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We present a constraint-based algorithm for learning causal structures from observational time-series data, in the presence of latent confounders. We assume a discrete-time, stationary structural vector autoregressive process, with both…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Gal Novik

Background: There has been growing research interest in automated answering of questions or generation of summary of free form text such as news article. In order to implement this task, the computer should be able to identify the sequence…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-07-25 Amol S Patwardhan , Jacob Badeaux , Siavash , Gerald M Knapp

Time series reasoning treats time as a first-class axis and incorporates intermediate evidence directly into the answer. This survey defines the problem and organizes the literature by reasoning topology with three families: direct…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Ching Chang , Yidan Shi , Defu Cao , Wei Yang , Jeehyun Hwang , Haixin Wang , Jiacheng Pang , Wei Wang , Yan Liu , Wen-Chih Peng , Tien-Fu Chen

Discovering causal relationships between different variables from time series data has been a long-standing challenge for many domains such as climate science, finance, and healthcare. Given the complexity of real-world relationships and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Wenbo Gong , Joel Jennings , Cheng Zhang , Nick Pawlowski

In several real world applications, machine learning models are deployed to make predictions on data whose distribution changes gradually along time, leading to a drift between the train and test distributions. Such models are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Anshul Nasery , Soumyadeep Thakur , Vihari Piratla , Abir De , Sunita Sarawagi

Temporal relation classification is a pair-wise task for identifying the relation of a temporal link (TLINK) between two mentions, i.e. event, time, and document creation time (DCT). It leads to two crucial limits: 1) Two TLINKs involving a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Fei Cheng , Masayuki Asahara , Ichiro Kobayashi , Sadao Kurohashi

Temporal reasoning over long, multi-session dialogues is a critical capability for conversational agents. However, existing works and our pilot study have shown that as dialogue histories grow in length and accumulate noise, current…

Temporal set prediction involves forecasting the elements that will appear in the next set, given a sequence of prior sets, each containing a variable number of elements. Existing methods often rely on intricate architectures with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Ashish Ranjan , Ayush Agarwal , Shalin Barot , Sushant Kumar

Temporal grounding in videos aims to localize one target video segment that semantically corresponds to a given query sentence. Thanks to the semantic diversity of natural language descriptions, temporal grounding allows activity grounding…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Juncheng Li , Junlin Xie , Long Qian , Linchao Zhu , Siliang Tang , Fei Wu , Yi Yang , Yueting Zhuang , Xin Eric Wang

The past decade has witnessed significant advances in time series modeling with deep learning. While achieving state-of-the-art results, the best-performing architectures vary highly across applications and domains. Meanwhile, for natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Defu Cao , Furong Jia , Sercan O Arik , Tomas Pfister , Yixiang Zheng , Wen Ye , Yan Liu

Scheduling dialogs, during which people negotiate the times of appointments, are common in everyday life. This paper reports the results of an in-depth empirical investigation of resolving explicit temporal references in scheduling dialogs.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2009-09-25 Janyce Wiebe , Thomas P. O'Hara , Thorsten Ohrstrom-Sandgren , Kenneth K. McKeever

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive capabilities in reasoning and prediction across different domains. Yet, their ability to infer temporal regularities from structured behavioral data remains underexplored. This paper…

Computational analysis of time-course data with an underlying causal structure is needed in a variety of domains, including neural spike trains, stock price movements, and gene expression levels. However, it can be challenging to determine…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Samantha Kleinberg , Bud Mishra

Reasoning about unpredicted change consists in explaining observations by events; we propose here an approach for explaining time-stamped observations by surprises, which are simple events consisting in the change of the truth value of a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Florence Dupin de Saint-Cyr , Jérôme Lang

While Large Language Models have been used to produce interpretable stock forecasts, they mainly focus on analyzing textual reports but not historical price data, also known as Technical Analysis. This task is challenging as it switches…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-03 Kelvin J. L. Koa , Jan Chen , Yunshan Ma , Huanhuan Zheng , Tat-Seng Chua

This book introduces a temporal type theory, the first of its kind as far as we know. It is based on a standard core, and as such it can be formalized in a proof assistant such as Coq or Lean by adding a number of axioms. Well-known…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Patrick Schultz , David I. Spivak

Despite the advanced capabilities of large language models (LLMs), their temporal reasoning ability remains underdeveloped. Prior works have highlighted this limitation, particularly in maintaining temporal consistency when understanding…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Jongho Kim , Seung-won Hwang

Understanding time series data is fundamental to many real-world applications. Recent work explores multimodal large language models (MLLMs) to enhance time series understanding with contextual information beyond numerical signals. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Yaxuan Kong , Yiyuan Yang , Shiyu Wang , Chenghao Liu , Yuxuan Liang , Ming Jin , Stefan Zohren , Dan Pei , Yan Liu , Qingsong Wen

Explanation faithfulness of model predictions in natural language processing is typically evaluated on held-out data from the same temporal distribution as the training data (i.e. synchronous settings). While model performance often…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Zhixue Zhao , George Chrysostomou , Kalina Bontcheva , Nikolaos Aletras

As a pivotal component to attaining generalizable solutions in human intelligence, reasoning provides great potential for reinforcement learning (RL) agents' generalization towards varied goals by summarizing part-to-whole arguments and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-18 Wenhao Ding , Haohong Lin , Bo Li , Ding Zhao