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The objective of this article is to study the asymptotic behavior of a new particle filtering approach in the context of hidden Markov models (HMMs). In particular, we develop an algorithm where the latent-state sequence is segmented into…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Hock Peng Chan , Chiang Wee Heng , Ajay Jasra

Successful applications of reinforcement learning in real-world problems often require dealing with partially observable states. It is in general very challenging to construct and infer hidden states as they often depend on the agent's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-20 Xiujun Li , Lihong Li , Jianfeng Gao , Xiaodong He , Jianshu Chen , Li Deng , Ji He

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have been drawing much attention with great success in many applications like speech recognition and neural machine translation. Long short-term memory (LSTM) is one of the most popular RNN units in deep…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-12-10 Heeyoul Choi

As deep neural networks continue to revolutionize various application domains, there is increasing interest in making these powerful models more understandable and interpretable, and narrowing down the causes of good and bad predictions. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-21 Viktoriya Krakovna , Finale Doshi-Velez

With the advent of Big Data, nowadays in many applications databases containing large quantities of similar time series are available. Forecasting time series in these domains with traditional univariate forecasting procedures leaves great…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-13 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

Data-driven approaches to automated machine condition monitoring are gaining popularity due to advancements made in sensing technologies and computing algorithms. This paper proposes the use of a deep learning model, based on Long…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-30 Jianlei Zhang , Binil Starly

In this paper, we adapt Recurrent Neural Networks with Stochastic Layers, which are the state-of-the-art for generating text, music and speech, to the problem of acoustic novelty detection. By integrating uncertainty into the hidden states,…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-04-24 Duong Nguyen , Oliver S. Kirsebom , Fábio Frazão , Ronan Fablet , Stan Matwin

Recurrent neural networks are used to forecast time series in finance, climate, language, and from many other domains. Reservoir computers are a particularly easily trainable form of recurrent neural network. Recently, a "next-generation"…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Sarah E. Marzen , Paul M. Riechers , James P. Crutchfield

Time series prediction can be generalized as a process that extracts useful information from historical records and then determines future values. Learning long-range dependencies that are embedded in time series is often an obstacle for…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-10-25 Yuxiu Hua , Zhifeng Zhao , Rongpeng Li , Xianfu Chen , Zhiming Liu , Honggang Zhang

This paper applies a recurrent neural network, the LSTM, to forecast inflation. This is an appealing model for time series as it processes each time step sequentially and explicitly learns dynamic dependencies. The paper also explores the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-03 Livia Paranhos

We describe recurrent neural networks (RNNs), which have attracted great attention on sequential tasks, such as handwriting recognition, speech recognition and image to text. However, compared to general feedforward neural networks, RNNs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Gang Chen

Recently, there has been interest in multiplicative recurrent neural networks for language modeling. Indeed, simple Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) encounter difficulties recovering from past mistakes when generating sequences due to high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Diego Maupomé , Marie-Jean Meurs

Reinforcement learning aims to learn optimal policies from interaction with environments whose dynamics are unknown. Many methods rely on the approximation of a value function to derive near-optimal policies. In partially observable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Gaspard Lambrechts , Adrien Bolland , Damien Ernst

Frame stacking is broadly applied in end-to-end neural network training like connectionist temporal classification (CTC), and it leads to more accurate models and faster decoding. However, it is not well-suited to conventional neural…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-05-18 Xu Tian , Jun Zhang , Zejun Ma , Yi He , Juan Wei

To be effective in sequential data processing, Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) are required to keep track of past events by creating memories. While the relation between memories and the network's hidden state dynamics was established over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-17 Doron Haviv , Alexander Rivkind , Omri Barak

Deep neural networks have recently been shown to achieve highly competitive performance in many computer vision tasks due to their abilities of exploring in a much larger hypothesis space. However, since most deep architectures like stacked…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-02-06 Zixiang Ding , Rui Xia , Jianfei Yu , Xiang Li , Jian Yang

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) and their variants, such as Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) networks, and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) networks, have achieved promising performance in sequential data modeling. The hidden layers in RNNs can be…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Yu Pan , Jing Xu , Maolin Wang , Jinmian Ye , Fei Wang , Kun Bai , Zenglin Xu

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have many advantages over more traditional system identification techniques. They may be applied to linear and nonlinear systems, and they require fewer modeling assumptions. However, these neural network…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-08 Kaicheng Niu , Mi Zhou , Chaouki T. Abdallah , Mohammad Hayajneh

We explore various neural network architectures for modeling the dynamics of the cryptocurrency market. Traditional linear models often fall short in accurately capturing the unique and complex dynamics of this market. In contrast, Deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Hugo Inzirillo