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Instrumental variable methods have been widely used to identify causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. A key identification condition known as the exclusion restriction states that the instrument cannot have a direct…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-05 Baoluo Sun , Yifan Cui , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Estimating covariances between financial assets plays an important role in risk management. In practice, when the sample size is small compared to the number of variables, the empirical estimate is known to be very unstable. Here, we…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-04-19 Rajbir-Singh Nirwan , Nils Bertschinger

In biomedical studies, researchers are often interested in assessing the association between one or more ordinal explanatory variables and an outcome variable, at the same time adjusting for covariates of any type. The outcome variable may…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-17 Kaspar Rufibach

Instrumental variable methods are fundamental to causal inference when treatment assignment is confounded by unobserved variables. In this article, we develop a general nonparametric causal framework for identification and learning with…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Shuyuan Chen , Peng Zhang , Yifan Cui

We discuss the prediction accuracy of assumed statistical models in terms of prediction errors for the generalized linear model and penalized maximum likelihood methods. We derive the forms of estimators for the prediction errors, such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-22 Ayaka Sakata

Generalized cross-validation (GCV) is a widely-used method for estimating the squared out-of-sample prediction risk that employs a scalar degrees of freedom adjustment (in a multiplicative sense) to the squared training error. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-23 Pierre C. Bellec , Jin-Hong Du , Takuya Koriyama , Pratik Patil , Kai Tan

Generalized Vector Approximate Message Passing (GVAMP) is an efficient iterative algorithm for approximately minimum-mean-squared-error estimation of a random vector $\mathbf{x}\sim p_{\mathbf{x}}(\mathbf{x})$ from generalized linear…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-06-27 Christopher A. Metzler , Philip Schniter , Richard G. Baraniuk

Influence functions (IFs) elucidate how training data changes model behavior. However, the increasing size and non-convexity in large-scale models make IFs inaccurate. We suspect that the fragility comes from the first-order approximation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Hyeonsu Lyu , Jonggyu Jang , Sehyun Ryu , Hyun Jong Yang

The standard regression tree method applied to observations within clusters poses both methodological and implementation challenges. Effectively leveraging these data requires methods that account for both individual-level and sample-level…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Jeremiah Allis , Xin Jin , Riddhi Ghosh

In the low-dimensional case, the generalized additive coefficient model (GACM) proposed by Xue and Yang [Statist. Sinica 16 (2006) 1423-1446] has been demonstrated to be a powerful tool for studying nonlinear interaction effects of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-15 Shujie Ma , Raymond J. Carroll , Hua Liang , Shizhong Xu

Enhanced sampling simulations make the computational study of rare events feasible. A large family of such methods crucially depends on the definition of some collective variables (CVs) that could provide a low-dimensional representation of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-03 Jintu Zhang , Luigi Bonati , Enrico Trizio , Odin Zhang , Yu Kang , TingJun Hou , Michele Parrinello

As machine learning becomes more pervasive, there is an urgent need for interpretable explanations of predictive models. Prior work has developed effective methods for visualizing global model behavior, as well as generating local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-02 Matthew Britton

We provide an inferential framework to assess variable importance for heterogeneous treatment effects. This assessment is especially useful in high-risk domains such as medicine, where decision makers hesitate to rely on black-box treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Pawel Morzywolek , Peter B. Gilbert , Alex Luedtke

This paper extends the idea of a generalized estimator for a scalar parameter (Vos, 2022) to multi-dimensional parameters both with and without nuisance parameters. The title reflects the fact that generalized estimators provide more than…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-26 Paul Vos , Qiang Wu

Of theories for why large-scale machine learning models generalize despite being vastly overparameterized, which of their assumptions are needed to capture the qualitative phenomena of generalization in the real world? On one hand, we find…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-14 Alexander Wei , Wei Hu , Jacob Steinhardt

While analyzing the importance of features has become ubiquitous in interpretable machine learning, the joint signal from a group of related features is sometimes overlooked or inadvertently excluded. Neglecting the joint signal could…

We discuss a generalization of POVM which is used in quantum-like modeling of mental processing.

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-12 Irina Basieva , Andrei Khrennikov

Generalized extreme value (GEV) regression is often more adapted when we investigate a relationship between a binary response variable $Y$ which represents a rare event and potentiel predictors $\mathbf{X}$. In particular, we use the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-04 Aba Diop , El Hadji Deme

We present the Mixed Likelihood Gaussian process latent variable model (GP-LVM), capable of modeling data with attributes of different types. The standard formulation of GP-LVM assumes that each observation is drawn from a Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Samuel Murray , Hedvig Kjellström

Logistic regression model is widely used in many studies to investigate the relationship between a binary response variable $Y$ and a set of potential predictors $\mathbf X$. The binary response may represent, for example, the occurrence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-04 Aba Diop , El Hadji Deme , Aliou Diop