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Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are an important class of time-series models, used to describe stochastic systems evolving in continuous time. Simulating paths from these processes, particularly after conditioning on noisy…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-03 Xinyi Pei , Minhyeok Kim , Vinayak Rao

Sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle methods, are a popular set of techniques for approximating high-dimensional probability distributions and their normalizing constants. These methods have found numerous applications in…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-23 Jeremy Heng , Adrian N. Bishop , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

Discrete stochastic processes (DSP) are instrumental for modelling the dynamics of probabilistic systems and have a wide spectrum of applications in science and engineering. DSPs are usually analyzed via Monte Carlo methods since the number…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-08-17 Carsten Blank , Daniel K. Park , Francesco Petruccione

In this paper we develop a Bayesian procedure for estimating multivariate stochastic volatility (MSV) using state space models. A multiplicative model based on inverted Wishart and multivariate singular beta distributions is proposed for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Kostas Triantafyllopoulos , Giovanni Montana

We present a novel approach to investigate the long-time stochastic dynamics of multi-dimensional classical systems, in contact with a heat-bath. When the potential energy landscape is rugged, the kinetics displays a decoupling of short and…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2013-05-29 O. Corradini , P. Faccioli , H. Orland

The Diffusion Monte Carlo method is devoted to the computation of electronic ground-state energies of molecules. In this paper, we focus on implementations of this method which consist in exploring the configuration space with a {\bf fixed}…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Tony Lelievre , Mohamed El Makrini , Benjamin Jourdain

Recently, diffusion probabilistic models (DPMs) have achieved promising results in diverse generative tasks. A typical DPM framework includes a forward process that gradually diffuses the data distribution and a reverse process that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Tianyu Pang , Cheng Lu , Chao Du , Min Lin , Shuicheng Yan , Zhijie Deng

We consider the setting of multiscale overdamped Langevin stochastic differential equations, and study the problem of learning the drift function of the homogenized dynamics from continuous-time observations of the multiscale system. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Max Hirsch , Andrea Zanoni

Self-diffusion coefficients, $D^*$, are routinely estimated from molecular dynamics simulations by fitting a linear model to the observed mean-squared displacements (MSDs) of mobile species. MSDs derived from simulation exhibit statistical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-05 Andrew R. McCluskey , Samuel W. Coles , Benjamin J. Morgan

We study an approach to simulating the stochastic relativistic advection-diffusion equation based on the Metropolis algorithm. We show that the dissipative dynamics of the boosted fluctuating fluid can be simulated by making random…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-02-18 Gokce Basar , Jay Bhambure , Rajeev Singh , Derek Teaney

Gradient-based Monte Carlo sampling algorithms, like Langevin dynamics and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, are important methods for Bayesian inference. In large-scale settings, full-gradients are not affordable and thus stochastic gradients…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Zhize Li , Tianyi Zhang , Shuyu Cheng , Jun Zhu , Jian Li

Analogue to the well-known Langevin Monte Carlo method, in this article we provide a method to sample from a target distribution \(\pi\) by simulating a solution of a stochastic differential equation. Hereby, the stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-15 David Oechsler

We examine characteristic properties of deterministic and stochastic diffusion in low-dimensional chaotic dynamical systems. As an example, we consider a periodic array of scatterers defined by a simple chaotic map on the line. Adding…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 R. Klages

In performative prediction, the choice of a model influences the distribution of future data, typically through actions taken based on the model's predictions. We initiate the study of stochastic optimization for performative prediction.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-22 Celestine Mendler-Dünner , Juan C. Perdomo , Tijana Zrnic , Moritz Hardt

This paper introduces a class of Monte Carlo algorithms which are based upon the simulation of a Markov process whose quasi-stationary distribution coincides with a distribution of interest. This differs fundamentally from, say, current…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-14 Murray Pollock , Paul Fearnhead , Adam M. Johansen , Gareth O. Roberts

Accretion occurs across a large range of scales and physical regimes. Despite this diversity in the physics, the observed properties show remarkably similarity. The theory of propagating fluctuations, in which broad-band variability within…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2024-01-30 Samuel G. D. Turner , Christopher S. Reynolds

A numerical technique is introduced that reduces exponentially the time required for Monte Carlo simulations of non-equilibrium systems. Results for the quasi-stationary probability distribution in two model systems are compared with the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-07 A. Bandrivskyy , S. Beri , D. G. Luchinsky , R. Mannella , P. V. E. McClintock

Suppose X is a multivariate diffusion process that is observed discretely in time. At each observation time, a transformation of the state of the process is observed with noise. The smoothing problem consists of recovering the path of the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-04 Marcin Mider , Moritz Schauer , Frank van der Meulen

Stochastic simulation can make the molecular processes of cellular control more vivid than the traditional differential-equation approach by generating typical system histories instead of just statistical measures such as the mean and…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-18 Kevin Y. Chen , Daniel M. Zuckerman , Philip C. Nelson

In this paper we introduce and discuss numerical schemes for the approximation of kinetic equations for flocking behavior with phase transitions that incorporate uncertain quantities. This class of schemes here considered make use of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-31 Jose Antonio Carrillo , Mattia Zanella