactions--both direct and indirect. To confront…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Juhyeon Kim , Hyungeun Lee , Seungwon Yu , Ung Hwang , Wooyul Jung , Miseon Park , Kijung Yoon

This paper presents a novel application of graph neural networks for modeling and estimating network heterogeneity. Network heterogeneity is characterized by variations in unit's decisions or outcomes that depend not only on its own…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-30 Yike Wang , Chris Gu , Taisuke Otsu

Accurate flood forecasting remains a challenge for water-resource management, as it demands modeling of local, time-varying runoff drivers (e.g., rainfall-induced peaks, baseflow trends) and complex spatial interactions across a river…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Aishwarya Sarkar , Autrin Hakimi , Xiaoqiong Chen , Hai Huang , Chaoqun Lu , Ibrahim Demir , Ali Jannesari

West Nile virus (WNV) is prevalent in the United States but it shows considerable divergence in transmission patterns and spatio-temporal intensity.It is to be noted that the mechanism that drives the transmission potential of WNV is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-10 Suman Bhowmick , Megan Fritz , Rebecca Lee Smith

Air pollution is a significant global health risk, contributing to millions of premature deaths annually. Nitrogen dioxide (NO2), a harmful pollutant, disproportionately affects urban areas where monitoring networks are often sparse. We…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-12 Finn Gueterbock , Raul Santos-Rodriguez , Jeffrey N. Clark

Traffic forecasting is important for the success of intelligent transportation systems. Deep learning models, including convolution neural networks and recurrent neural networks, have been extensively applied in traffic forecasting problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-08 Weiwei Jiang , Jiayun Luo

Understanding spatio-temporal patterns in polar ice layers is essential for tracking changes in ice sheet balance and assessing ice dynamics. While convolutional neural networks are widely used in learning ice layer patterns from raw…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Zesheng Liu , Maryam Rahnemoonfar

Agriculture, as the cornerstone of human civilization, constantly seeks to integrate technology for enhanced productivity and sustainability. This paper introduces $\textit{Agri-GNN}$, a novel Genotypic-Topological Graph Neural Network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-23 Aditya Gupta , Asheesh Singh

In low-resource settings, prevalence mapping relies on empirical prevalence data from a finite, often spatially sparse, set of surveys of communities within the region of interest, possibly supplemented by remotely sensed images that can…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-27 Peter J. Diggle , Emanuele Giorgi