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This paper develops an approach for multi-step forecasting of dynamical systems by integrating probabilistic input forecasting with physics-informed output prediction. Accurate multi-step forecasting of time series systems is important for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Mahdi Nasiri , Johanna Kortelainen , Simo Särkkä

Package monitoring is an important topic in industrial applications, with significant implications for operational efficiency and ecological sustainability. In this study, we propose an approach that employs an embedded system, placed on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Manon Renault , Hamoud Younes , Hugo Tessier , Ronan Le Roy , Bastien Pasdeloup , Mathieu Léonardon

Residential buildings account for a significant portion (35\%) of the total electricity consumption in the U.S. as of 2022. As more distributed energy resources are installed in buildings, their potential to provide flexibility to the grid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Patrick Salter , Qiuhua Huang , Paulo Cesar Tabares-Velasco

The rising availability of large volume data, along with increasing computing power, has enabled a wide application of statistical Machine Learning (ML) algorithms in the domains of Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS), Internet of Things (IoT) and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-30 Yongchao Huang , Hugh Miles , Pengfei Zhang

Non-neural Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) models are often used to predict system failures in the context of industrial maintenance. However, only a few researches jointly assess the effect of varying the amount of past data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Nicolò Oreste Pinciroli Vago , Francesca Forbicini , Piero Fraternali

Predictive maintenance (PdM) is the task of scheduling maintenance operations based on a statistical analysis of the system's condition. We propose a human-in-the-loop PdM approach in which a machine learning system predicts future problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Alexander Nikitin , Samuel Kaski

Can Large Language Models (LLMs) accurately predict election outcomes? While LLMs have demonstrated impressive performance in various domains, including healthcare, legal analysis, and creative tasks, their ability to forecast elections…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-07 Chenxiao Yu , Zhaotian Weng , Yuangang Li , Zheng Li , Xiyang Hu , Yue Zhao

This paper offers a methodological contribution at the intersection of machine learning and operations research. Namely, we propose a methodology to quickly predict tactical solutions to a given operational problem. In this context, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Eric Larsen , Sébastien Lachapelle , Yoshua Bengio , Emma Frejinger , Simon Lacoste-Julien , Andrea Lodi

With the employment of smart meters, massive data on consumer behaviour can be collected by retailers. From the collected data, the retailers may obtain the household profile information and implement demand response. While retailers prefer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Yi Dong , Yang Chen , Xingyu Zhao , Xiaowei Huang

To understand and predict the performance of scientific applications, several analytical and machine learning approaches have been proposed, each having its advantages and disadvantages. In this paper, we propose and validate a hybrid…

Performance · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Huda Ibeid , Siping Meng , Oliver Dobon , Luke Olson , William Gropp

Time series data is a prevalent form of data found in various fields. It consists of a series of measurements taken over time. Forecasting is a crucial application of time series models, where future values are predicted based on historical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Sahar Koohfar , Wubeshet Woldemariam

Accurate weather prediction is essential for many aspects of life, notably the early warning of extreme weather events such as rainstorms. Short-term predictions of these events rely on forecasts from numerical weather models, in which,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Guoxing Chen , Wei-Chyung Wang

Subseasonal forecasting of the weather two to six weeks in advance is critical for resource allocation and advance disaster notice but poses many challenges for the forecasting community. At this forecast horizon, physics-based dynamical…

We propose a modified version of the three-step estimation method for the latent class model with covariates, which may be used to estimate latent Markov models for longitudinal data. The three-step estimation approach we propose is based…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-06 Francesco Bartolucci , Giorgio E. Montanari , Silvia Pandolfi

Demand forecasting is a crucial component of demand management. While shortening the forecasting horizon allows for more recent data and less uncertainty, this frequently means lower data aggregation levels and a more significant data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Jože M. Rožanec , Dunja Mladenić

The performance of prediction models is often based on "abstract metrics" that estimate the model's ability to limit residual errors between the observed and predicted values. However, meaningful evaluation and selection of prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-13 Saima Aman , Yogesh Simmhan , Viktor K. Prasanna

We consider how to learn multi-step predictions efficiently. Conventional algorithms wait until observing actual outcomes before performing the computations to update their predictions. If predictions are made at a high rate or span over a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-08-20 Hado van Hasselt , Richard S. Sutton

As the energy landscape changes quickly, grid operators face several challenges, especially when integrating renewable energy sources with the grid. The most important challenge is to balance supply and demand because the solar and wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Kamal Sarkar

Rising penetration levels of (residential) photovoltaic (PV) power as distributed energy resource pose a number of challenges to the electricity infrastructure. High quality, general tools to provide accurate forecasts of power production…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-16 Elizaveta Kharlova , Daniel May , Petr Musilek

Smart buildings are gaining popularity because they can enhance energy efficiency, lower costs, improve security, and provide a more comfortable and convenient environment for building occupants. A considerable portion of the global energy…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Mehdi Neshat , Menasha Thilakaratne , Mohammed El-Abd , Seyedali Mirjalili , Amir H. Gandomi , John Boland