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We consider a model where an agent is must choose between alternatives that each provide only an imprecise description of the world (e.g. linguistic expressions). The set of alternatives is closed under logical conjunction and disjunction,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-09-11 Evan Piermont , Marcus Pivato

Although financial models violate ergodicity in general, observing the ergodic behavior in the markets is not rare. Policymakers and market participants control the market behavior in critical and emergency states, which leads to some…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Kiarash Firouzi , Mohammad Jelodari Mamaghani

An agent acquires information dynamically until her belief about a binary state reaches an upper or lower threshold. She can choose any signal process subject to a constraint on the rate of entropy reduction. Strategies are ordered by "time…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-08-23 Daniel Chen , Weijie Zhong

We construct a model of an exchange economy in which agents trade assets contingent on an observable signal, the probability of which depends on public opinion. The agents in our model are replaced occasionally and each person updates…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-04-28 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Roger Farmer

We present an agent-based model of microscopic wealth exchange in a dynamic network to study the topological features associated with economic inequality. The model evolves through two alternating processes, the conservative exchange of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-30 Gustavo Kohlrausch , Sebastián Gonçalves

We present an agent-based model of economic exchange in a society composed of two groups, representing two social groups and with different internal protection rules for the poor agents. The goal is to address the emerging wealth…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-01 Thiago Dias , Sebastián Gonçalves

The stochastic processes underlying the growth and stability of biological and psychological systems reveal themselves when far from equilibrium. Far from equilibrium, nonergodicity reigns. Nonergodicity implies that the average outcome for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-03 Madhur Mangalam , Damian G. Kelty-Stephen

To profit from price oscillations, investors frequently use threshold-type strategies where changes in the portfolio position are triggered by some indicators reaching prescribed levels. In this paper, we investigate threshold-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Attila Lovas , Miklós Rásonyi

Any firm whose business strategy has an exposure constraint that limits its potential gain naturally considers expansion, as this can increase its exposure. We model business expansion as an enlargement of the opportunity set for business…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-14 Ling Wang , Kexin Chen , Mei Choi Chiu , Hoi Ying Wong

This essay discusses the advantages of a probabilistic agent-based approach to questions in theoretical economics, from the nature of economic agents, to the nature of the equilibria supported by their interactions. One idea we propose is…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-05 Ted Theodosopoulos

This paper describes an agent-based model of a finite group of agents in a single population who each choose which convention to advocate, and which convention to practice. Influences or dependencies in agents choice exists in the form of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-09-30 A. K. M. Azhar , W. A. T. Wan Abdullah , M. Ruzlan

Securities markets are quintessential complex adaptive systems in which heterogeneous agents compete in an attempt to maximize returns. Species of trading agents are also subject to evolutionary pressure as entire classes of strategies…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-12-23 David Rushing Dewhurst , Yi Li , Alexander Bogdan , Jasmine Geng

We study an agent-based model of evolution of wealth distribution in a macro-economic system. The evolution is driven by multiplicative stochastic fluctuations governed by the law of proportionate growth and interactions between agents. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-22 Zdzislaw Burda , Pawel Wojcieszak , Konrad Zuchniak

We study the optimization of ergodic averages for multi-valued dynamical systems, i.e. where points may have multiple different forward orbits. Under upper semi-continuity assumptions, we show that the maximum space average with respect to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Oliver Jenkinson , Xiaoran Li , Yuexin Liao , Yiwei Zhang

In this study, an ergodic environment exploration problem is introduced for a centralized multi-agent system. Given the reference distribution represented by the Mixture of Gaussian (MoG), the ergodicity is achieved when the time-averaged…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-30 Rabiul Hasan Kabir , Kooktae Lee , Geronimo Macias

A perfectly rational decision-maker chooses the best action with the highest utility gain from a set of possible actions. The optimality principles that describe such decision processes do not take into account the computational costs of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-12-25 Jordi Grau-Moya , Daniel A. Braun

Cooperation between individuals is emergent in all parts of society, yet mechanistic reasons for this emergence is ill understood in the literature. A specific example of this is insurance. Recent work has, though, shown that assuming the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-20 Tobias Wand , Oliver Kamps , Benjamin Skjold

In this paper, a new framework to study weighed networks is introduced. The idea behind this methodology is to consider that each node of the network is an agent that desires to satisfy his/her preferences in an economic sense. Moreover,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Daniel O. Cajueiro

Models of adaptive bet-hedging commonly adopt insights from Kelly's famous work on optimal gambling strategies and the financial value of information. In particular, such models seek evolutionary solutions that maximize long term average…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-18 Omri Tal , Tat Dat Tran

We develop a model of the behaviour of a dynamically optimizing economic agent who makes consumption-saving and spatial relocation decisions. We formulate an existence result for the model, derive the necessary conditions for optimality and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Iordan Iordanov , Andrey Vassilev