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We study the statistical inference of nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms utilizing a single trajectory of Markovian data. Our methodology has practical applications in various scenarios, such as Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Xiang Li , Jiadong Liang , Zhihua Zhang

This work develops a multivariate extension of the Fixed Rank Kriging (FRK) framework for spatial prediction in settings where multiple spatial processes may provide complementary information. The goal is to preserve the computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Gaia Caringi , Piercesare Secchi

The paper considers the problem of robust estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with dependent disturbances given by a general square integrable semimartingale with unknown distribution. An example of such a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Victor Konev , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

Non-Gaussian spatial and spatio-temporal data are becoming increasingly prevalent, and their analysis is needed in a variety of disciplines. FRK is an R package for spatial/spatio-temporal modelling and prediction with very large data sets…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-22 Matthew Sainsbury-Dale , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Noel Cressie

We propose a distributed method for simultaneous inference for datasets with sample size much larger than the number of covariates, i.e., N >> p, in the generalized linear models framework. When such datasets are too big to be analyzed…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-23 Lu Tang , Ling Zhou , Peter X. -K. Song

It has become critical for deep learning algorithms to quantify their output uncertainties to satisfy reliability constraints and provide accurate results. Uncertainty estimation for regression has received less attention than…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Xuanlong Yu , Gianni Franchi , Emanuel Aldea

We present a general principle for estimating a regression function nonparametrically, allowing for a wide variety of data filtering, for example, repeated left truncation and right censoring. Both the mean and the median regression cases…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-10 Oliver Linton , Enno Mammen , Jens Perch Nielsen , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential for deploying machine learning systems in high-stakes domains. Conformal prediction provides distribution-free coverage guarantees but often produces overly large prediction sets, limiting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Yunpeng Xu , Wenge Guo , Zhi Wei

We propose a nonparametric method for detecting nonlinear causal relationship within a set of multidimensional discrete time series, by using sparse additive models (SpAMs). We show that, when the input to the SpAM is a $\beta$-mixing time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-27 Yingxiang Yang , Adams Wei Yu , Zhaoran Wang , Tuo Zhao

We analyze a lightweight simulation-based inference method that infers simulator parameters using only a regression-based projection of the observed data. After fitting a surrogate linear regression once, the procedure simulates small…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Arya Farahi , Jonah Rose , Paul Torrey

Among semiparametric regression models, partially linear additive models provide a useful tool to include additive nonparametric components as well as a parametric component, when explaining the relationship between the response and a set…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 Graciela Boente , Alejandra Martínez

We study statistical inference on unit roots and cointegration for time series in a Hilbert space. We develop statistical inference on the number of common stochastic trends embedded in the time series, i.e., the dimension of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-17 Morten Ørregaard Nielsen , Won-Ki Seo , Dakyung Seong

In scientific applications, there often are several competing models that could be fit to the observed data, so quantification of the model uncertainty is of fundamental importance. In this paper, we develop an inferential model (IM)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Ryan Martin , Huiping Xu , Zuoyi Zhang , Chuanhai Liu

A fast and flexible $k$NN procedure is developed for dealing with a semiparametric functional regression model involving both partial-linear and single-index components. Rates of uniform consistency are presented. Simulated experiments…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Silvia Novo , Germán Aneiros , Philippe Vieu

In Selk and Gertheiss (2022) a nonparametric prediction method for models with multiple functional and categorical covariates is introduced. The dependent variable can be categorical (binary or multi-class) or continuous, thus both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Leonie Selk

Many empirical examples of regression discontinuity (RD) designs concern a continuous treatment variable, but the theoretical aspects of such models are less studied. This study examines the identification and estimation of the structural…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-19 Haitian Xie

Nonparametric mixture models based on the Dirichlet process are an elegant alternative to finite models when the number of underlying components is unknown, but inference in such models can be slow. Existing attempts to parallelize…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-03 Sinead A. Williamson , Avinava Dubey , Eric P. Xing

Marginal structural models are a popular method for estimating causal effects in the presence of time-varying exposures. In spite of their popularity, no scalable non-parametric estimator exist for marginal structural models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Axel Martin , Michele Santacatterina , Iván Díaz

The proliferation of large-scale and structurally complex data has spurred the integration of machine learning methods into statistical modeling. Recurrent neural networks (RNNs), a foundational class of models for time-dependent data, can…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Yuxi Cai , Lan Li , Feiqing Huang , Guodong Li

Over the past decades, linear mixed models have attracted considerable attention in various fields of applied statistics. They are popular whenever clustered, hierarchical or longitudinal data are investigated. Nonetheless, statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-20 Katarzyna Reluga , María José Lombardía , Stefan Andreas Sperlich