Related papers: Generating knockoffs via conditional independence
We develop a general framework for distribution-free predictive inference in regression, using conformal inference. The proposed methodology allows for the construction of a prediction band for the response variable using any estimator of…
The knockoff filter, recently developed by Barber and Candes, is an effective procedure to perform variable selection with a controlled false discovery rate (FDR). We propose a private version of the knockoff filter by incorporating…
We present and evaluate the Fast (conditional) Independence Test (FIT) -- a nonparametric conditional independence test. The test is based on the idea that when $P(X \mid Y, Z) = P(X \mid Y)$, $Z$ is not useful as a feature to predict $X$,…
We introduce a new test for conditional independence which is based on what we call the weighted generalised covariance measure (WGCM). It is an extension of the recently introduced generalised covariance measure (GCM). To test the null…
It is well-known that the expected scaled maximum of non-negative random variables with unit mean defines a stable tail dependence function associated with some extreme-value copula. In the special case when these random variables are…
The paper is split in two parts: in the first part, we construct the exact likelihood for a discretely observed rough differential equation, driven by a piecewise linear path. In the second part, we use this likelihood in order to construct…
In prescriptive analytics, the decision-maker observes historical samples of $(X, Y)$, where $Y$ is the uncertain problem parameter and $X$ is the concurrent covariate, without knowing the joint distribution. Given an additional covariate…
Conformal inference, cross-validation+, and the jackknife+ are hold-out methods that can be combined with virtually any machine learning algorithm to construct prediction sets with guaranteed marginal coverage. In this paper, we develop…
The paper presents a new copula based method for measuring dependence between random variables. Our approach extends the Maximum Mean Discrepancy to the copula of the joint distribution. We prove that this approach has several advantageous…
The Laplace approximation has been one of the workhorses of Bayesian inference. It often delivers good approximations in practice despite the fact that it does not strictly take into account where the volume of posterior density lies.…
We consider the problem of sequentially testing a simple null hypothesis versus a composite alternative hypothesis that consists of a finite set of densities. We study sequential tests that are based on thresholding of mixture-based…
We introduce a variant of the $k$-nearest neighbor classifier in which $k$ is chosen adaptively for each query, rather than supplied as a parameter. The choice of $k$ depends on properties of each neighborhood, and therefore may…
We develop a framework for the operationalization of models and parameters by combining de Finetti's representation theorem with a conditional form of Sanov's theorem. This synthesis, the tilted de Finetti theorem, shows that conditioning…
We give a decomposition of the posterior predictive variance using the law of total variance and conditioning on a finite dimensional discrete random variable. This random variable summarizes various features of modeling that are used to…
Let the random variable $X\, :=\, e(\mathcal{H}[B])$ count the number of edges of a hypergraph $\mathcal{H}$ induced by a random $m$ element subset $B$ of its vertex set. Focussing on the case that $\mathcal{H}$ satisfies some regularity…
Maximum composite likelihood estimation is a useful alternative to maximum likelihood estimation when data arise from data generating processes (DGPs) that do not admit tractable joint specification. We demonstrate that generic composite…
A randomized algorithm for a search problem is *pseudodeterministic* if it produces a fixed canonical solution to the search problem with high probability. In their seminal work on the topic, Gat and Goldwasser posed as their main open…
In this paper we propose an alternative to the coupling of Berkes, Liu and Wu [1] to obtain strong approximations for partial sums of dependent sequences. The main tool is a new Rosen-thal type inequality expressed in terms of the coupling…
We prove general de Finetti type theorems for classical and free independence. The de Finetti type theorems work for all non-easy quantum groups, which generalize a recent work of Banica, Curran and Speicher. We determine maximal…
We prove bounds on statistical distances between high-dimensional exchangeable mixture distributions (which we call \emph{permutation mixtures}) and their i.i.d. counterparts. Our results are based on a novel method for controlling $\chi^2$…