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A novel, non-trivial, probabilistic upper bound on the entropy of an unknown one-dimensional distribution, given the support of the distribution and a sample from that distribution, is presented. No knowledge beyond the support of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Joseph DeStefano , Erik Learned-Miller

A new nonparametric approach, based on a decision tree algorithm, is proposed to calculate the overlap between two probability distributions. The devised framework is described analytically and numerically. The convergence of the estimated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Hisashi Johno , Kazunori Nakamoto

We derive an (almost) guaranteed upper bound on the error of deep neural networks under distribution shift using unlabeled test data. Prior methods either give bounds that are vacuous in practice or give estimates that are accurate on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-02 Elan Rosenfeld , Saurabh Garg

Reliable and accurate estimation of the error of an ML model in unseen test domains is an important problem for safe intelligent systems. Prior work uses disagreement discrepancy (DIS^2) to derive practical error bounds under distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Aayush Mishra , Anqi Liu

Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection is crucial for the deployment of machine learning models in the open world. While existing OOD detectors are effective in identifying OOD samples that deviate significantly from in-distribution (ID) data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Hao Fu , Prashanth Krishnamurthy , Siddharth Garg , Farshad Khorrami

All famous machine learning algorithms that comprise both supervised and semi-supervised learning work well only under a common assumption: the training and test data follow the same distribution. When the distribution changes, most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Ievgen Redko , Emilie Morvant , Amaury Habrard , Marc Sebban , Younès Bennani

We study the properties of the potential overlap between two networks $A,B$ sharing the same set of $N$ nodes (a two-layer network) whose respective degree distributions $p_A(k), p_B(k)$ are given. Defining the overlap coefficient $\alpha$…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-14 David Juher , Joan Saldaña

Over the past ten years, propensity score methods have made an important contribution to improving generalizations from studies that do not select samples randomly from a population of inference. However, these methods require assumptions…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-26 Wendy Chan

Sample overlap is a common issue in evidence synthesis in the field of medical research, particularly when integrating findings from observational studies utilizing existing databases such as registries. Due to the general inaccessibility…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Zhentian Zhang , Tim Friede , Tim Mathes

Due to the ability of deep neural nets to learn rich representations, recent advances in unsupervised domain adaptation have focused on learning domain-invariant features that achieve a small error on the source domain. The hope is that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Han Zhao , Remi Tachet des Combes , Kun Zhang , Geoffrey J. Gordon

A fundamental tool in network information theory is the covering lemma, which lower bounds the probability that there exists a pair of random variables, among a give number of independently generated candidates, falling within a given set.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-04-18 Jingbo Liu , Mohammad H. Yassaee , Sergio Verdú

Binary classification is a task that involves the classification of data into one of two distinct classes. It is widely utilized in various fields. However, conventional classifiers tend to make overconfident predictions for data that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Shoma Yokura , Akihisa Ichiki

The statistics and machine learning communities have recently seen a growing interest in classification-based approaches to two-sample testing. The outcome of a classification-based two-sample test remains a rejection decision, which is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf , Nicolai Meinshausen

We consider the problem of hypothesis testing for discrete distributions. In the standard model, where we have sample access to an underlying distribution $p$, extensive research has established optimal bounds for uniformity testing,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Piotr Indyk , Ronitt Rubinfeld , Sandeep Silwal

This paper introduces a generic method which enables to use conventional deep neural networks as end-to-end one-class classifiers. The method is based on splitting given data from one class into two subsets. In one-class classification,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-17 Patrick Schlachter , Yiwen Liao , Bin Yang

Appropriately evaluating the discrepancy between domains is essential for the success of unsupervised domain adaptation. In this paper, we first point out that existing discrepancy measures are less informative when complex models such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-23 Jongyeong Lee , Nontawat Charoenphakdee , Seiichi Kuroki , Masashi Sugiyama

As machine learning models are increasingly deployed in dynamic environments, it becomes paramount to assess and quantify uncertainties associated with distribution shifts. A distribution shift occurs when the underlying data-generating…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Jiawei Ge , Debarghya Mukherjee , Jianqing Fan

In this work, we present a novel upper bound of target error to address the problem for unsupervised domain adaptation. Recent studies reveal that a deep neural network can learn transferable features which generalize well to novel tasks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-07 Dexuan Zhang , Tatsuya Harada

We propose a Fourier-based learning algorithm for highly nonlinear multiclass classification. The algorithm is based on a smoothing technique to calculate the probability distribution of all classes. To obtain the probability distribution,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Soheil Mehrabkhani

Minimizing expected loss measured by a proper scoring rule, such as Brier score or log-loss (cross-entropy), is a common objective while training a probabilistic classifier. If the data have experienced dataset shift where the class…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-05 Theodore James Thibault Heiser , Mari-Liis Allikivi , Meelis Kull
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